Jopal78
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Everything posted by Jopal78
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Brewers-Cubs NLDS Game Four Thread - 10/9/2025 @ 8:08PM
Jopal78 replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Archived Game Threads
You and I both know they’re going to start Misiorowski on Saturday he’ll be all over the place, and it’ll be over before they can give him the hook. -
Brewers-Cubs NLDS Game Four Thread - 10/9/2025 @ 8:08PM
Jopal78 replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Archived Game Threads
Peralta with 70 pitches in the third. Get ready to ride the pen hard to finish this one only to go into an elimination game with a bullpen game. -
Again, I know what the result of the variables numerically is supposed to represent. OPS+ includes park factor. Nobody here knows how to calculate a park factor so it’s relying on some website that publishes them and the methodology that each site uses to do it is not uniform.
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Where do you get the offensive upside from? PCA was the better hitter in the minor leagues, and true he is almost 2 years older than Chourio. But you’re comparing a 21 year old and a 23 year old. Maybe you’ll ultimately be right and in 8 years Chourio will be the far better player, but you’re just guessing right now. I’m not hailing PCA as the next super star player, just pointing out the raw numbers indicate that they’re pretty even offensively to this point in their major league careers, and certainly Chourio isn’t regarded as the defender Crow-Armstrong is.
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I’ll give you a pad, pencil and stat sheet for the 2025 Brewers and 20 bucks if you can calculate wRC+ or OPS+ for the players on the Brewers. Even giving you the benefit of the doubt and assuming you knew the actual formulas as opposed to merely what the result of the equation means, it’s still a sucker bet because not one of us could do the calculations without being provided variables computed by someone else. Further those variables and how they’re calculated differs between the sources that publish them such as Fan Graphs, Statcast, and Baseball Reference. Thus there is inherent subjectivity in all those metrics based on the source one uses for park factor, league averages, run environment adjustments etc. Which is why I initially said I don’t care about wRC+ because there’s a metric to support nearly any argument one wants to make. However, when you look at plate appearances, hits, extra base hits. Chourio and Crow-Armstrong have been quite similar to date in their careers.
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I don’t really care about weighted runs created plus because there is seemingly a complicated metrics formula to support any argument that one wants to make (For example, PCA’s career bWAR (8.2) is more than 25% greater than Chourio’s (6.0) in nearly the same amount of games played). I’m looking at the raw counting numbers, they’re nearly identical. Chourio: 293 hits in 1162 PAs. 110 XBH PCA: 234 hits in 1076 PAs. 101 XBH. The real difference is PCA is an elite defender and Chourio is not.
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Ever look at PCAs stats through 1076 PAs and Chourio’s through 1162? Eery similarities: PCA: 50 2B, 10 3B, 41 HR, 64 SB, 53 BB, 260 K Chourio: 64 2B, 8 3B, 42 HR, 42 SB, 69 BB, 242K. It’s really the defense that separates PCA as the better player of the 2. Moreover, PCA is not quite 2 years older (3/25/02) than Chourio (3/11/04).
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Hoskins will be on the post season roster. There hasn’t been much reason to keep him since he came off the IL except to be the late inning power bat off the bench in the postseason.
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To be eligible for a team’s post season roster the player must be in that organization, not necessarily the major league team, by midnight on August 31st.
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He wasn’t playoff eligible for anyone but Milwaukee after 9/1
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But what’s left of that 18 million? A million bucks? He’s had 3 MLB at bats since July 5th. Just seems weird they’d let a guy rot on their bench, for the final weeks of the season. In suppose between Hoskins, Seigler, Lockridge and Berroa (the other hitters on the 40 man, there’s no reason to not
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Just a thought: is there a reason the Brewers haven’t just released Hoskins? Are they going to burn a spot on the playoff roster for a non-contact hitting pinch hitter, who hasn’t received regular MLB At bats in months?
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Hahaha. Wanna bet he’s on the team beyond 2026? Perkins, Mitchell, Chourio, Frelick, Collins, Yelich. When he’s out of options, they’ll dump him if not sooner.
