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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    "Boston’s front office may be impatient, but they’re not stupid, and likely to trade away a young controllable arm if they feel the player is close to developing into a TOR starter,.... So it’s not arrogance it’s skepticism ground in reality. " Boston literally did this last year.
  2. tmwiese55
    Going back to the talk a bit ago about the traditional thought on 3B power and hitting in general made me remember a few days ago when MLB network did their list of top 10 3B right now and I thought to myself how weak it is these days. It really doesn't take much to be an above avg 3B now, surprisingly weak position. A theory, perhaps advanced analytics have made teams realize the defensive value so some good hitters who 30-40 years ago would've hung at 3B (while being bad at D) are now getting moved to corner OF/1B/DH.
  3. tmwiese55
    Not sure I get the thinking here. Have to remember it was for 1 year of Williams. We'd have literally 0 right now if we kept him. Instead, we already got one year of Durbin which would generally be the equivalent of the one year of Williams. And now we have two pitching prospects and 14ish years of control on them, that if they pan out at all makes the brewers come out way ahead in the deal.
  4. tmwiese55
    Just did a quick glance at still available FA infielders. Most likely name that could make sense is Ramon Urias. Passable vet that won't cost much that I'd rather play than Hamilton
  5. tmwiese55
    Also, if Paredes was available for a reasonable cost you'd think Bos would've just gotten him rather than Durbin. He was rumored as a fit there right away when Bregman left due to the monster being perfect for his all pull game
  6. tmwiese55
    The Over/unders were out at least last week sometime. One was 83.5 and another 84.5. I will be invested in this as I have the last few years. For the most part, you can just bet MKE and Cle overs every year and clean up. I just looked at caesars and cubs are +115 and MKE is +250. Last year we were +350
  7. tmwiese55
    Thats fine, yea I'd say I'm fine if they don't sign one at all. But I think they will due to what other said of so few innings eater guys and so many on limits. So I think they will, and he seems to fit the bill well enough and has the relationship. If I remember correctly his peripherals and him looking like 'washed' so to speak has looked that way for years, But he keeps getting adequate results. Also that's why he's so cheap, people have been thinking he's done for years. And nbd if he does get beat up and you let him go since he's so cheap. Also, IMO I think the time we'd need a guy like him is early in the year rather than late. So I'd rather have him ready right away than waiting and seeing while paying more money on a montgomery type. Let the young guys ease into the year and be fresher for late in the year/playoffs But yea, I'm fine without and if need arises later you grab the equivalent of a Civale type midseason
  8. tmwiese55
    My guess is they're in very close contact with Quintana for this role. He seemed to click well with the team and bought into what they're trying to do, good mentor for the young guys. I'd just give him his 4-5 mill and be done with it.
  9. tmwiese55
    Yes that's generally my take too. An unknown thing factor in that to us as fans is whether MKE is open to Turang at SS. I'd add one thing, that having Vaugn already is a factor here and if you could've known Suarez at 17 mil or Vaughn at 7.5 which would they choose. I think we'd probably go with Suarez, but there was no way of knowing that 3 months ago.
  10. tmwiese55
    Don't get me wrong, I'm generally fine with trading prospects other than true elites in your Made/Chourio class. But folks acting like prospects never pan out or at such a bad rate seem to be forgetting all MLB players were prospects at one point. I randomly grabbed a 2018 top 100 list. A lot of the players became solid contributors and of course tons of big stars https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/top-100-mlb-prospects-2018/ top 10: 1. Ronald Acuna | OF | Braves ?? 2. Shohei Ohtani | RHP | Angels ?? 3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 3B | Blue Jays ?? 4. Eloy Jimenez | OF | White Sox ?? 5. Victor Robles | OF | Nationals ?? 6. Gleyber Torres | SS | Yankees ?? 7. Nick Senzel | 3B | Reds ?? 8. Bo Bichette | SS | Blue Jays ?? 9. Fernando Tatis Jr | SS | Padres ?? 10. Forrest Whitley | RHP | Astros ??
