sveumrules

In the Year of our Internet 2025 this information is available. Entering today’s game the Brewers 94 walks to batters leading off an inning were 12th most in MLB. Their .687 OPS allowed to batters leading off an inning was 8th lowest. Looking biggest picture, the leadoff batter every inning plus everyone else that hits in a game and then how infrequently they end up scoring…the Brewers 3.87 runs allowed per game were 4th lowest in MLB before surrendering one run today.

Hmmm…no Freddy Zamora in the lineup. BF dot com really should have a Nashville Airport Correspondent by now.

After posting -13 DRS and -16 FRV over 2,833 innings with the White Sox from 2021-25, Vaughn has apparently flipped the script on his defense with the Brewers too at +1 DRS | +2 FRV in in tiny sample of 294 innings. For reference Hoskins was -7 DRS | -8 FRV over 4,195 innings with the Phillies, but has also been a little better with the Brewers at -1 DRS | -2 FRV over 1,445 innings. Probably give the edge to Vaughn at this point for having better recent results and being five years younger, but he was worse than Hoskins by the metrics before getting here so its probably not a very big difference either way.

I understand Adams goes about things in a little bit of an unconventional way, and at this point is pretty much a 1B only prospect, but out of 546 players with at least 1,000 PAs across all the minor leagues since 2023 his 148 wRC+ is tied with Xavier Isaac for the best in all of MiLB. & he's been doing it all while being at least two years younger than league average (closer to three in Biloxi) each step of the way.

Obviously can choose any number of arbitrary endpoints, but seemed like the offense kicked into gear when Frelick moved to the leadoff spot in Game 70. First 69 games were a triple slash of 234/313/361 shaking out to a 91 wRC+ (21st) and a middle of the pack 4.33 R/G. That .127 ISO (27th) was lacking in power for sure. In the 55 games since Sal switched to the top spot that triple slash has been 288/356/463 shaking out to a 130 wRC+ (1st) and an absurd 6.29 R/G. That .175 ISO (12th) is much improved over their early season results. Also went from +12.9 BsR (1st) over those first 69 games down to a +2.7 BsR (6th) over these last 55. They've still been running well, but haven't needed to run wild just to stay afloat.

In the sample we do have for CF one metric prefers Frelick, and the other prefers Chourio, both by negligible amounts. I don't believe the sample size & difference in results are large enough to declare that one or the other IS the better CF defender as of yet. I haven't arrived at any conclusions. I'm saying between Sal already performing as a Top Three RF over a sizable sample, Collins being an out of nowhere ROY candidate who has graded out really well in LF, Perkins as the established best defender but worst hitter of the bunch, and Mitchell's inability to stay healthy, that Chourio in CF is likely the best long term alignment. Only way to find out and draw some conclusions is to see how Jackson looks out there, which the Brewers were doing after Mitchell went down for the season and before Chourio tickled his hammy. Also kind of interesting that to start the year Sal was the one backing up CF for seven of the first 28 games while Chourio bounced between corners, but once Garrett got injured they pivoted to Jackson as the everyday CF. Maybe there are some interviews with Arnold/Murphy from around that time that shed more light on the organization's reasoning behind that decision?

Definitely flirted with disaster his first two starts with SD…9 H | 4 BB | 2 HBP in 9.1 innings but just 3 ER for a 2.89 ERA (but a 4.51 FIP under the hood).

Two DH for Dinges, two DH for Josh still leaves two days a week to rotate Made, Pena, Fischer through as needed. Or just play Fischer twice a week at first when he isn't playing third. Could also give Dinges a whole day off here and there since he's coming off injury and likely hasn't caught this many innings in a long time.

Looks like Josh is at a 14 (2B) to 8 (DH) game split since coming back to Carolina so I'd guess he gets like four games a week at 2B and two at DH with Wisco. Pena/Made get the other two games at 2B, plus all six at SS, plus two at 3B, plus one each at DH to get to a dozen. Fischer plays the remaining four games a week at 3B with his other two coming at 1B/DH.

Miller's last outing was three up three down with two strikeouts on Saturday. His horrible outing was two appearances ago on August 13th. His first two outings with the Brewers went seven up, six down with the only batter reaching via dropped third strike. He pitched 3.2 IP over the eight days between 0809 and 0816.

With the a pair of wins today the two DSL squads' pushed their combined record for the season just onto the right side of the ledger at 55 W - 53 L. Not too shabby for what has been somewhat of a blah summer on the island, but we all knew the insanity of last summer was likely a singularity. None of Kenny Fenelon (88 wRC+), Brailyn Antunez (82 wRC+), or Cristopher Acosta (78 wRC+) has really popped. Will be interesting to see if they come over to the ACL next year on pedigree alone or if some of them maybe repeat the DSL. As far as hitters that did put up some numbers would have to imagine that eighteen year olds Juan Martinez (158 wRC+), Jonathan Rangel (148 wRC+), Moises Polanco (130 wRC+), and Angel Gonzalez (128 wRC+) are in pretty good shape for the ACL with Yoneiker Lugo (110 wRC+) and Carlos Done (105 wRC+) probably doing enough to join them. On the pitching side seventeen year olds Diustin Mayorquin (47 IP of 46 ERA- | 50 FIP-) and Joan Pena (44 IP of 65 ERA- | 77 FIP-) appear to be the likely headliners, and did we just get a Brewers PD highlight reel for Gustavo Garcia (44 IP of 72 ERA- | 85 FIP-) recently too? A few older arms with decent results in smaller samples might be setting themselves up for stateside relief roles next year? Gabriel Colmenarez (21 IP of 43 ERA- | 56 FIP-) has already made his way over, perhaps Derlin Garcia (19 IP of 37 ERA- | 59 FIP-), Carlos Canales (23 IP of 47 ERA- | 74 FIP-), or Jhosep Ospino (27 IP of 55 ERA- | 78 FIP-) are next.

