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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Not understanding the concept of the platoon advantage falls under the classification of in game strategy for me. Going back to my point above, Shouse wasn't viewed as a loogy in our terrible bullpens, despite not being shielded from righties he still performed as our 2nd and 3rd best reliever in 2 of his 3 seasons here. When your "8th inning guy" is a scrap heap loogy that is on the GM. Discount the role of "8th inning guy" all you want but it was not invented by Yost and he is certainly not the only skipper to run his bullpen as such. How many wins did our bullpen underperform by due to Yost's poor management thereof? Can someone provide even a second example from Yost's tenure illustrating said? How would a hypothetical different manager have deployed the exact same personnel to a better result?
  2. sveumrules
    In a perfect world, I agree Shouse should rarely face righties. However the bullpens he was a member of between 2006-08 did not exist in a perfect world. In 2007 he was probably the 2nd best reliever we had after Cordero, in 2008 he was 3rd after Villy and Torres. The number of right handed batters he faced over that time speaks more to the lack of relief talent assembled by the GM than it does to bullpen mismanagement by the manager, IMO.
  3. sveumrules
    Pointing out the biggest mistake a manager made in bullpen management is the definition of small sample size. The 2008 Yost managed bullpen was good for -0.7 fWAR, mainly because of Gagne & Riske combining for a -1.7 WAR. As high priced free agent acquisitions, Yost kind of had his hands tied in how they were going to be used. The 2009 Macha managed bullpen was good for 1.3 fWAR, primarily becuase Gagne was replaced with Hoffman in the offseason and Mark DiFelice came out of nowhere. Granted there were other moving pieces in the bullpen between the two seasons but ultimately what makes a bullpen good or bad more than any other factor is the talent of the pitchers sitting in it, not the manager deciding when to use them.
  4. sveumrules
    Yost's really killing KC with his bullpen management this year, oh wait, they're tops in MLB in fWAR, 2nd in K/9, 2nd in ERA... Maybe the problem with the bullpen in Milwaukee was terrible talent mixed with a guy who managed it exactly the same as probably 26 or 27 of the other 29 MLB managers would have managed it. While Yost's in game strategy was clearly lacking, he went by the same book that every other manager does so trying to attribute said faults to him exclusively doesn't compute for me. He had the player's backs and I absolutely loved his contempt-for-the-media-filled interviews, personally.
  5. sveumrules
    I know Bianchi hasn't hit in the bigs but he has a 340/411 career minor league OBP/SLG which doesn't look all that different from Scooter's career 337/409 minor league line.
  6. sveumrules
    Even with the late season slump Segura is in the top half dozen offensive shortstops in the game this year and is the youngest of the bunch so I guess it all depends on how you define "special". Is he going to hit like Mike Trout at shortstop every month as he did in April? Of course not, but I'd wager that longterm he also isn't going to hit like Neifi Perez as he has lately. His true talent is likely somewhere in between. While I'd love it if he got 3 hits for every 10 at bats for 6 months in a row that just isn't how the game plays out.
  7. sveumrules
    You're close Briggs but I think they're going to go with Graeme Lloyd for the first pitch and have Nilsson catch it. Maybe let Trent Durrington stand in the batter's box while they're at it.
  8. sveumrules
    The last two years Weeks has been at 222/320/384, the average MLB 2B during that same time frame is at 254/315/374. So for as terrible as Weeks has been at the plate, he has been above league average for his position at the plate. If Scooter hits .250 next year I'd project his OBP/SLG to be about 310/350, which is still better than I'd project Weeks considering another year of age/injury related decline. Of course, this is just considering offense. I really don't want to think (and hope I'm not subjected to) what Weeks defense will presumably look like in 2014.
  9. sveumrules
    Agreed. It's pretty easy to line up ten kids and say ok this guy has the best velocity, this guy's got the best curve, this guy's got the best arm, this guy makes the hardest contact and so on. The hard part comes in figuring out what the kids have inside their bodies. How big is their heart? How receptive is their mind?
  10. sveumrules
    Aoki is at 352/364 and getting farther away from his peak years at the time of this post. For his minor league career Davis is at 392/506, with a 371/489 in AAA, and is approaching his peak. You have to believe Aoki has a very significant advantage over Davis in terms of baserunning and defense to think he projects to be the more productive player in 2014.
  11. sveumrules
    Maybe, though I think I read at some point that the money saved by drafting Rogers instead of Bailey went towards drafting/signing Gallardo with the next pick. Clearly, Bailey is better right now and looks to be in a better spot moving forward but I would take Gallardo's body of work over Bailey's at this point and time. Yo has got an edge of over 200 innings with a FIP a third of a run lower for their careers.
  12. sveumrules
    I don't think it's unreasonable to expect around a 270/340/460 type line from Khris next year, which assuming averagish defense and baserunning still has value in the current run environment. I'd hope no one is expecting him to continue slugging at a 600 clip though.
