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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    I could see if you lived in the lower and the people in the upper were complaining because as we've all likely witnessed at one point or another, smoke rises. If it is people in an adjacent house I'd say sorry and keep on smoking on my property whenever I felt inclined to do so. I see no way smoke can be blowing into their house unless you are standing at their window and physically blowing it in. And for whatever it's worth, I am a non-smoker.
  2. sveumrules
    Can't remember who it was exactly (it wasn't the Pirates) but I do remember seeing a game where the visiting catcher was giving the pitcher multiple signs when no one was on base which would seem to indicate they thought some serious sign stealing was going on.
  3. sveumrules
    Would love to be proven wrong but I don't see anything more than a bench guy in Scooter. His 293/330/385 line in Huntsville would seem to be his everything breaks right/best case scenario MLB line and I'd expect closer to 260/290/350, especially out of the gun. Put that together with below average defense with no positional versatility and marginal speed and you hope the whole is better than the sum of its parts.
  4. sveumrules
    Sure he had some loud outs in those games, in today's game he had some quiet hits. That is baseball. Sure he has a 10+ ERA but he is a reliever with one month of innings so the predictive value of that number is practically zero.
  5. sveumrules
    Axford blows a save = torches and pitchforks. Axford has a run of six out of seven scoreless appearances = crickets.
  6. sveumrules
    You have the umpires on the field call everything as they do now. You also have an additional umpire watching the game and all close plays. I personally think everything should be able to be reviewed short of balls and strikes; get robots for that.
  7. sveumrules
    Doctoring the baseball, while against the letter of the law, has been a part of baseball for most of its existence and continues to this day. I'd liken it to speeding, most of the time you can get away with it and you're only gonna get pulled over if you're blatant about it. Steroids on the other hand are treated more like the OJ or Casey Anthony case. Suspected users are villified in the court of public opinion, guilty until proven innocent. It's just an apples and oranges comparison for me. It's not like Perry broke the pitching metrics by doctoring the ball, whereas someone like juiced Bonds made video gamers jealous of his real life stat line.
  8. sveumrules
    The main difference on the offensive side is the defensive input. On the pitching side fangraphs WAR is FIP based so it strips fielding out of the results while bref uses runs allowed so pitchers get credited or penalized based on the results of their balls in play. At least that's how I understand it.
  9. sveumrules
    Looks like most of the bases have been covered here but a few I haven't seen mentioned that are definitely worth a watch are The Bingo Long Traveling All Stars & Motor Kings, Little Big League, Rookie of the Year and Pelotero; which is a documentary on baseball in DR that focuses on Miguel Sano.
  10. sveumrules
    I would hate to see a similar fate befall Paul Emmel after the Maldonado call last night. http://siextramustard.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/hirschbeck-gif.gif
  11. sveumrules
    In regards to age both players are from Latin countries and there have been far more cases of fraud from DR (Segura) than there have been from Curaçao (Profar). So if anything that is a point in Profar's favor. If two guys have similar OBP/SLG, as Segura and Profar do in the minors, I'll take the guy with the better walk rate as it is far less prone to variation/luck than is BABIP. The guy with the lower average will also have better power as he doesn't have a bunch of singles propping up his SLG.
  12. sveumrules
    I probably would. Profar is a full three years younger and a switch hitter. Neither has enough of a major league track record to draw any solid conclusions from and while their minor league numbers are similar Profar's OBP hasn't been as BA driven as Segura's. Profar is 20 and has already had a full, productive season in AA. When Segura was 20 he was just starting out in the Midwest League.
  13. sveumrules
    Was really hoping Gonzalez would be riding the pine after that pathetic effort yesterday.
  14. sveumrules
    This. Even if Lalli or Prince are absolutely terrible you know they'll at least be busting their butts to suck.
  15. sveumrules
    I hope not, because if you are crazy in thinking that than so am I.
  16. sveumrules
    So Jeff Suppan's results from 2002-04 are most similar to Kyle Lohse's results from 2006-08, but what does that really tell us about Kyle Lohse in 2013? If we're trying to find comparables for Lohse it seems more recent information would be a lot more telling or indicative of his future performance than would his stats from 5-7 years ago when he was a completely different pitcher. Over the last 2 years, since overhauling his repertoire, Lohse has pitched to a 5.72 k/9 with a 1.80 bb/9 and a 0.79 hr/9. Here are some pitchers that have put up similar rates over the last two seasons... Jordan Zimmermann 6.98 1.87 0.76 Jake Peavy 7.87 1.99 1.01 Tim Hudson 5.94 2.38 0.59 Rick Porcello 5.36 2.26 0.85 Mark Buehrle 5.17 1.88 1.04 Jeff Suppan (career) 4.92 3.08 1.19
  17. sveumrules
    Sure, Suppan from 27-29 may have been similar to Lohse from ages 27-29, but that comparison doesn't really mean anything since the Suppan most Brewers fans remember is the age 32-35 version and the Kyle Lohse currently employed by the team has an entirely different repertoire, which he has used to produce markedly better results than the 27-29 year old version of himself.
