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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    If a 3B is being discussed the idea would be Turang to SS. Durbin to 2B. Ortiz to utility if he's not in the trade. We don't know if the team itself is open to that move but with the reported links to Suarez with Ortiz being in the doghouse of late it seems they would be.
  2. tmwiese55
    Having 4 OFs is fine, its really ideal. I don't see the issue or concern on PT. With two being switch hitters its easy to play matchups and rest days moved around. Plus, now that we're like 2-3 years into the "we have too many OF discussions" I'd hope folks realize that people will continue to get hurt. It happens over and over. Even got to the point we've had to play Bauers and Mike Cameron's kid out there this year. A roster crunch issue that could come up down the line if Vaughn keeps doing what he's doing is what to do with Hoskins. Bauers struggling after the good start obviously frees a spot. But, he at least had the OF sub flexibility that Vaughn doesn't have and he's not LH like Bauers. Brewers typically don't like having one position types and to have two of them who can't play anywhere other than 1B doesn't seem like their thing. Especially with DH heavily covered with Yeli/Contreras. But to my first point, other injuries will happen and it'll likely take care of itself or Vaughn will snap back to reality.
  3. tmwiese55
    I like how someone else phrased it earlier, definitely have to be involved which at the very least drives the price up. But don't overpay or go overboard for 2 months of a player. Drive it up so if the Cubs get they have to overpay, and just hope the Yanks end up doing it instead. Sure the Cubs have been weak at 3B but their offense is so good they should spend their assets on pitching so hope they see that too and the Yanks get him instead. I think I said it a couple months ago on here that he seems perfect for the Yankees, plus they'd be a team willing/able to pay him in the offseason, so getting now increases your chances of resigning. Cubs could do I guess but have the Tucker bill coming due this offseason.
  4. tmwiese55
    Saw someone mention the division odds. Made me remember about 10 days ago noticing they were 36-1 to win the WS and I told a friend who bets a lot that its not a bad bet at those odds. Even winning 6 more in a row since I said that they're still 25-1 and only 10th best odds. So seems the oddsmakers don't believe, though these lines are skewed by big city betters. Obviously I'm not saying they're going to win it, but a team that looks like a near lock to make the playoffs only having the 10th highest odds seems off.
  5. tmwiese55
    I was on the Contreras DL side and to wrap it around the ASB. Since that didn't happen I don't think they're going to all of a sudden do it now. But of course we're not really privy to the info of can it even heal in 2ish weeks or not? If it can't, then really there isn't a choice other than to play through it, deal with it in the offseason
  6. tmwiese55
    Granted its close to noon there so sun it kind of just up above everything. But based on shadows right now it seems the sun it as the back of defenders. Which would make sense for how to construct a stadium, you're not going to design to have sun going down behind home plate. But who knows with the angle he was running/looking and that its so close to noon that its kind of everywhere if you look up. I guess long way to say, that should be an error, complete wiff.
  7. tmwiese55
    I haven't seen anything yet either. But I think they mentioned it was a lingering thing for him before Sunday. With the ASB a DL stint is really only 6 games for him. IMO if its borderline you might as well do it, give him the week. It's tough teams to play, but better safe than sorry
  8. tmwiese55
    I rarely watch this stuff, but was trying to pay attention for when the MKE pitchers got in so was flipping to it. Biggest thing I noticed is the length of commercial breaks, seemed at the level of NFL games. Yea the ending was gimmicky, but tough to come up with a better solution since pitchers don't wanna pitch. I guess the HR contest was entertaining enough, but yea don't need all the interviews in between dragging it out
  9. tmwiese55
    I think I saw at least one of the Phils pitcher was still given the bonus. Presumably, his agent pointed out to the team he declined the invite but still deserves it and Phils said yes. So if they did it for one and word got out, they probably did it for the other if it was in his contract.
  10. tmwiese55
    To the Durbin talk, with several of the names being 3B I think the idea would be Turang to SS and Durbin being the primary 2B. Certain guys on the list could provide a lot of mixing and matching, but the general idea would be that Ortiz is the one pushed out
  11. tmwiese55
    I was just thinking if they're actually going to go for a significant trade that Abrams should be the target due to the control. I was about to look up the D stuff but someone here did it, I would think he could get shifted to 3B, Turang to SS. But, we know how MKE values D so that might just immediately take him off the list especially considering it would be a significant cost to acquire.
  12. tmwiese55
    I'd take this, especially if cheaper than a Suarez and since he has the extra year of control. Quick look seems Collins has done more 2B than 3B in the minors, so another way to make this worth would be if they are ok with Turang moving midseason to SS. Collins can bounce around as backup OF and share games with the non Turang IFs for the other two spots. Gets Mona off the roster
  13. tmwiese55
    The movement on his pitches is ridiculous at times, and the curve especially bites when its right. But the curve is too frequently just not even close to the plate, non competitive pitches too often. Hopefully with more reps its improved
  14. tmwiese55
    Another Braves option could be Albies. He's fallen off a cliff the last year or so, so maybe they'd be looking to move on from him. I think he just has two club option years left at 7 mil each. Do to his falloff you could probably get for cheap, especially if ATL is thinking of letting him go and especially compared to any Acuna talk. Who knows though how confident anyone could be in getting him back to his prior norms though, he's been quite bad this year. So really don't think you should give up anything of substance considering how bad he's been. And this would also need Turang going back to SS. Then Ortiz/Durban/Albies all kind of being interchangeable around at the other spots.
