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MrTPlush

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Everything posted by MrTPlush

  1. MrTPlush
    Honest question, would a FA consider Milwaukee a playoff team? I think that would usually be an obvious playoff team…not a fringe playoff team that could easily fire sale in July. I doubt he considered any team really not on the west coast. If he wanted a playoff team and found himself in the D Backs…probably a good sign he couldn’t find what he thought that was and went local.
  2. MrTPlush
    I am one to not overly care about PED stuff. However, I do care how good you were for your time. Todd Helton and Scott Rolen are nit HOFers to me. Todd Helton’s incredible 5 year stretch managed a single Top 5 MVP finish. After that his only award was a 13th finish once. Scott Rolen was #4 in voting once and then has a bunch of fringe Top 25 finishes. Mark Buehrle? A 5.0 K/9, 3.80 ERA, and one Top 5 finish (#5 at that) in his long career? If Tim Hudson barely survived a year on the ballot, Buerhle has zero shot of ever getting close. Gary Sheffield is arguably one of the more deserving. I think he never gets credit because he played for a million teams and doesn’t have the legendary charm with one team. 9 AS teams, Three Top-3 MVP finishes, three more in the Top 10. That guy was arguably one of the best baseball players a good chunk of the years in his career. There was so much longevity back then to allow good players to rack up 60 WAR. Gu
  3. MrTPlush
    Lance Leipold had his QB throw for 544 yards and 5 TD passes PLUS a rushing TD. He then proceeded to have said QB flip it to the backup QB that then basically tossed the ball into the stands to end the game in 3 OT on a must get two-point conversion. He completely missed a wide open dude right in front of him Now the Kansas 2nd string QB is actually pretty decent…but still. Game on the line your 2nd string QB should not be the one throwing the ball.
  4. MrTPlush
    Well he has one year of full-time work under his belt and three of these years cover arbitration. They already had him through his age 30 season. It sounds like a steal now, but lots of catchers totally implode at 31+ years old. I’m sure he will be serviceable without offense at that age, but he may not exactly be some huge bargain for those FA years. It is more shocking from Murphy’s end. This is his big payday and pretty much the entire remainder of his career. Max $88mil instead of hitting free agency and likely getting $100mil+ on top of his arby earnings. Of course, three years is a long time with little track record. Seems like a pretty fair deal for both ends of it.
  5. MrTPlush
    Well, you can’t do it in the way you are describing…because guaranteed years are exactly that, guaranteed. You’d have to make them player options contingent on health. Not sure if you can direct it towards a specific injury or have to just base it on IL stays in general. If it can’t be directed towards a specific issue then it definitely isn’t going to happen. I can’t imagine a guy signing a massive deal over a decade long is going to agree to that though. He would be better off just taking less money that is actually guaranteed.
  6. MrTPlush
    His rookie campaign was fine. Easy to be spoiled by our current aces and they easily overshadow anyone else. Rookie campaigns aren’t always great…even for really good pitchers. Greinke once dropped a 5.80 ERA in 33 starts to begin his career. Verlander once had a 4.80 ERA early in his career. 4.26 ERA for Kershaw in his first year. Scherzer had an ERA north of 4.00 2/3 of his first years. This isn’t to say Ashby will or could end up like them…just that a starters first crack at it is more about showing flashes of promise than it is actually results at the end of the year. Does he end up like Brandon Woodruff, Wily Peralta, or somewhere in between…time will tell.
  7. MrTPlush
    What could have been. Disaster off a career injury wise. Still a HOFer, but pretty sad he basically was a walking injury after turning 27 and now retiring at 33.
  8. MrTPlush
    I think Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers (plus some other QBs of the legendary run of elite QB play) gave the false impression that a QB slinging MVP caliber seasons into their mid-late 30s was easy. Reality is…I’m not so sure that is really how things are and the Broncos might have just found out with Russell Wilson. No his team isn’t helping him in a lot of ways and yah, a lot of those QBs had rough years in their 30s before rebounding. I can’t remember any of them being this bad though.
  9. MrTPlush
    I liked the late field goal. You aren’t getting the ball back, might as well force them to drive the length of the field with no two minute warning or timeouts. Was annyone optimistic we would win in OT? Not me. Even ignoring the INT that drive was starting out a real poor with the short inbounds play to burn the clock right off the bat. Then they went inbounds again. I’m surprised they did that. Usually you want to at least cut the field in half with the other team playing prevent and giving free yards for almost no time lost.
  10. MrTPlush
    The fact, as a Brewers fan, you missed Devin Williams in all that research…is incredible. Also, I am aware there are some Top 2 or Top 3 finishes below a .800 OPS. I found a few at .775 in recent history. It’s not common though and you would exactly expect it going into the year.
  11. MrTPlush
    Christian Watson or Chris Godwin? I have to have one of them outscore Mike Evans by 7 points. Watson seems like the better boom guy to get enough points.
  12. MrTPlush
    This doesn’t include relief pitchers, which have won the award and do garner votes. Sure, if they struggle A LOT you can send them down. However, if Turang is sporting a 90 OPS+ or something there is likely no reasonable explanation of why you are sending him down. Not unless you are replacing him at the deadline. If a player is serviceable, sending him down isn’t going to be all that possible. A draft pick has nowhere near the value as an extra year of service time. It’s not close. If we hold a guy back he would need to finish Top 2 for them to gain the year of service time anyway. From some quick research that likely means a hitter will need to be floating an .800 OPS or better. Below that and very little chance of being Top 2. It also makes a massive difference whether or not you are a hyped prospects (Top 20 or even Top 10). Those prospects just naturally get more attention and more votes. So Turang and his .772 OPS at AAA and career .745 OPS has an incredibly unlikely chance of being in the Top 2 or Top 3 conversation. Sal Frelick has enough prospect hype and high enough ceiling…he could potentially have a shot to be in that conversation. A lot can depend on the year though. I don’t know how many Top 15 prospects are set to debut early this year…but the years you see multiple of those guys ready to throw up .900+ OPS’s really could alter the rest of the prospect worlds chances.
