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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    The movement on his pitches is ridiculous at times, and the curve especially bites when its right. But the curve is too frequently just not even close to the plate, non competitive pitches too often. Hopefully with more reps its improved
  2. tmwiese55
    Another Braves option could be Albies. He's fallen off a cliff the last year or so, so maybe they'd be looking to move on from him. I think he just has two club option years left at 7 mil each. Do to his falloff you could probably get for cheap, especially if ATL is thinking of letting him go and especially compared to any Acuna talk. Who knows though how confident anyone could be in getting him back to his prior norms though, he's been quite bad this year. So really don't think you should give up anything of substance considering how bad he's been. And this would also need Turang going back to SS. Then Ortiz/Durban/Albies all kind of being interchangeable around at the other spots.
  3. tmwiese55
    Yea can never have enough relief, Chapman also would check the box of power lefty in that role which is something they're misssing. I agree on C not really being much of a need, assuming Contreras won't go to DL. Keep in mind also have many year vet Alfaro in AAA. But personally I've been more than happy with Haase. Didn't really think of before your post for some reason, but Suarez also can easily cover 1B while Hoskins is out and/or down the line if Hoskins falters. A big side question on IF would be if they are willing to have Turang shift to SS midseason or not, if so it opens up tons of flexibility. You could have something like Hoskins 1B, Suarez 3B, Turang SS, Durbin 2b. That said, I don't really get coming down on Ortiz now once he's finally been doing well
  4. tmwiese55
    Probably but I haven't seen. The MLB thing had the data on ABs with runners on at leadoff vs 2/3 in the lineup and its very drastic (like 30% vs 50) with leadoff of course being the lowest. The balance is 15ish extra PAs per year per spot moved down in the lineup. I think they also had some kind of computer simulation on the optimal lineup that would maximize total runs scored and it had him as either 2nd or 3rd. The main argument against is the extra PAs and keeping it LRL with him, Betts then Freeman. If I recall the simulation was to put Smith leadoff then move everyone else down one spot to keep the lefties alternated. But could simply have Betts leadoff, the put smith or Teoscar 3 Freddy 4.
  5. tmwiese55
    That's mostly on LAD stupidity of batting Shohei leadoff. MLB network nerds went off on it about a month ago.
  6. tmwiese55
    Yea its rare situation basically for why you said, to make it make sense it has to be a godfather offer so few do it. I meant in general all the guys traded with 1-2 years left every year get lacking returns to what we remember many years ago. Take Burnes here, but really there's countless guys with 1-2 years left. But Acuna with 3.5 left with two torn ACLs should go for that much more for just 1.5 more years. In addition, Soto was what 23 years old at the time whereas Acuna is 27 with two torn ACLs. And really that Soto deal is proving exactly why teams don't do it as SD look like fools on it, if anything it proves you shouldn't do it. If I recall that deal also had Josh Bell in it going to SD. But yea, that's why its so unlikely. Team like us would be dumb to godfather them and ATL would be dumb to do it without a godfather offer, unless their hand is forced by the player/agent.
  7. tmwiese55
    No way I'd give up that much. Really I can't believe it was even proposed based on how light most trade returns are these days. That proposal is drastically way over the top, why not make MKE give up Chourio too. That said, due to his contract and control he actually is one that could make sense for MKE to target if they actually made him available. And we are a team with a strong enough farm that it could happen. Perhaps about half of what was proposed in that deal. But really I don't see why ATL would trade him unless the minor manager rifts he's gotten into with them has become too much.
  8. tmwiese55
    In addition, Gallen and Kelly are both FAs at the end of the year. And Burnes will likely miss the start of the year. They are probably going to need SP next year unless Gallen/Kelly take team friendly deals to stay (presumably they would have done so already if that was the case though) That said, I'm not exactly tuned into how Tobias has been doing in AAA.
  9. tmwiese55
    Fair attitude in general to have, longing for simpler times. That said, if the Brewers did not think outside the box like this they'd have no chance. Because the obvious things you point out that every player/team should want, welp everyone knows that and those guys get the big bucks. Which MKE can't do. Thus, they have to scrap together an edge where they can. And I'd by no means call them useless, its how teams like MKE, Cle, TB and OAK (before they intentionally quit) keep winning. And a really simple way to look at some of it is that one run taken away from the other team is just as useful as one run scored for your own, that's the 'efficiency' that MKE has figured out because elite D and relief pitching does not cost near as much money as the obvious stats that you pointed. But mostly I was just gonna say don't get too caught up with the "Wins" aspect of WAR, its a bad or deceptive name. Just view it as a metric for average/mediocre that is trying its best to aggregate all metrics. Think other sports use similar things Player Efficiency Rating and things of the like or think of QB rating in football. This name implies too much direct correlation to Win.
  10. tmwiese55
    Marlins win again today. For those not aware, they've been on fire lately right as MKE goes into Miami. They do have some good young players so definitely not in the White Sox type class, but I choose to think this streak means they're due for at at least two losses this weekend rather than that its a sign they're going to a legit good team going forward. But its baseball, so who knows.
