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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. My basic thing watching from afar for Mitchell to improve on is being more aggressive and actually swinging. Seems there's way too much trying to milk walks which puts him in bad spots, leading to Ks and even the Ks are very often going down looking. Just seems to be way too much watching strikes go by and going down looking, idk if any advanced data supports it. Swing the bat.
  2. That Emerson contract seems to hurt us in negotiations with Made. I think we all assumed Made would get more than Chourio in a hypothetical same scenario, but the Emerson deal just pressed it up a lot
  3. Generally agree and all, cold weather just seems to make hitting harder. However, the last two games of that series the wind was blowing out significantly. I think I saw earlier today that tonight's game is as well. I had fantasy players for both teams, so I checked the wind every day. I saw one of Happ's HR over the weekend and it probably becomes borderline if not for the wind. That said, Happ looks to be in a much better spot with his swing than he has been the last two years. I think he's a FA after this year so probably wants one more good payday. That would hurt if he plays a level better than he's been lately. Busch looks like he isn't going anywhere either, man I wish we'd have gotten him from LA instead of them
  4. With the so-so hitting I haven't really known what to think on him, or even what the org thought on him. This means they're pretty darn confident he'll at least be starter quality. Also, seeing him up close in ST it seems he's tacked on some mass and of course his frame has room to tack on more. So there is potential there for a hitting leap. At this point you generally have to trust Brewers assessments, so this makes me fairly confident. Of course, there's no guarantees and they're not right about everything so we'll see. Think this might also show some of the reasoning behind moving Durbin. If they have this much confidence in him he's likely on the radar to come up later this year if needed, and for sure next year. Thus making Durbin expendable and better to sell high on him rather than lower value if has a down year and/or becomes a utility guy later this year or in spring next year.
  5. If I recall the two possessions after the 8 pt lead there was a Blackwell drive that could easily have been a foul and a Boyd one that could. Instead, both were let go resulting in HP 3s on the other end (I think one was the 40 footer). Nothing egregious or anything to overly complain about, borderline calls that go either way. Anything in that sequence goes the other way (refs call fouls, or HP misses those 3s) and you likely comfortably drain out the clock. Probably got bad luck with how refs have the subconscious bias to give breaks to the team that's losing. I'm not blaming here, its part of the game, just getting at the butterfly effect of 50/50 calls. That's just the flukiness of a one game tournament.
  6. Just wanted to say I appreciated your insight all season. Good, knowledgeable stuff.
  7. For comparison, last year this game was in Denver also at 11 am. I went and it was $150 for endzone tickets halfway up the first deck. Bought tickets an hour or so before game so it was about as cheap as it went. One thing to note is BYU was in the same session. 2nd round, was almost $500 for corner seats maybe 15th row. What a difference being in a convenient location makes
  8. Jett was almost for sure going to start in AAA no matter what due to control. Of course there's all the other roster options 'above' him in terms of experience, but just based on gaining another year of control if he stays down for a few weeks. In those few weeks, others will get their chances. If they falter or injuries occur then he becomes an option to replace.
  9. I literally deleted a line because it seemed too long saying he would be the only one that would overlap but that's its essentially a lock that he isn't signing back, so it doesn't really matter. In addition, if you worked it out as an 'extension' right now you could structure it around Yelich's remaining year
  10. Don't get me wrong, if a trade could happen to clear this I'd probably do it rather than risk another big injury that turns his contract back into the pumpkin it looked like about two years ago. That's likely not happening this close to the season, but say he has another generally solid season. Other teams with bigger budgets could see a 2/50 type remaining contract as a fair bet. I don't think I'm attaching anything of value to 'dump' him though coming off the good year he just had. That said, we're already down to only 3 years left on this so its not thaaat bad as long as he stays healthy and being a solid contributor. In addition, since its only 3 years left the money shouldn't affect anything with the young guys in terms of yearly budgets. By the time any of them start making real money he'll be gone. But yes, they could overall look at it as $75 mil saved to spend elsewhere, or say on a more age aligned FA next year. With their relationship with him though, I don't think they're in any rush to get out of this contract now that he's rebounded to being a solid hitter again. He's probably even a guy they could go to and shift money into deferrals to help them out and he'd do it.
  11. Yea I think Turang's second half last year makes it not make any sense. Before last season when he was D first and a questionable bat maybe there was a price point where buying out 1-2 years past arbitration could make sense since it would be so little money to MKE (maybe they did try and he said No though). But now, the cost is likely to be so high that paying that money for those ages is likely too great of a risk. Let's just hope his second half and what he's done in WBC is real and we have a great player the next 3 years as the youths develop and come up, then trade him for a haul. I suppose too, if enough of the young guys pan out Turang could be one traded with two years let because his Arb salary might be so high by then.
  12. Press break has been a consistent problem in the Bo/Gard. Its a bit surprising more teams haven't done it vs them other than in desperation. With these two guards, especially Boyd, its definitely not a personnel issue this year. In general, I hate how teams (UW included) sit back and just let the traps play out rather than if you have a great ballhandler with great quickness (like boyd) to just get it and go. Attack it and beat them to the spots you'll get layups or fouls.
  13. I went to a few games last week and noticed his swing path was almost a downward swing. For anyone that has seen many minors games for him or many more spring ABs, would you say that's his normal or maybe just them putting an emphasis on contact in spring? I've only seen him play one minor league game and didn't notice it, but that type of swing is going to almost be exclusively grounders/liners and really no HRs. Obviously he still got great results because any time he made contact it was very hard contact, but just curious on more informed people's comments on it.
