.jpg.cc012630838b9a00fd2a2371995d5f38.jpg)
sveumrules
-
Posts
10,373 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
201
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
News
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks
Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by sveumrules
-
Today is Seigler’s seventh start at 3B this year, results of those first six games were… 0702 at NYM (W) 7 to 2 0702 at NYM (L) 3 to 7 0713 vs WAS (W) 8 to 1 0721 at SEA (W) 6 to 0 0723 at SEA (W) 10 to 2 0729 vs CHI (W) 9 to 3 So, 5 W - 1 L with a +28 run differential before today. -
Yeah, that 96 MPH comeback sinker that burned off the outside corner to get House looking and end the inning was pretty much vintage Woody.
-
Going back to 2017 the Brewers have won at least 86 games every full season. Over those seven completed full seasons, plus the first four months of this season there have been 46 months total (counting Mar/Apr and Sept/Oct as one month where applicable). The Brewers have posted 32 winning months and four exactly .500 months during that stretch. Their ten losing months have been... 0717 (12 W - 13 L) 0618 (12 W - 13 L) 0719 (12 W - 13 L) 0819 (12 W - 14 L) 0521 (13 W - 15 L) 0921 (14 W - 15 L) 0622 (12 W - 15 L) 0822 (12 W - 15 L) 0523 (11 W - 16 L) 0724 (11 W - 13 L) If I counted right there are 19 predictions in the thread and four of them are for a .433 W% or lower. The Brewers have only had one month in the last 46 with a winning percentage that low. The Brewers have had at least one losing month every season of the stretch, and so far this year they are at all four winning months so they are due for a stinker at some point especially after a blazing 33 W - 16 L (.673 W%) in June/July. I'll hold out hope that they can mitigate that regression to some extent though and won't play too much worse than the 31 W - 28 L (.525 W%) they posted over the first two months of the season from here on out.
-
Not sure Henderson will be back up. He's already at 98 IP (previous career high of 81 IP) and hasn't looked good for about six weeks now. He got bombed for 5 ER in his first AAA start of the season, but after that he locked in from April 3rd through June 13th pitching 39 IP in AAA with a 0.92 ERA | 2.60 FIP to go along with his 21 IP of 1.71 ERA | 3.05 FIP work in MLB during that same stretch. Since June 13th? 34 IP of 5.77 ERA | 4.95 FIP. Patrick, Myers, maybe even Gasser might be bullpen options as it gets closer to playoff time and there's an extra roster spot in September, but I'd guess for now they prefer to keep them stretched out on a regular schedule over getting spot work as the last guy in the MLB pen.
-
It’s almost like the worse the lineup that Murph runs out there, the more runs Ueck sends down our way.
-
THATS WHAT SPEED DO
-
My guess would be Seigler. Believe he is ambidextrous and was a switch pitcher in high school.
-
Best tickle in franchise history...Nyjer single into the outfield Worst tickle in franchise history...Chourio's hammy
-
The pure numbers looks like this... 2022 Vaughn xwOBA: .319 wOBA: .327 2023 Vaughn xwOBA: .319 wOBA: .321 2024 Vaughn xwOBA: .319 wOBA: .304 As his actual production gradually tapered off over the last three years, Vaughn's under the hood expected StatCast numbers stayed very consistent. 2025 Vaughn xwOBA: .354 wOBA: .290 Unfortunately StatCast doesn't break down expected wOBA by team, but it's easy to see the Vaughn from this year is a different hitter under the hood than the Vaughn from the last three years. Now of course no one should expect him to keep up the .475 wOBA he's got with the Brewers so far, that would be preposterous. But we also shouldn't be giving very much weight to the .231 wOBA he posted with the White Sox earlier this year as there was clearly as much or more bad luck in there than there is good luck in what he's doing now. Some guys with an actual wOBA in the range of Vaughn's .354 xwOBA this year are Matt Olson (.356 wOBA), Tatis Jr. (.355 wOBA), Gunnar Henderson (.353 wOBA), Mike Trout (.351 wOBA) and Bobby Witt (.351 wOBA).
-
The Brewers made three deadline moves - Jansen, Miller, and Lockridge. I'd say the nature of the Brewers moves these last couple days showed both confidence in the players on hand and a desire to supplement them around the margins.
-
One aspect of Stearns signing more position player FA than Arnold is that we hadn’t built out the prospect procurement / development infrastructure to produce those players in house yet. Since Arnold took over (2023-now) Brewers rookie position players are tops in MLB with 14.5 WAR. From 2016-22 under Stearns Brewers rookie position players only managed 9.6 WAR (13th).