  18. sveumrules
    I've never really thought Yo's mechanics were too bad personally. Any injuries he has had have been of the freak variety and I don't recall any arm issues even going back to the minors. If anything concerns me in terms of likelihood of future injury it's the pure number of pitches thrown. Between 2009 and 2012 Yo was 12th in MLB in total pitches thrown at 13,346. A couple other interesting things I came across looking this up are that over that same time span Verlander has thrown exactly 1,000 more pitches than King Felix and CC Sabathia threw exactly 3,587 pitches in both 2009 and 2010.
  19. sveumrules
    I would guess in the Hall/Hardy scenario that there was a limited market for Bill Hall as he had a short track record of major league success and no track record of minor league success. Teams properly didn't place value in his 1 breakout year. As for Hardy/Escobar the timing was just wrong. Everybody thinks we should have sold high and traded Hardy after his 2008 season and before his 2009 decline. But at that point Escobar hadn't played above AA. When we did trade Hardy to clear room for Escobar before 2010, people still didn't think Escobar was ready at the plate. Weeks/Lawrie is essentially the same situation. Sure you could've traded Weeks following his huge 2010, once again assuming there were takers that weren't scared off by his injury history and defense, but Lawrie hadn't played above AA and many weren't impressed by his offense or defense there. McGehee/Lawrie is a combination of the scenarios. Teams probably didn't buy into McGehee for the same reasons they didn't buy into Bill Hall and Lawrie hadn't played a professional game at third base to that point.
  20. sveumrules
    I had heard that idea floated, but haven't seen confirmation Invader. Given the collective luck of Brewers and Cubs fans Chicago will probably win the World Series the year they play all of their home games at Miller Park.
  21. sveumrules
    100% with you Funke, when I first saw the clip last night I was honestly thinking "Run, Zack! Run!" I don't think Greinke yelled anything at Quentin. I think the situation is very analogous to when Greinke got tossed in the first inning last year when the first base ump took it personally after Greinke spiked the baseball in disgust with himself.
  22. sveumrules
    While I greatly prefer NL style baseball I'm fine with bringing the DH to the National League. Not that we ever could have matched Detroit's offer in the first place, but it would have given the front office much more leeway in hypothetical Fielder negotiations knowing he could DH at the end of any deal.
  23. sveumrules
    It seems like just yesterday that prevailing sentiment was "Anyone can play first base, it's so easy. Who cares if Khris Davis has stated he isn't comfortable there or has never played a professional inning at the position?" Now we absolutely need a dedicated first baseman on the roster because a plus defensive catcher, a formerly plus defensive shortstop and a Yuni Betancourt have shown that apparently not everyone can handle the position defensively. As for Hunter Morris he had a great campaign in AA last year but the 2 seasons before that he put up OBPs of 306 and 299 in A and A+ at age 21/22. If the organization thinks he needs more time I'll take their word for it.
  24. sveumrules
    I know they continue to do it the way they do because that's the way it's always been done and baseball is very reticent to change, but instead of relying on 5 guys to pitch 1,000 innings and everybody else to cover the 450 or so remaining innings over the course of a season it would seem like you could get better results and limit injuries by having 12 guys on the staff all throwing in the neighborhood of 120 innings each. Sure, if you're fortunate enough to have a true ace pitcher a la Verlander or King Felix coming up through your system groom them to throw 100 pitches every 5 days but everyone else in the system I would develop to pitch in 50-60 pitch stints every 3 days.
  25. sveumrules
    I like the idea of piggy backing, and would even take it a step farther, but based on the way pitcher salaries are directly tied to the traditional roles currently in place I can't see anybody trying to go against the status quo of pitcher usage. Now I know it seems hard to believe based on our bullpen's performance thus far, and even historically, but over the course of a full season relievers in MLB as a whole out pitch starters in terms of ERA. The primary reasons being that 1. relievers rarely if ever see a batter twice and B. back end rotation guys pitch a high volume of mediocre to terrible innings which eats into the numbers put up by the small handful of true ace level starters in the league at any given time. I think the ideal formula, especially for a NL team, would be to employ a 3x3 man rotation where each member of the triple piggy back is expected to go 2-3 innings based on how they are pitching. It also allows for pinch hitting early in the game if the game situation calls for it as you aren't trying to get one guy through 6-7 innings. This way you could theoretically A. Give up less runs over the course of a season by minimizing the number of times a pitcher sees a batter twice and 2. reduce injuries as innings are more evenly distributed throughout the 12 pitchers on the staff. The only organization I could see this even having a remote chance of happening would maybe be the Rockies given their park and history developing arms but it would require such an organization wide commitment that it is essentially a practical impossibility.
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