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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    First, not signing Kimbrel does not make Mark A cheap or a bad owner or all the other nonsense getting tossed around. Payroll is already extended to a record high, and signing Kimbrel probably allows us nearly zero flexbility to make other moves to address others areas of need. Plus, for all we know he wouldn't have signed that same deal with the Brewers. Maybe he liked Chicago better. The whole Brewers signing Kimbrel argument is just dreadful. As for the Cubs, I feel many are underestimating how important those 35-40 innings plus potential playoff innings will be for the Cubs. The Cubs currently have 12 blown saves in 25 chances, ranking 27th in baseball in save percentage. Last year in his supposed "down year", he recorded 42 saves and 5 blown saves. I know that's an extremely simply way of looking at it, but if Kimbrel is able to lock down saves even at his 2018 rate...the Cubs will record so many more wins the rest of the season than if Cishek/Kintzler/Strop are acting closer. It also allows them to move everyone else in the pen down a rung into slightly less important roles and strengthens their entire bullpen. You can look at WAR all you want and say "35-40 innings is only worth like 1 WAR at best"...but if Kimbrel is 2018 version or better, it will result in a lot more extra wins than 1. Here's hoping he regresses further from his 2nd half 2018, but I'm honestly expecting him to be back in premium form and for this move to really hurt the Brewers chances at the division.
  2. KeithStone53151
    I'm thinking probably in the 90ish range. I haven't seen pitch counts, but he's been pitching into the 6th inning a decent amount. I'm figuring on 4-5 innings personally, I highly doubt he'll have super sharp command...so it will probably take 80-90 pitches to potentially get through 5 innings even if he's generally successful today.
  3. KeithStone53151
    peralta is a failed starter, at this time, he is, sorry. Now maybe this time next year different ballgame. How do you all KNOW what kind of a starter Wilkerson would be? Again, when has he been given an opportunity for anything more than a SPOT start? NEVER. It’s time. We all talk around here like we know he’s just AAAA “fodder” when in reality he could be a real pitcher. Albeit one that maxes out at 91, but has a curve, slider, and changes speeds effectively with plus command, leading to potentially LOWER pitch counts. He started for a month, that's not a failed starter. Especially at age 22. He probably needs more development, but not yet a failed starter. That would be like saying Hiura was a failed hitter after his first few games in the big leagues.
  4. KeithStone53151
    I don't think the talk about Anderson being permanently a pen pitcher is insane, it is a bit insane to think Wilkerson is a better option though. I think they are comparable, but I can't see Wilkerson coming up and being a sub 3 era pitcher.
  5. KeithStone53151
    The Cubs getting Kimbrel would be a pretty devastating blow in the short term. It might bite them long term a bit if he doesn't age well, but they are 2-4 years away from a teardown anyways. Might as well go all-in at this point, especially just for cash. And an effective Kimbrel is going to have nearly a Josh Hader caliber impact on their biggest current weakness. They become scary good if/when Strop/Morrow ever come back and their SP can hold up.
  6. KeithStone53151
    Why are the Yankees so darn gung-ho on LH starters? They already acquired Paxton and Happ this offseason, now they want Keuchel also. Their biggest obstacles in the AL are the Red Sox and Astros, both heavily RH lineups. Maybe they simply don't understand how splits work?
  7. KeithStone53151
    I think we need to maybe pump the brakes a bit on this. While Grisham is coming on, all five guys currently have a number of questions marks around them. To me, we shouldn't be looking to replace a Brewer legend and lineup mainstay for 13+ years with questions marks. Question marks tend to be adequate placeholders, at best. With that said, time will tell. Stay tuned. Of course, none of those guys are ready for significant MLB playing time right now. Fortunately, we have 1.5 years for them to improve and prove themselves up to the task. They'll still all be relatively young, in that 23-26 age range. I don't think anyone is saying "oh Grisham's had a good couple weeks, Braun better watch his back". I specifically used the year and a half timeline as that's when Braun's contract expires(there is a 2021 option that i HIGHLY doubt will be exercised).
  8. KeithStone53151
    I think that inning from Perez was a pretty big deal for the club. It's certainly no fun to get creamed like that, but they were all laughing that last inning.