  13. MrTPlush
    I don’t think a team would care, to be honest. You lost out on a draft pick, not the powerball. Any team would be more upset two other rookies didn’t get voted higher. If you care that much about bonus pool money, plenty of teams get tradable comp picks don’t they? Unless they went away with the new CBA, you could just buy the bonus pool money if you want it that dearly.
  14. MrTPlush
    No, I’m not missing possibilities. I’m well aware a guy can suck, get demoted, and never see a year of service time. Just because I didn’t outline all 100 outcomes, doesn’t mean I don’t understand they exist. But there is a lot of room between ROY finisher and getting demoted. Especially when we bank the entire off-season on them and pencil them into a starting spot. Sure he could be fine and we find an excuse to demote him for a few weeks to avoid a year of service time…but you are going to attract a lot of negative attention via the players union. If we don’t legitimately have a guy on our team that can play better, you are kinda stuck with him. This isn’t comparable to Khris Davis either. If we are risking a year of control, they are in a starting spot. Khris Davis was a backup OFer. He started two games all April. He wasn’t even the main option to begin with. Turang won’t be such an easy send down because you aren’t exactly going to have a great Plan ‘B’ in May. You are kinda stuck with a bench bat starting or a different minor leaguer. It allows quite a lower floor before it makes sense to demote him as the options outside of him are pretty low hanging fruit. ROY is just a bit fickle to start planning on a guy making the Top 3. A lot of guys held back a few weeks will take spots and there are always random non Top 100 guys putting up surprising years. I just don’t think teams will make decisions really based on it.
  15. MrTPlush
    Brent Suter isn’t valuable, nor should we be signing guys like him to long term contracts, ever.
  16. MrTPlush
    Thanks for the correction. I think it is more a bonus than anything. Might be a decent year to chase it as most teams are probably reluctant to see how that really shakes out.
  17. MrTPlush
    It is pretty trivial when you consider you have to give up that year of control for a pretty unlikely chance of your player winning ROY. You would almost have to force them to change voting rules so only qualified players with enough ABs and Innings were even eligible for the award. Imagine trying to bank on your guy to win ROY just for some guy who was held back for a year of control to win it. The pick isn’t worth a ton. It’s worth something, but not worth losing a year of a player who is already at the MLB level and a top prospect. I just can’t imagine a team really making it a deciding factor.
  18. MrTPlush
    They are not making decisions based on a prospect list ranking. Yes, I get the rule/benefit. We aren’t sacrificing a year of control because some long shot gain IF they win ROY. If said player is so good they win ROY we are going to wish even more we held them back for the control. The gain isn’t anything meaningful to chase. Either we hold them back for the year of control or we don’t. Whatever we do, it won’t be because of their ranking on prospect lists.
  19. MrTPlush
    Do we have the payroll to add a guy like that though? He would get the playing time sure, but you are still paying one of your bench spots $7.5mil. I’m sure through injuries he gets a good chunk of at-bats…but you are basically paying him for his play against LHP, which is not very much. Sounds like a luxury that our payroll might not be able to fit. If our lineup is still problematic come the deadline, maybe then you prep it for a postseason run where hitting LHP is much more important.
  20. MrTPlush
    The years were ‘lol’ and the overall money was ‘lol’. The worst part was the fact they signed him to be a 2B. Which was terrible at the time and in retrospect was indeed exactly that. Was mostly a 2B in 2020 and then after 10 innings in 2021, never played it again. I mostly forgot he was even in the MLB still. Not surprising since his high games played was 78…last year. 2020 shortened season was the only decent year he had. He was a good player for us, but not “let’s invest 4 years into you” good.
  21. MrTPlush
    I must be missing something. Why does anyone want Wil Myers? .315 OBP and a .713 OPS? What a waste of 7.5mil that would be on a tight budget. Pretty sure one of our rookies could manage a 1.2 WAR.
  22. MrTPlush
    If we are versatile enough, he is a decent bench bay fill-in guy.
  23. MrTPlush
    I think they would have shipped him off by now if they didn’t want him…but his usage with Counsell as manager was pretty sad. Unless they are hoping some team ends up wanting him as a backup option at DH/1B/2B if they can’t find better by March. I just for some reason doubt they would offer him arbitration unless they felt they would actually want him in some form. Unlike Wong/Renfroe, he isn’t exactly that intriguing or valuable in a trade.
  24. MrTPlush
    Credit history shows responsibility and ability to manage money. Let’s be honest, most Americans have loans in some form or another or had them recently. Ones that don’t are usually super smart with money and know how to use credit cards to make money. If someone is so smart to not have loans and not care to use credit cards to make money…they don’t rent…or have so much money they flash their bank account and have the place. I don’t think landlords are looking for a 800 credit score. If someone is hiding their credit score, they probably have pretty bad credit. Which reflects irresponsibility.
  25. MrTPlush
    Well they lost 102 games…they certainly have holes to fill. As for upgrading 2B or 3B. They could, but I don’t think we desperately need to do it. These guys getting signed aren’t very good and hardly improvements at face value…if at all. Turang could easily outhit and outfield him.
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