  15. tmwiese55
    Yea can never have enough relief, Chapman also would check the box of power lefty in that role which is something they're misssing. I agree on C not really being much of a need, assuming Contreras won't go to DL. Keep in mind also have many year vet Alfaro in AAA. But personally I've been more than happy with Haase. Didn't really think of before your post for some reason, but Suarez also can easily cover 1B while Hoskins is out and/or down the line if Hoskins falters. A big side question on IF would be if they are willing to have Turang shift to SS midseason or not, if so it opens up tons of flexibility. You could have something like Hoskins 1B, Suarez 3B, Turang SS, Durbin 2b. That said, I don't really get coming down on Ortiz now once he's finally been doing well
  16. tmwiese55
    Probably but I haven't seen. The MLB thing had the data on ABs with runners on at leadoff vs 2/3 in the lineup and its very drastic (like 30% vs 50) with leadoff of course being the lowest. The balance is 15ish extra PAs per year per spot moved down in the lineup. I think they also had some kind of computer simulation on the optimal lineup that would maximize total runs scored and it had him as either 2nd or 3rd. The main argument against is the extra PAs and keeping it LRL with him, Betts then Freeman. If I recall the simulation was to put Smith leadoff then move everyone else down one spot to keep the lefties alternated. But could simply have Betts leadoff, the put smith or Teoscar 3 Freddy 4.
  17. tmwiese55
    That's mostly on LAD stupidity of batting Shohei leadoff. MLB network nerds went off on it about a month ago.
  18. tmwiese55
    Yea its rare situation basically for why you said, to make it make sense it has to be a godfather offer so few do it. I meant in general all the guys traded with 1-2 years left every year get lacking returns to what we remember many years ago. Take Burnes here, but really there's countless guys with 1-2 years left. But Acuna with 3.5 left with two torn ACLs should go for that much more for just 1.5 more years. In addition, Soto was what 23 years old at the time whereas Acuna is 27 with two torn ACLs. And really that Soto deal is proving exactly why teams don't do it as SD look like fools on it, if anything it proves you shouldn't do it. If I recall that deal also had Josh Bell in it going to SD. But yea, that's why its so unlikely. Team like us would be dumb to godfather them and ATL would be dumb to do it without a godfather offer, unless their hand is forced by the player/agent.
  19. tmwiese55
    No way I'd give up that much. Really I can't believe it was even proposed based on how light most trade returns are these days. That proposal is drastically way over the top, why not make MKE give up Chourio too. That said, due to his contract and control he actually is one that could make sense for MKE to target if they actually made him available. And we are a team with a strong enough farm that it could happen. Perhaps about half of what was proposed in that deal. But really I don't see why ATL would trade him unless the minor manager rifts he's gotten into with them has become too much.
  20. tmwiese55
    In addition, Gallen and Kelly are both FAs at the end of the year. And Burnes will likely miss the start of the year. They are probably going to need SP next year unless Gallen/Kelly take team friendly deals to stay (presumably they would have done so already if that was the case though) That said, I'm not exactly tuned into how Tobias has been doing in AAA.
  21. tmwiese55
    Fair attitude in general to have, longing for simpler times. That said, if the Brewers did not think outside the box like this they'd have no chance. Because the obvious things you point out that every player/team should want, welp everyone knows that and those guys get the big bucks. Which MKE can't do. Thus, they have to scrap together an edge where they can. And I'd by no means call them useless, its how teams like MKE, Cle, TB and OAK (before they intentionally quit) keep winning. And a really simple way to look at some of it is that one run taken away from the other team is just as useful as one run scored for your own, that's the 'efficiency' that MKE has figured out because elite D and relief pitching does not cost near as much money as the obvious stats that you pointed. But mostly I was just gonna say don't get too caught up with the "Wins" aspect of WAR, its a bad or deceptive name. Just view it as a metric for average/mediocre that is trying its best to aggregate all metrics. Think other sports use similar things Player Efficiency Rating and things of the like or think of QB rating in football. This name implies too much direct correlation to Win.
  22. tmwiese55
    Marlins win again today. For those not aware, they've been on fire lately right as MKE goes into Miami. They do have some good young players so definitely not in the White Sox type class, but I choose to think this streak means they're due for at at least two losses this weekend rather than that its a sign they're going to a legit good team going forward. But its baseball, so who knows.
  23. tmwiese55
    Obviously tough result for Miz and the his achilles heel of walks came back to bite him. That said, if he just lets that grounder go by him for the 3rd out before the slam, they probably win this game
  24. tmwiese55
    I'm not one to stress out on daily lineup stuff. And I assume this was probably pre-planned before game 1. So obviously no big deal, but was pretty surprised to not have Collins back in there after the game he just had. Just give Contreras a game off and leave Yelich at DH.
  25. tmwiese55
    I'd generally agree, assuming normal health from both teams going forward. The big thing here will be what the Cubs do at the deadline, will they add a legit starter and 1-2 bullpen arms that work out? They have money to do it and recently I know they had a well regarded farm (can't say I've looked in the last 18ish months and after trading for Tucker). But will they? Dodgers and other teams are so good that it might be best to wait it out since they'd still have a very good shot to win division without going too hard at the headline. Quick take, if I'm them I probably just do a couple cheap BP additions and see what happens. Save money for Tucker and/or save prospects to replace tucker or for use in the future.
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