  11. tmwiese55
    Yea had fingers crossed there but I'm guessing that 2nd year was enough to rule us unless he dropped to like 2/15. 1/10 I think I'd be good with it for sure but I see their hesitation on 2/20ish. That said, they've had no issue using 8-10 mil per on the Mccutchen and other types, and of course 18 on Hoskins. And they'll have a lot of money clearing the books next offseason so personally I'd have been up for it. At the least you know Bader is good at D while being at least a competent hitter Hopefully they have something up their sleave for a proven hitter of some kind but my guess is their hoping Mitchell stays healthy, and then have Perkins/Jett after that. And if those fail there is the obvious deadline move, I bet Mark Canha will be out there.
  12. tmwiese55
    Who knows how it all shakes out with Jett at SS or OF in the 26 season. I guess first thing lets hope he's good enough to make MLB this year. A lot after that will be dictated by injury and performance of the returning guys on where he plays. But we know injuries will happen and rest days are needed. So at the very least as a floor it should massively reduce the ABs of the Dunn/Siegler/Lockridge/Camerons. Which of course helps the team if he at least somewhat lives up to his prospect status. Don't think I've seen info on how his CF/OF D is? Basically, assuming Mitchell gets hurt will they consider him good enough at D to play him or is he an automatic no go for the Brewers standards? Especially with Perkins gold glove sitting there
  13. tmwiese55
    I'd say generally fine with it and with both prospects. Seems like they have a good chance. though I'd be curious on how the Baty discussion went, you'd think he's very expendable there and we had a clear need for him. My nitpicks would be having to give up Tobias too, he's still controlled for several years and in the MKE system I was confident he'd be a good contributor and at the least great depth. Wish they could've found a different less immediately valuable second piece instead. Second, that it helps our direct competition for 2nd best team in the NL. It essentially filled the only hole the had left on the team.
  14. tmwiese55
    I'm fine either way, but generally agree with an a post a few back that you need to be won over on this one. Basically, we're content to keep him and go for it with him this year. So to make us change our mind we need to be won over with a great offer. Unlike when Burnes was traded and everyone knew it would happen and we were likely the initiator on some calls.
  15. tmwiese55
    With the Mets adding all these other infielders have to think Baty would be in any deal with them.
  16. tmwiese55
    Not sure how Andy Pettite picks up all these votes and is trending towards making the HOF while clearly better players have no chance. Its like voters are more offended if you were the elite of the elite and used. But if you're the next step or two down then its aww shucks you're just trying to keep up. Makes no sense to me how Pudge and Ortiz roll right in with no questions and now it seems Pettite will, but Bonds/Arod are banned. ETA: saw some discussion MLB TV today on the topic. They basically all said he should be in and the reason was essentially "ahh, he seems like such a good guy so I believe when he said he only did once. And second, he played for the yankees so he played in the playoffs every year.". Which is, of course, ignoring that he previously lied and said he only did it once. Until a second round was proven in court, in which he then fessed up to it. Ah, but he's a good guy and wouldn't lie again. But everyone else, they must be liars when they say it was an accident or a one off.
  17. tmwiese55
    I just go into the year with the division as the attainable goal and something to celebrate or take pride in, however you want to phrase it. Then take the playoffs as a crapshoot bonus and hope for the best. I pretty much do that in all sports at this point since they've expanded the playoff fields so much that winning is such a long shot and only one team can be happy. I guess other than NBA, which generally is the best team that wins. That said, LAD might be gaming the system so hard that MLB is now best team almost always wins too. But, SD and Tor took them to the wire the last two years so its not like they're the Durant Warriors level of unbeatable. And yea, its not lost on me that SD/Tor have big budgets too
  18. tmwiese55
    The thing with LAD or the 'opening' to beat them in the next few years come in that Betts/Freeman are getting surprisingly old while having big contracts still. Other guys for them will be approaching that too. So, the question will be can they keep spending these ridiculous amounts to pay new guys they buy while also paying the aging guys when the are essentially washed up? As of now, it sure looks they plan on and have the ability to keep paying though so its tough to have much hope. But there has to be a limit at some point.
