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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Gah! Stop trying to trade Arcia!!! I don't get why you hate Bickford, either. You include him on every one of these hypothetical trades. If you remove Adames and Arcia, and swap out Archer for Odorizzi, then you are probably close on total value. Trading Woodruff just creates another hole, though.
  2. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I'd say that right now, he's in that wheelhouse. Very similar production to what you are going to get out of Anderson, Davies and Chacin. Perhaps you'll see his ERA go down 1/4 to 1/2 a run with a move to the NL. Derek Johnson has also proven he can get prime production out of pitchers willing to roll with his coaching. Low to mid-90s fastball. Also has a good cutter. Extreme flyball pitcher, though, which is worrisome in Miller Park.
  3. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It is also questionable whether Adames even has the defensive mettle to stay at SS. A lot of scouting reports say that if he stays there, his defense would be below average. Most are profiling him as a 2B. While that is also a position of need for the Brewers, I'm not trading a 23-year-old SS who is maturing with the bat and is already close to All-World on defense unless I'm sure that Dubon can handle SS at the big league level.
  4. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yep, I would say that chance of seeing Braun traded is less than 0%. Perhaps if the Brewers were still in the low rung of their rebuild, he may be able to be convinced to go to a contender, but with the team primed to compete now and in the future, he is going to want to be a part of that. Even if he wanted to go, and the Brewers found a taker, they would either have to trade him for another high-salary garbage-type contract, or send prospects in the deal to make the other team take on more of Braun's deal.
  5. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I'd be very hesitant to do Ortiz/Santana for Odorizzi. I don't know if Santana for Odorizzi straight up is a fair deal.
  6. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yeah, where is that one? This is the first I've heard about it. That trade would be very palatable, depending on who else is included.
  7. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yep, there's no way I'd trade Santana for Cotton, unless the A's included another good/great piece. Franklin Barreto would look great at 2B, and he's MLB-ready. Jorge Mateo would be a nice pickup as well. Now, if you're talking Broxton for Cotton, that's the kind of move I could get behind. Absolutely. Cotton is a Broxton type trade, not a Santana type. The As might not think that but to give up Santana for just Cotton would be nuts especially if the goal is to win big in 2018. And the A's need a CF. Unfortunately this appears to be one of those deals that "makes too much sense." That's why it won't likely happen. I'm intrigued by Cotton, though. He's not a big guy, but has good stuff, and is a former Top 100 prospect. I'd like to see what Johnson could do with him. If anything, he'd be a solid pen option. If they want Santana, I think they better give up Sean Manaea or Kendall Graveman.
  8. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yep, there's no way I'd trade Santana for Cotton, unless the A's included another good/great piece. Franklin Barreto would look great at 2B, and he's MLB-ready. Jorge Mateo would be a nice pickup as well. Now, if you're talking Broxton for Cotton, that's the kind of move I could get behind.
  9. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I hope the Brewers just stay away from all three but especially stay away from Lynn. Lynn is just another Lohse type and people have suspicions why the Cubs haven't offered Arrieta deal but don't have suspicions why Lynn hasn't even gotten a call from the Cardinals? The Cubs at least contacted Arrieta so he would have been their backup plan if they couldn't get Cobb or Darvish. The Cardinals are not even looking at Lynn as a possibility for their rotation. Hello red flags there! I agree. But I think it's just perhaps irrational fear of Cardinal pitchers coming to the Brewers. The last few haven't exactly worked out too great. Yes, I know Suppan and Lohse were OK for a couple years, but we wouldn't be signing Lynn to be just OK. He would need to be a #2/#1 for us, and I just don't think he's that type of pitcher. I'd much rather sign the more-proven Arrieta, or the upside of Cobb, or trade for the upside of Archer or Salazar.
  10. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I'll go 3 years/$70 million for Arrieta.
  11. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I think Arrieta will get something like 3 years/70 million. Big money, but I think I'd be OK with that. The guy has been durable, and keeps himself in immaculate condition. Also proven to be a big game pitcher, and I like the chip he's going to have on his shoulder against Darvish and the Cubs.
  12. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It's because he's irrationally attached to Suter. I get it, Suter is a fun story, and one of those guys you root for. He's got a fun personality, and really seems to be a competitor on the mound. We all get irrationally attached to certain players sometimes. Mine is Brett Phillips. It's to the point where I want the team to trade an .830 OPS 25-year-old who slugged 30 HRs last year, and make a guy that will go down as a Top 3 player all time in team history switch positions at 34 years old, in order to get Phillips into the starting lineup on a regular basis.
  13. Ron Robinsons Beard
    This idea is so overblown, it's starting not to be funny anymore. These guys are professional athletes. Millionaires. They follow the money. This isn't the 1970s where teams sent malcontents to the Packers as punishment. Darvish hasn't signed because he hasn't received an offer he feels is sufficient enough yet. That's the long and short of it. And Heyman's report, if you read it, is COMPLETE speculation.