  9. KeithStone53151
    Yeah I agree. The IGT was a bit insane. I wouldn't be surprised if they were making similar calls for Woodruff to get booted from the rotation after his bad start over the weekend. If Anderson puts up 3 or 4 clunker outings in a row, then maybe you consider moving him to the bullpen pending other options. But he's done well enough so far this season that one bad outing shouldn't change much of anything. Especially considering the umpiring last night and that the Marlins simply seemed to be on fire. That said, Taylor Williams has been mediocre at best up until last night. That one outing is probably enough to get him banished to AAA until they find a trade partner at the deadline. But again, Williams hasn't been nearly as good as Anderson and doesn't have the same pedigree.
  10. KeithStone53151
    Don't worry, I'll be there tonight to offset your good luck with some bad luck.....
  11. KeithStone53151
    Let's hope the Marlins used up all their hits for the entire series yesterday and Jimmy throws a 2 hit shutout today...
  12. KeithStone53151
    I'm not sure you can really blame Anderson for yesterday. The Marlins were seemingly all on fire and hit every reliever we threw at them...except Hernan of course. I also think Anderson has more success if the home plate umpire isn't squeezing him so badly. If he had gotten calls that Lopez was getting, maybe we only lose by a dozen instead of 16. But either way, Anderson really didn't pitch THAT badly yesterday considering the circumstances.
  13. KeithStone53151
    That's the same one I found(should have posted it originally). Was wondering if anyone had any more info. I understand it to some degree, but I suspect it's a pretty weak claim. Also a bit ridiculous that twitter makes it so difficult to find out why you're suspended.
  14. KeithStone53151
    This is right, except switch Shaw/Arcia. Get ready to see a LH reliever face 4-7 in the lineup at least once...probably twice today. Bench isn't long enough to realistically PH Thames for Aguilar in those scenarios.
  15. KeithStone53151
    So 5 college players to start out. The 2nd rounder is a bit of a project but the rest seem to have at least a decent amount of polish and figure to be relatively quick movers if successful. Does anyone think maybe they aren't targeting best available and are trying to get players more likely to help the big league club quickly?
  16. KeithStone53151
    Did anyone else notice that Tim Dillard's twitter account got suspended? I find this incredibly surprising, does anyone have any idea why?
  17. KeithStone53151
    Yes. It’d be great to hear a huge roar from the crowd tonight in support of Shaw but they’ll probably boo instead. Mostly because people are idiots. I can't imagine anyone would boo Shaw. That would be soooooooo ridiculous. I'm not upset with Shaw, I'm sure he's doing his best. I'm upset with management right now. I imagine others feel the same way.
  18. KeithStone53151
    One thing I'll concede on this Shaw decision, the next 2 games have some fairly weak RHP for him to face. It's like AAAA caliber at best. Pablo Lopez is extremely vanilla for a SP. 92-95 FB with mediocre curve and change...and 5 ERA. Lopez also generally fills the zone, so Shaw should see some less than elite pitches to hit. Alcantara has better, but not elite stuff. Also he struggles with control. Shaw's eye at the plate has remained solid despite his inability to make contact with anything, so theoretically he could get some very good pitches to hit or could produce a couple walks or something if he's off. Maybe the opponent and probable pitchers played into the decision a bit, though I still disagree.
  19. KeithStone53151
    So Hiura posted a 121 OPS+ in 17 games and "mashed", but yet Thames has posted a 122 OPS+ in over 50 games and you may want to cut bait with him? Literally six days ago, Hiura wasn't mashing and if it wasn't for his awful defense on the double-play last Saturday, he doesn't hit the tying HR off Vázquez. I am not saying I agree with the decision, but if you take a step back, you can see where the Brewers are coming from. He started a bit slow and has improved since starting slow his first few games beyond a promotion. It's also really weird you are trying to minimize that fact that he hit a HR off Vazquez...that's incredibly impressive regardless of if it relates to an error. I bet Shaw couldn't hit a HR off Vazquez is he had 100 tries right now, heck he might not be able to even foul a pitch off against Vazquez in 100 AB right now. Hiura isn't as consistent defensively as he needs to be, but he's still better at 2b than either of Shaw/Moose.