  19. tmwiese55
    The weird part is they swallowed their whistles the whole game and let several roughings go that were worse than this one, yet with the 'let them play' mantra. But then called a borderline one at crunch time with the game on the line. Also swallowed their whistles on PI the whole game. They did that 'both ways' and were consistent but it benefitted MIA more since they were doing it more. IU was ahead, in control, and ended up winning in spite of these reffing nitpicks working against them. Still one heck of a game and story for IU. And the athletes on MIA D are ridiculous, I assume several 1st rounders there
  20. tmwiese55
    I think Saurez is a pipe dream for MKE due to money. And in general I agree with the notion that MKE values D so much that he's likely not on their radar. Brewers have also seemed to break their past mold and are now against home run or bust type guys. But to your point, I'd add that yes he can be passable/ok for this year at 3b while getting some DH and 1B days. Its also possible Vaughn regresses and he shifts to 1B which reduces how much he has to play 3B. In addition, even if Vaughn is generally fine this year, hes almost assuredly gone after this year. So if Saurez was a 2-3 year signing, you just need him to be passable for one year at 3B then transition to 1B
  21. tmwiese55
    Every upper tier high major program team is spending similar money on a QB as Indiana. No one is saying Cuban and money aren't a factor, its just that there is much more to it than the recent simplistic narrative of "cuban's buying all the best players". The most important money Cuban spent was paying to keep the coaches. I think it was midseason last year when they gave extensions. In addition, you could make an argument one of the most important thing Cignetti did was convince Cuban he was the guy worthy of this investment. Paying players has been legal for several years before Cignetti got there and either Cuban didn't pony up, or he already was and those coaches couldn't win squat with it. Either way, I think this argument largely goes away from here on out. They've risen their profile so much its unlocked the huge alumni base they have now and combine it with Cuban they're likely to be a power going forward and from here on out will no longer be on the middle tier of money ETA: according to google an avg SEC NIL budget is 30-40 mil. It estimates IU at about 14 mil. One would assume OSU is in the same ballpark as the sec
  22. tmwiese55
    To get the players to agree you'd have to revamp the arbitration system and pay a heck of a lot. They're not going to want to move back FA and make it harder to get big paydays. There's probably is something that could work and it does accomplish some of the goals being discussed here, but they'd have to get paid a lot more in those years of team control than they currently are making in those years. Such a scenario probably would also help the more mid range players too as pay skews too much to top level guys now. That's really the thing I'm surprised the union hasn't tried to address at all recently as money has exploded. Trying to get more to the mid level guys and even minor leaguers, essentially spreading the wealth a bit rather than consolidated to the few guys who get the mega deals. You'd think the players would vote for efforts to do so.
  23. tmwiese55
    And the year before they had a MAC QB with half their starters from JMU. And I didn't say its not a factor, I said too much is being made out of it like its that simple. Which I guess a comment like you made is doing exactly that, since pretty much every upper tier major conference team is paying a similar amount of money to their QB yet at IU it seemingly took just that to win and look like the most dominant team in years. ETA: and while NIL info isn't totally clear. Quick google comparisons of IU vs OSU/SEC seems to think there is still a significant gap. But, like I said in the original post. He's raised their profile so much that might change going forward due to having a mega donor and enormous alumni base, so what will he do with elite talent plus his elite coaching.
  24. tmwiese55
    US generally taxes their rich much less than developed countries was mostly the point. And the ability for rich people to cheat them is much easier in USA, however most of his money being more or less straight income as opposed to investments, stocks, etc hurts his ability to cheat that. And of course getting to a non state income tax state would help that even more. If in CA it probably at least gets it close to the ballpark of Japan. Though he might end up getting a bit screwed and getting taxed in both countries. The point was just that he wasn't himself cheating or getting out of anything as he likely ends up paying more with less ability to cheat it, and that it would more be CA/USA getting screwed.
  25. tmwiese55
    When it happened I think it was stated he would get taxed on where he is when he gets paid. Which will likely be Japan. Yes, I think state of CA would be getting a bit screwed on it, but Ohtani himself likely wouldn't gain that much if at all because Japan actually taxes their rich people. Perhaps he could find a way to help himself by setting himself up in TX or something like that, IDK.
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