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Exactly. Just three weeks after deeming Cortes expendable they’re signing starting pitchers off the street praying to get innings out of them. i don’t pretend to understand the shuffling that went around with absorbing Jansen’s and Jordan Montgomery’s salary while shedding part of Nestor’s, but with Hall, Henderson and now Megill on the IL and Misiorowski with about 20-30 innings left in his arm for ‘25; I’d sure rather have Cortes than Lockridge.
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He’s already 20 innings over last year’s total. Unless they ride him hard that’s 20-30 innings left for the year. So what a bunch of four inning starts? Make the bullpen cover 5 innings once a week? Move him to the pen or shut him down. It’s what’s best for the team
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He will be shut down before the playoffs he’s already surpassed his innings pitched in any season as a pro and there’s 5 weeks of regular season games left
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I’ll say it, the Miz hype is over. ERA of around 9 since coming off the IL. Fatigue, maybe a little bit of the league catching up to him. The short starts are going to have a cumulative impact on the pitching staff. Should just move him to the pen or shut him down for the year. Better yet they shouldn’t have made the trade of Cortes for Lockridge. Would be much better having Cortes going 5 and being in Miz like Ashby for multiple innings than have Lockridge coming off the bench once or twice a week
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Ok. 23 year old rookie misses 3 turns through the rotation. “Barely missed any time?” Depends who you ask. Fact is they’d be a stronger team with Cortes than Lockridge or even Cortes/Haase then Jansen/Lockridge. Big picture is Misiorowski for whatever reason lasting less than 2 innings caused or contributed to cause their loss in extras today.
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Sure it is. Misiorowski is pushing inning limits, hadn’t pitched in weeks and didn’t do a rehab assignment. But lack of better options (Patrick hasn’t been called up despite the Brewers cycling through McGee, Yoho, Myers, Henderson, etc) resulted in Misiorowksi going right back into the rotation and being unable to finish two innings leading to Johnny Wholestaff on Friday, then an extra inning game Saturday, then the last two pitchers on the roster being charged with holding a one run lead against a good team.
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This loss is the byproduct of Misiorowski going less than 2 innings Friday. So clinging to a late lead two days later they’re forced to use the fringe roster guys out of the pen with the game on the line. Moreover, it’s a trade of Cortes domino effect of shortening rotation depth by one leading to this mess.
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I like your bolded parts in your quotes but ignoring the meat and potatoes in those same quotes which disagree with your premise . Like delayed healing can incur in individuals with peripheral neuropathy and hyperglycemia. I can all but guarantee you Mitchell doesn’t have peripheral neuropathy, and if he’s monitoring his glucose levels he doesn’t have chronic hyperglycemia either. As far as I recall Mitchell has torn ligaments in his shoulder, suffered a finger fracture, strained an oblique muscle and reinjured the ligaments in his shoulder. Not sure what the relevance of tendinopathy would be since he hasn’t suffered a tendon injury. But your high school debate coach would be proud for citing sources in your argument. Good try chap.
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First of all Mitchell is a Type 1 diabetic. Not adult onset, meaning he’s known for years what he can eat and what he has to do to keep his glucose level under control. That’s exactly why Mitchell wears a monitor and tests his sugar level during games. Decreased blood flow and delayed healing are chronic consequences of long term uncontrolled hyperglycemia I’m not a doctor but I’ve never heard of any medical evidence of a causal link between soft tissue/muscle/sports injuries and the fact someone carries a diagnosis of Type I diabetes. In fact a few years ago, Will Sammon wrote a piece in the Athletic where Mitchell discussed the very lack of awareness people have in drawing the conclusion you made above.
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The Brewers are not going to nearly triple his salary simply because Mitchell tries hard. What would Mitchell even argue at an arbitration hearing? All those other position players with 3+ years of service time and less than 150 career games played? Since turning pro, Mitchell has been mostly injured. (Less than 300 total games played since leaving college). It’s not a question of if he will get injured, but rather how many games will he miss when he does. Any team would be foolish to count on Mitchell for availability, so the only value he has is that mix of affordability and upside. But what is that worth, not much over the league minimum would be my bet.
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Should the Brewers sit out this trade deadline?
Jopal78 replied to umphrey's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
If years past are informative, the Brewers would look to add to the bullpen (Mears, Chafin, Matt Bush, Daniel Norris, etc), then low cost veteran position players (Escobar, Canha, Donaldson, Santana etc.). I don’t think they’d sit out completely but another underwhelming year.