  20. KeithStone53151
    He didn't just straight out mash for 3 straight weeks. He had a .700 OPS just 5 games ago. Each of the guys they've chosen to keep on the roster for now has had better stretches of success than Hiura just did. Aguilar had an excellent half of baseball last year, and aside from that was solid at best the balance of last year and the prior year. Thames had that great first month in a Brewer uniform and was overall decent at best beyond that. Guys that produce like Thames/Aguilar are not THAT difficult to find. So many examples of mashing 1b coming out of nowhere. Shaw has the most solid track record of the 3, but I honestly cannot handle watching him swing through meatballs down the middle over and over and over anymore. I'll turn the damn game off the first time I see him do it. This move was rushed, it could have waited another couple weeks and didn't have to happen now. To be clear, I'm not advocating for cutting Shaw. He's the last of the 3 we should cut ties with. But he's not ready to start at the MLB level.
  21. KeithStone53151
    Just wondering how you felt about Arcia last year, Santana last year, Anderson last year/ST this year, Davies last year, Knebel for parts of last year, etc. Non-superstar players go through dry spells/turn things around. I can't even tell you if that's going to be Shaw/Aguilar. I understand that maybe they could stash Shaw in AAA instead, but otherwise, the Brewers believe Shaw is closer than what he was the last few years rather than the guy that has struggled/been unlucky for 40 games. If they start chopping guys for bad 40 game stints, they'll get to a point where they are 1 injury away from having to call the corpse of Kendrys Morales to start at 1B. They like to maintain organizational depth. Sometimes that involves tough decisions. We're in an unusual situation where we have a lot of established guys that aren't hitting, and a young elite prospect came up and mashed for 3 weeks. It's not like the other option is throwing Perez in at 2b. If that was the case, I'd be more open to giving Shaw a chance. And my stance on him is more time in AAA to find his swing, or we cut bait with one of the 1b to keep hiura around and let shaw start more at 1b. The best decision is to let him see slightly worse pitching in AAA for a bit and try and figure things out there. The decision yesterday made the team worse in the short run and the long run in my opinion...so I'm really struggling to see how it's a win.
  22. KeithStone53151
    With Grisham, Stokes, Taylor, Ray, maybe even Lutz...we have a lot of good options that can be ready for Braun's departure after next season. And the good news is we don't really need to rush any of these guys, if anything we may need to stall them at their level for half a year while they are MLB ready.
  23. KeithStone53151
    Why does having Shaw on the roster force Hiura to sit on the bench? Because they're not sitting Shaw and Moose. They will play 3B and 2B respectively. Anytime you can start a guy with a 550 OPS, you have to do it.
  24. KeithStone53151
    I completely disagree on Tom. I think he does a great job personally. He's very interactive with fans, surprisingly so on twitter considering what he's dealing with on that platform. You can tell he puts in the time, probably more than he needs to. I wish he would ask CC tougher questions in post game, but my understanding is CC and others won't call on guys for questions unless they play nice in postgame interviews. Under those BS circumstances, can't blame him for not always asking the tough questions. But he does have good relationships with CC and Stearns and is able to get some really good info from both guys because of them. I'm not really sure what you are expecting/hoping for that Tom isn't providing, unless you are simply pointing out that glaring error in the headline. Stuff like that should get caught by any number of editors before it ever gets printed.
  25. KeithStone53151
    I have questioned them actually dropping him in favor of Shaw on the roster (because it makes us forced to start a LHB at 1B or 3B all the time)...however looking at stats Moustakas has sported a ~.740 OPS against lefties the last few years. They could definitely stick Moustakas at 3B and Perez at 1B, or the other way around. This is not the greatest situation, but it wouldn't force us a total hack with the bat when we face lefties. Then at the deadline they could be a tad more bold and trade Thames in favor of finding a more sensible platoon partner at 1B. Moose has definitely been serviceable/solid against lefties the last few years. He should be playing most days including against LH starters. I like having 1-2 lefties in against LH starter to give them a different look at the plate, especially LH starters who's primary out pitch is a changeup. If we did need to cut a veteran, Aguilar could be cut and Perez sees an uptick in playing time. That isn't necessarily the best move, but logistically it would work fine.
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