  13. sveumrules
    I think its great that guys like Scooter and Khris are coming up and having success but ultimately I'm not going to change my projection on a player based on 100 some major league plate appearances. Whether his wOBA is .200 or .400 at the end of 2013 I'd still expect Ryan to put up something like 270/330/370 given 500ish plate appearances in 2014.
  14. sveumrules
    Best of luck to Ax, even if it is with the Cards. I know the last thing we need is more outfielders but I've been pretty intrigued by Mike O'Neill in the Cardinals system for some time now.
  15. sveumrules
    I'd personally try to shop Aoki, move Braun to RF, and start Davis in LF. I want absolutely no part of Braun anywhere in the infield whatsoever. It wasn't just his throws that were a problem at third; it was his range, his reactions, his pretty much everything.
  16. sveumrules
    Pretty much agree with the consensus of Lohse, Peralta, Gallardo and Estrada being locks if healthy. Really hope we've seen the last of Gorzo in the rotation, myself. I think PrinceEatMeat brought up Bronson Arroyo in another thread a few days ago as a guy DMGM will likely go after this offseason, not that he was personally advocating it by any means. Then, after Bronson picked up the W against us on Saturday, Roenicke was on with Uecker for the pre-game show Sunday talking about how much he likes Arroyo for about 5 minutes straight. And a couple of minutes that weren't so straight. GULP.
  17. sveumrules
    The Passan/Olney "Braun enlisted other players on his behalf" was more or less debunked a few days ago when both Votto and Tulo (2 of the 3 players specifically named in the story) came out and said Braun never contacted them and asked them to do any such thing.
  18. sveumrules
    I'm in the "stuck with Ramirez" for 2014 camp myself. His oldness, hurtness and expensiveness will preclude us from getting any kind of return without eating a bunch of money and that just doesn't seem like DMGM's style. It'd be one thing if we had anything resembling an in house replacement but that cupboard looks to be bare as well.
  19. sveumrules
    At the time of this posting D'Vo has a triple slash of 347/385/419 through 181 plate appearances. I was thinking of how weird of a line that is and searched for MLB comparables. The closest MLB season I could find was Willard Hershberger for the 1939 Cincinnati Reds who put up a 345/384/420 in 195 plate appearances. Two interesting names, two interesting stories.
  20. sveumrules
    Also not a movie, but Fishing With John. John Lurie knows nothing about fishing but that doesn't stop him from taking his friends Jim Jarmusch, Tom Waits, Willem Dafoe, Matt Dillon and Dennis Hopper fishing in exotic locales like Montauk, Jamaica, Costa Rica, Maine and Thailand in search of Great White Shark, Red Snapper, Giant Squid and more.
  21. sveumrules
    I personally don't think someone Garry Shandling's age/size will be able to hang with the big men in the current NBA. Typical Bucks move. Love the move. I view it similar to the Gomez extension. Should be worth the deal on his defense alone and if he develops even a moderate amount of an offensive game it could be a real nice value.
  22. sveumrules
    I wonder which will come first, a full on admission of guilt by Braun or a retraction from Olney following Tulo & Votto's comments. I do not wonder about which of the two I care less about. Both are tied at "not one bit".
  23. sveumrules
    I would consider free agents not wanting to sign with Milwaukee to be a positive, myself. Protects the front office from itself. With the team's current payroll and standing in the division, who are we signing anyway? If Segura wants guaranteed millions between now and 2018 he can sign an extension with the Milwaukee Brewers. If he wants to risk millions he can go year to year and see how it turns out. Either way he is Milwaukee property for years so I'm not too concerned about Braun affecting him or any of the other 24 professionals on the team. When you've stood on a mound or in the batter's box with the game on the line and 50,000 fans screaming for you to fail, I'd hope you can spit out a few stock responses to pesky reporters. Attendance will be directly tied to winning and losing. If the team is playing exciting baseball and winning games, fans will come out. If the team sucks, fans will stay home. This is true with or without Ryan Braun. The only thing I care about is Braun's performance on the field. As long as he can keep his OPS around .850 or so he should still offer plenty of value. EDIT! (Yeah, looks like I took a little too long to type this out and Thurston beat me to most of my points)
  24. sveumrules
    The Reds, Cardinals and Pittsburgh are all in the top 5 in ERA league wide, we are 18th. You don't need to score as many runs to win when you surrender fewer. As our pitching will likely never be in the top 5 in the league we are going to need to score more runs to win games and can't afford too many below league average hitters, especially if they aren't adding value on the bases or in the field.
  25. sveumrules
    For those that think Braun needs to be traded, what kind of return do you expect for a player with 7 years and 107 million dollars remaining on a contract with a full no trade clause that just got suspended for PED use which will cause teams to question his ability to remain productive in relation to his past standards?
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