- 15 replies
-
- 12
-
-
-
The Brewers most recent “best chance to win a World Series” was before Game 7 of the 2018 NLCS. 27 teams had already been eliminated, all they had to do was beat the Dodgers then win four of seven versus Boston. FanGraphs gave that sequence of events a 9.0% chance of happening. No matter what moves are or aren’t made, early in the season or at the deadline, the Brewers are always going to be a World Series long shot.
-
Seems like an awful lot of consternation over not trading for Willi Castro or Ramon Urias (neither of whom can really play SS anyway). Or was a legit SS moved and I missed it?
-
Last year Jose Quintana put up a 95 ERA- | 113 FIP- and signed for $4.25M in March. This year he has an 86 ERA- | 117 FIP- so far. Quintana would jump at a QO so fast he’d probably pull a hammy in the process.
-
They improved their roster at the deadline in 2019, 2021, 2023, and 2024 and still didn't win a playoff series in any of those years either.
-
The Padres have essentially been all in since 2021, I'm guessing their fans don't feel much different today than they have for most of the last five years.
-
I can imagine scenarios where they do nothing further and hold onto the #1 spot. I can imagine scenarios where they do nothing further and lose the #1 spot. I can imagine scenarios where they do something further and hold onto the #1 spot. I can imagine scenarios where they do something further and lose the #1 spot. Making or not making a move doesn't guarantee anything. Would I prefer they make a move or two to upgrade around the margins? Of course. But if they don't, Priester and Vaughn have already been more impactful than just about anyone they could realistically acquire at the deadline so I won't sweat it too much and just continue enjoying the season.
-
Shortstop, sure. Durbin is 12th in MLB with 1.6 WAR as a third baseman though. He's also been pretty clutch with his +1.43 WPA second on the team behind only Babe Vaughn (+1.88) and just ahead of Chourio (+1.11) so far this year, For someone that was hailed by many around here as "NOT A 3B" when acquired he has put up +7 DRS and +2 FRV at the hot corner.
-
Considering the board went into meltdown mode when we traded Williams for Durbin, and again when we traded for Priester, and then again when all we got back for Civale was Vaughn...I'll take it as a good sign if it happens again today.
-
Looks like one of the "others" in the Bednar deal is outfielder Brian Sanchez, who we originally traded along with Jace Avina to NYY for Jake Bauers. Sanchez has done nothing but hit all through the minors - 128 wRC+ in DSL, 141 wRC+ in FSL, 129 wRC+ in A ball. After a somewhat down year last year for Avina (105 wRC+ in A+) he has bounced back for a combined 159 wRC+ between A+/AA this year.
-
Ortiz has a -0.5 bWAR because DRS has judged him as a -5 defender at SS. Ortiz has a 0.5 fWAR because FRV has judged him as a +5 defender at SS. From watching the games I think FRV has done a better job of capturing Joey's defense this year, so I tend to come down on the side of the positive valuation he has on FanGraphs.
-
Predict the deadline for Milwaukee
sveumrules replied to Scooterfletcher's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
The Luis Garcia Jr with -26 DRS | -11 FRV at 2B and -21 DRS | -15 FRV at SS for his career? Can't see the Brewers giving up Myers and his three extra years of team control for an infielder who can't field, or run the bases (-3.6 BsR career), or take a walk (4.7 BB% career), or really hit either (93 wRC+). What box is LGJ checking for you? -
Kwan has 2.7 fWAR | 3.1 bWAR over his first 102 games this year. Would be hard for him to match that same production over the Brewers last 54 games after the deadline. Hard truth of the deadline is even the best player will be lucky to net you one or two wins, which is why the Brewers already getting about four wins from Priester and Vaughn puts them far out in front of the pack before doing anything today. Juan Soto himself only put up 1.2 fWAR | 1.7 bWAR with SD after the deadline.
-
Logan Henderson Ready for Bullpen Duty?
sveumrules replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
re: Logan's recent struggles... Henderson got bombed for 5 ER in his first AAA start, but after that he locked in from April 3rd through June 13th pitching 39 IP in AAA with a 0.92 ERA | 2.60 FIP to go along with his 21 IP of 1.71 ERA | 3.05 FIP work in MLB during that same stretch. Since June 13th? 34 IP of 5.77 ERA | 4.95 FIP. -
Logan Henderson Ready for Bullpen Duty?
sveumrules replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yeah, I'd guess McGee is just the placeholder until Cortes comes up at this point. Maybe they'd consider Henderson for the extra spot in September or if needed between now and then, but with guys like Myers, Patrick, Payamps, maybe even Gasser by then among the other internal options and Logan struggling of late as he's already 17 IP over his previous career high I would think it's kind of a long shot we see him in Milwaukee again this year.