  14. Only half the time? I'd call the new Coordinator hire a success if he can get that level of improvement
  15. Yea I was surprised Rengifo checked out bad at 3B too, didn't think they'd get a guy like that. However, in this specific discussion you can't ignore that Rengifo can play every position on the field. Suarez is bad 3B, other options being 1B/DH and we have those spots covered. Rengifo's flex provides tons of defensive value. Was even more surprised when I saw Urias get less money than him and that he checks out very good at D at 3B. I know I'd have gone with Urias. My guess is they really think there is a Rengifo hitting bounceback possible to be in the realm of his 23/24 seasons. Whereas they think Urias is what he is and doesn't have that upside.
  16. I looked it up yesterday and ticket weren't crazy like stated above. Could get in the low 100s as of now. Sure, not cheap especially if you're paying for a bunch of kids. But also its in the realm of any real sporting event. And keep in mind any seat in the building is perfectly fine since its such a small stadium. In addition, price is almost for sure to drop by gameday. Its a 10k ish stadium and they have no local fans. I'm a vegas regular so will for sure go and likely go to 2 games. I'll be surprised if I pay over $100 per ticket and I'd guess in the $80 area. I think it'll be fun because its such a small stadium and it will be 80% Brewers fans. ETA: also I assume all games will be at night so temps won't be ridiculous
  17. If the Os think so little of Mayo (that's a bad sign) and have all these people blocking him. Perhaps the price wouldn't be as high as being discussed. If you got him at a good value, sure do it. But wouldn't want to give one of our two best relivers and/or really valued controlled Ps.
  18. My guess is that Peralta trade was independent of this and not caused because of money being tight due to Woodruff. My guess is it was more about getting the value on him before FA and not risking injury. So IMO, not offering Woodruff would've been them being cheap like everyone accuses them of, instead they paid up for him now 3 years in a row when they didn't have to. So then if we had 22 mill more to spend I really don't see a feasible move via FA to address OF/3B/SS. that makes a huge difference Maybe instead of Renfigo they pay more for Urias (if that's why the chose him instead) or maybe a midlevel OF of some kind happens like an Austin Hayes, Adolis Garcia, Bader type. I guess it gets Suarez involved in that money though, that could be the one "needle" moved if he happens to have a good year. However, I just don't think his type is on MKEs radar. But overall, the team would be in a worse spot imo. No Woodruff and only a slight upgrade at one position.
  19. Generally like him and Abrams as targets. But yes I'd agree in today's trading world that I don't think we should have to give up that much. And if so, probably hold tight and focus on other options. Someone like Abrams should be a lower price and fits our main position of need this year. You'd control him for 3 years, so this year when he's desperately needed. Then one more as hopefully some prospects start poking their heads up in 27. Then he'd likely be traded in the following offseason assuming the youths are looking good.
  20. Also, it is the market. If the ticket prices were cheaper, they'd get resold on open market because people are willing to may more. The general public is willing to pay for the entertainment experience and the money has to go somewhere. People are willing to watch on TV or pay subscriptions to watch it, if they charged less for them then its the owners of the networks making the big profit. This is just capitalism at work
  21. I do think that technically the ref himself is supposed to be counting separately, but I'd have to double check. So in theory, in a situation the operator was slow to start the clock the ref could call it before it hits 19. But for the purposes of what the twitter obsession was about, the people were wrong in how the clock is supposed to work. And then in this case, its clear the operator started early so this possible gray area of the refs count would be clearly in UWs favor.
  22. It is 20.6, that's why it hasn't been 10 until it hits 19. There's a whole reddit thing too. This is all blown up nonsense and the operator screwing it up made it closer than it seemed. Then compound it with people on twitter jumping the gun (including their coach i think) rather than double checking. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_line_(basketball) Google AI: In NCAA college basketball, the 10-second backcourt violation is officially signaled when the shot clock displays 19 seconds. While some debate exists regarding clock accuracy, the standard, correct ruling is that 10 seconds have elapsed once the 30-second shot clock counts down to 19 (meaning the ball has been in the backcourt for over 10.0 seconds). Key details: The Trigger: The countdown starts when the team gains control in the backcourt. The Visual Cue: When the display changes from 20 to 19, the 10 seconds have elapsed, and a violation occurs. Context: This rule applies to both Men’s (30-second clock) and Women's (30-second clock) basketball. Technical Note: Some, this Reddit user notes, argue that a whistle at 20 seconds is technically premature based on how 20.99 seconds is displayed, but 19 is the accepted, standard violation time.
  23. Surprised to see that defensive info on him. Adds some fuel to any Turang to SS, Ortiz to 3B discussion ETA: quick look, Ramon Urias seems to be top notch at D. Seems he'd have made more sense but maybe they value the switch hitting or he's gonna be a few mill more, or two years. Considering his brother came back to the franchise last year, I doubt there's some bad blood from letting him go a few years ago
  24. It has to be showing 19 before its a violation. Regardless, in this case the operator started it early and it would've been total bs to have that affect the end of the game. In addition, there's still frames of Boyd across the line with it still saying 20. This is a blown up non issue.
  25. Yes they're not gonna bring up Quero to play once every 7-10 days. I don't see how anyone was expecting that to happen. If Contreras goes down I'd expect him to be up though and playing at least half the games, assuming things go well for him this year. Besides being bad for his development, its also bad for the brewers long term to use up a year of service not playing
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