  14. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I hope he can recoup enough value this year to make himself a trade chip.
  15. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Cards get an extra pick if anyone signs him. The pick the Brewers give up wouldn't be the pick the Cards receive. Formula is complicated.
  16. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Probably the stink of former Cardinal pitchers playing for the Brewers. Not exactly a great track record. Plus, the same doubt that Arrieta brings. His own team doesn't want him.
  17. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Because you don't acquire defensive standouts like Yelich and Cain, and play them out of position so keeping Braun in LF while playing Yelich in RF is not ideal. Also, putting them next to a poor defender like Santana mitigates their value. And I would put Phillips ahead of Broxton in the pecking order as well. I know we're getting close to Spring Training, but I still think Santana is going to be dealt. The roster makeup just doesn't make a lot of sense if he isn't.
  18. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I agree that the need for rotation depth is great, but when you are talking about trading Burnes as part of a package for a pitcher who has been durable and has five years of control, it mitigates that need. Granted injuries to happen, but the cupboard isn't going to be bare of potential MLB starters should one go down, either. For once, I'm actually pretty excited about the potential starting pitching depth this team has. Its high-end pitching where they fall short. There are a bunch of #3 types and a bunch of #5 types. While I get the argument that Archer is just another #3 type, I believe with his stuff and durability, along with a move to the NL, he could very well rise above that.
  19. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Exactly. These guys are multi-millionaire professional athletes who can jet anywhere they want on their off-time. I think the idea of players not wanting to play certain places is somewhat overblown. Most of the time, these guys follow the money or follow the need for a championship. I mean, a California kid like Braun I'm sure is not a big fan of living in Wisconsin more than half the year. But he does it because he's a professional and its his job, and he's getting paid millions to do it. And Darvish by all accounts is a very good locker room presence who has been extremely popular with teammates at all stops. He's also very intelligent, and knows that embracing the situation and the fanbase is the best way to win them over and create goodwill (i.e. marketing opportunities).
  20. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yep, the only way you pull the offer is if you acquire a couple other starters via trade or free agency. Maybe not even then. Because if the Cubs are the last team standing with their supposed 4/90 offer, and they get him for that, I'd be very pissed. If the Brewers aren't getting Darvish, they at least have to continue turning the screws.
  21. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Last year Hiura was in college and Burnes was just some recently-drafted college pitcher in Low A ball. They'll have prospects that break out this year, just like Burnes did. This is not a top-heavy system like it was during most of the Melvin years. And if you want high-ceiling prospects, keep an eye on Lutz. You'll think he has "actual value" by the end of the summer. I don't look at Burnes "as just some recently-drafted college pitcher". He was a fourth round pick who had very good success in college and showed lots of promise since the day he was drafted. In every stop in the minors he has been more than impressive. He does have a chance to be special. I don't feel that way with very many minor leaguers an I bet Tampa Bay feels the way I do and that is why they want him. I do not think Archer is worth what Burnes (plus the others) would cost the Brewers. Plenty of pitchers look great in the minors, then flame out in the majors. Case in point: Hendrickson, Ben and dozens of others. Historically, unless you have a sure-fire top-of-rotation stud sitting in your minor league system, it is a better bet to trade them for a proven commodity. Perhaps its the jaded Brewer fan in me talking ... the one that has seen hyped pitchers time and time again fail in this system. The odds just aren't there to give me a ton of faith in Burnes. Also, the whole point of my post was viewpoints on prospects can change greatly in a year. Burnes didn't have near the prospect profile going into 2017 that he does now. And I know the team has other pitchers that will break out as studs this year.
  22. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Last year Hiura was in college and Burnes was just some recently-drafted college pitcher in Low A ball. They'll have prospects that break out this year, just like Burnes did. This is not a top-heavy system like it was during most of the Melvin years. And if you want high-ceiling prospects, keep an eye on Lutz. You'll think he has "actual value" by the end of the summer.
  23. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Could be he's only delaying hoping he'll see an increased offer, or he feels none of the offers are what he feels his worth is. Problem is, we've reached the point of the offseason where offers rarely increase.
  24. Ron Robinsons Beard
    No one truly knows what TB wants. It's all speculation.
  25. Ron Robinsons Beard
    There's also experts out there that believe that Archer would excel if removed from the AL East. He's got the durability and stuff to make it happen. As for other high ceiling prospects, Lutz has all the makings of a stud, and Ray was a top 5 pick for a reason. Kirby should be back this season, and could be a quick riser. Erceg could be the 3B of the future. Ortiz is a former Top 100 guy who is still very young and can ascend. Young guys like Carmona, Ernesto, Rogriguez and Ward have HUGE potential. It's still a very good system.
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