  11. tmwiese55
    Obviously tough result for Miz and the his achilles heel of walks came back to bite him. That said, if he just lets that grounder go by him for the 3rd out before the slam, they probably win this game
  12. tmwiese55
    I'm not one to stress out on daily lineup stuff. And I assume this was probably pre-planned before game 1. So obviously no big deal, but was pretty surprised to not have Collins back in there after the game he just had. Just give Contreras a game off and leave Yelich at DH.
  13. tmwiese55
    I'd generally agree, assuming normal health from both teams going forward. The big thing here will be what the Cubs do at the deadline, will they add a legit starter and 1-2 bullpen arms that work out? They have money to do it and recently I know they had a well regarded farm (can't say I've looked in the last 18ish months and after trading for Tucker). But will they? Dodgers and other teams are so good that it might be best to wait it out since they'd still have a very good shot to win division without going too hard at the headline. Quick take, if I'm them I probably just do a couple cheap BP additions and see what happens. Save money for Tucker and/or save prospects to replace tucker or for use in the future.
  14. tmwiese55
    Yea I'd try to wrap this around the ASB. At this point I think they've tried just playing through it a long enough try. Getting him back to his normal self would be huge to finish the year. Haase is solid and can fill in for a couple weeks and not kill you, I think Alfaro is still sitting aaa as an experienced long time pro who can play 1-2 times a week and be passable.
  15. tmwiese55
    Seems like he can hold down the fort and at least be competent/ok enough to not kill you the way 3B/SS was for the first month or so. In an ideal world, he'd be a backup and seems like a great jack of all trades utility player to fill in all over the place and can start for a while and not kill you. Not sure if he's done any OF but I'd be surprised if he can't pick it up and be competent. Someone in the Kiki/Taylor type mold that those guys have done for LAD over the years.
  16. tmwiese55
    Woodruff is back soon and they have a pending decision on Cortes coming too. There's a logjam coming unless some other injuries come in to take care of it. Obviously Miz performance so far means he shouldn't lose his spot. However, sending him down to limit his innings and essentially take a break for a bit could be in the cards. I'd generally agree that I wouldn't expect a Pen move for him because they'd want to control and plan his workload more rather than the getting up and down multiple times a week. The concern right now is just making the playoffs or winning the division, but yea down the line there very well could be a Strasburg situation where they have to bench their best pitcher in Sept/Oct when the stakes are highest.
  17. tmwiese55
    I'm shocked, could've sworn this would be the time the "this is the cheapest dumbest and worst run team in the league" after a couple so-so weeks contingency would finally be correct.
  18. tmwiese55
    Probably some semantics on what constitutes "staying on the field" is what's going on here. Because to at least some folks, missing 40 and 50 games and 40% in three of his first four seasons would count. And the other side of the argument would be that is not nearly as bad as what Mitchell has been doing.
  19. tmwiese55
    Surprising to say but Yeli probably makes it again. Up to a very solid 260/340/800ish ops with 15 HR and 56 RBI and 12 sbs. Side note, I remember recent talk about how our management is the dumbest thing ever for paying Yeli rather than a few hundred mil more for Harper. Harper has only played 57 games so far again this year, 9 HRs 34 RBI with similar splits stats. He has 6 years 142 mil left. Yeli about 3/80
  20. tmwiese55
    Seems pretty harsh. Yea he's had a tough year so far but it is partially affected by injury so bounce back should come. And keep in mind that tough year is the only reason he'd possibly be available and not expensive to acquire, he had a pretty darn solid first year at the plate. things that check the boxes for Brewers would be that salary is still low, has years of control left (likely options too), and is versatile to play several positions. Things against besides a bad year so far, would be that his D doesn't seem great according to quick look. Though he looks fine/ok at 2B. So getting him and planning to start him would mean Turang to SS mid season. I'd think the more likely thing if acquired would be to take Monostario's roster spot to be back up IF for everyone. Plus its good he can play OF. Also to note he hits R so could take many of Turang's starts vs lefties. Definitely seems one worth kicking the tires on and see what it might cost. But also no need to overpay and be desperate. Our IF offense has obviously been rough this year, though at least its been passable lately, but think how much worse it would look if due to injury have to start Monostario for a month or two. Couldn't hurt to have a better insurance policy if it doesn't cost much
  21. tmwiese55
    Yea but does he move a needle?
  22. tmwiese55
    Something I've been thinking this year, and reminded of with his good play here, is that Hoskins seems to be way less of a liability on D this year vs last. Not sure if it checks out in advanced stats, but sure seems not as many glaring f ups like last
  23. tmwiese55
    We spent the first 5ish weeks of the year with like one healthy starting pitcher from the original plan and we're now hind sighting that we didn't need pitching depth. This season, once again just like last year, is proving you can never have enough SP depth.
  24. tmwiese55
    I guess the balls were only juiced for yelich or something.
  25. tmwiese55
    If you just take out the fluky first four games of the year where they weren't ready or were caught off guard by all the pitcher injuries, they've been on a 92 win pace since. And thats with not all that much going right for them. Its kind of shocking their record is as good as it is. Especially since the team is run by the dumbest and cheapest people ever and have the worst manager in history
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