With their 15th August win today the Brewers have already topped seven of the predictions in the thread and tied two more (if I counted right).

Easy answer (besides the team has access to more information than we do) is that Sal has already graded out as a Top Three RF with his +27 DRS | +17 FRV since 2023 trailing only Wilyer Abreu (+30 DRS | +18 FRV) and Tatis Jr. (+47 DRS | +27 FRV), so just keep him there. Neither Sal (427 innings of +2 DRS | +2 FRV) nor Jackson (654 innings of -1 DRS | +3 FRV) has much of a sample in CF, but our best OF alignment long term likely features Jackson in CF so might as well give him some experience to see what he's got out there.

Since losing the now infamous Cribbage Board Game on May 17th and falling to a season low 21 W - 25 L, the Brewers have gone 57 W - 19 L. That is a .750 W% over almost half a season, something like a 121 to 122 win pace. Pretty nuts stuff. Freddy Peralta leads MLB with 14 back of the baseball card pitcher wins, but we all know its a team game and the Brewers have gone 16 W - 9 L (.640 W%) in his starts. Brewers have now won in each of Priester's last 14 appearances, and are 16 W - 7 L (.696 W%) overall when Quinn pitches. But Jose Quintana? How about 13 W - 5 L for a .722 W%. Hmmm, what's that you say? Even with a taxed bullpen & likely Sunday lineup the Brewers could still pick up their 14th win of the season with the crafty veteran southpaw on the mound today? That's just like, your opinion, man. As increasingly impressive as all those winning percentages are, there's one more. The three headed monster of Woodruff (7 W - 0 L), Henderson (5 W - 0 L), and Misio (6 W - 2 L) have combined to put up a .900 W% over their 20 trips through the rotation.

Brewers can call up an extra pitcher for the doubleheader so I would guess Chad Patrick (last pitched 08/12) will get the nod for one of the games.

Thanks, ed. I’m just following the numbers…

Brewers had won 13 in a row, they’d also won Priester’s last 13 appearances. Monasterio wears number 14, the IGT was on page 14 when he hit his bomb, the Reds were even foreshadowing things wearing 14 patches (for Pete Rose…who was born on 4/14/41…Milwaukee Day). Obvious W from the jump.

Interesting comparison. Williams 2020-24 179 K%+ | 139 BB%+ | 115 LOB%+ 59 AVG+ | 41 ERA- | 53 FIP- Nolan Ryan 1981 179 K%+ | 134 BB%+ | 113 LOB%+ 74 AVG+ | 52 ERA- | 71 FIP- Would I have preferred if Williams walked fewer batters? Of course, but from 2020-24 he was elite at striking guys out, limiting hits, limiting HR, stranding runners, and most importantly limiting runs. Can’t have it all. & now he has begat Durbin (& kinda Lockridge too) all while almost single handedly torpedo-ing (pun, intentional) the Yankees season…chef’s kiss. Almost sounds like the kind of yarn that Uecker might spin.

From what I can tell looking at the FanGraphs 2024-25 minor league leaderboard sorted by age, Pena’s 97 RBI are 4th among 17-18 year olds these last two years. Just ahead of Leo De Vries (95), and just behind Emil Morales (100) & Wilder Dalis (102). But the undisputed King of Teenage Steaks appears to be Eduardo Tait with 134 RBI, mostly on account of having an extra 200ish PA on Morales, Dalis and Peña.

All those walks and all those extra pitches thrown didn’t stop Devin from putting up +9.68 Win Probability Added from 2022-24 tops in all of MLB. Next best relievers during that stretch were over a full win behind him…Jhoan Duran (+8.10), Alexis Diaz (+8.07), and Emmanuel Clase (+7.97). Devin was credited with 98 Shutdowns versus 13 Meltdowns those three years compared to 95 SD | 22 MD for Duran, 86 SD | 24 MD for Diaz, and 114 SD | 26 MD for Clase. Emmanuel had twice as many meltdowns and only got 16 extra shutdowns over Devin. Scrolling down the WPA leaderboard and the first reliever with fewer meltdowns than Williams was Felix Bautista with 11, but he only had 64 shutdowns to go along with it.

Not if they keep running out lineups like last night

It means Collins is out because his wife is having a baby and Perkins is out on the bereavement list. The events of real life have given the Brewers no alternative but to insert backups in the lineup for the playing of their game(s).

Babies are born and everyone dies, not sure what the Brewers can do to combat the circle of life. I’m personally fine giving Perkins and Collins all the time they need to deal with their real lives.

& one more base knock from Made… IMG_4048.MOV

I was there. Too slow on the phone to capture Fischer’s first hit, but here’s his second… IMG_4040.MOV