wntrtxn21
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Everything posted by wntrtxn21
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If you are saying the "best 5" IN spring training games should start, that will never happen. Many pitchers use S.T. to work on a certain pitch, a certain location, etc.... Also the quality of hitter varies greatly in spring training games. A split-squad game may see a pitcher facing AA or AAA guys almost exclusively. Just like hitters, numbers for pitchers are almost meaningless until the regular season starts.
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Imo there is no way Lauer sees the minors. He'll be in the pen (if not starting) and used frequently when other starters get shelled. A lefty that can go multiple innings and start is invaluable, especially in the NLC.
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And its a terrible decision both now and long term. Woodruff Houser Lindblom and Lauer or Peralta are all locked in for 3 years. Burnes has better potential. Lauer is a starter or a bad fit for the pen OR Peralta just got paid and you leave him in the pen despite better potential than Houser? In the next 3 years we are also looking at Small Ashby Supak File Francis Bettinger coming of age. Small and Ashby have much higher potential than Houser. You wedge Houser into a starter role you only have 1 spot open in the next 3 years and a bunch of options who are as good, if not superior potential to Houser. If you put Peralta into the rotation over Lauer you basically bury Lauer for good. "Guys will get hurt," yeah and then its Lauer keeping Burnes as a pen piece. It's backwards and our quest to develop 10 starters is going to kill our pen. I think you're right about all the talent coming up, especially Small and Ashby. Francis and Bettinger also looked mighty good at AA last year and can't be counted out in the future. I don't understand CC basically handing Lindblom a starting spot. Imo Lindblom is the most iffy of the team's starters and should be considered the odd man out if needed. He had success the last two years but pitched in what is equated to an AA level league. I think both Houser and Lauer have more potential than Lindblom as a starter or reliever. I believe until CC figures out the roles for Peralta and Burnes, it's going to be a crap shoot after Wodruff and Anderson.
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Brewers Payroll 2020 and beyond
wntrtxn21 replied to KeithStone53151's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
That's pretty condescending but whatever. You wouldn't have a lot of starts from Ronny Rodriguez because you have Holt and Arcia. Gamel isn't a terrible 5th outfielder by any means. I realize people are pretty over the moon about the Yelich extension and I just happen to have a different view on team building. Yes, you are right there is no guarantee Rendon wanted to come here but we still spent 20 million on Sogard, Smoak, Gyorko and Garcia for 2020 that could have gone towards an elite player. We will see if DS strategy will work this season, I hope it does. If there is no Garcia then Gamel becomes a starter when Braun is out, or if any OF gets injured. w/o Smoak then Braun plays 1B and Gamel would be the best option as an OF. They certainly wouldn't have signed Holt if they had Rendon's contract. Rodriguez, Mathais, etc.. would be playing if anyone got hurt which is bound to happen. Small market teams can ill afford two elite players' contracts unless one is a pitcher who will dominate. -
Here are the Dodgers infielders: Muncy (1B-2B-3B) - Seager (SS) - Lux (SS-2B) - Turner (1B-2B) - Beaty (1B-3B-OF) - Hernndez (2B-SS-3B-OF), Rengifo wouldn't replace any of them. Plus they have Taylor currently listed as an OF, but he too can play 2 infield positions. They are 5-6 deep in the outfield and probably wouldn't get rid of Pages for Lutz anyway. I questioned the Angels getting rid of their set-up guy plus a 23 yr. old proven MLB player for a questionable starter and a 17 yr old kid who is 4-5 years away. I grant you their starting rotation is poor, but does Lauer make a difference? Many are questioning if he will be starting for the Brewers or if he is better suited for the pen.
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I can't imagine the Dodgers would want another OF or INF in place of a pitcher. They are loaded with talent in their OF and have so many talented infielders already. Rengifo wouldn't even come close to making their 26 man roster. It could be argued that Pages is a better prospect than Lutz. I'm not so sure the Angels make out on the deal either. The Brewers would do it in a split second. They come out way ahead of the other two teams.
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Brewers sign Arcia- 1 Year $2.2 Million
wntrtxn21 replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
An improved walk rate shows likely improved eye at the plate and/or improved patience, which can lead to improved production. Much easier to hit good pitches than junk in the dirt. Arcia reduced his chase% from 34% prior 3 seasons to 30% in 2019. Chase contact% increased from 54% to 62%, tells you he's probably swinging at less impossible pitches and more pitches close to the zone that he can at least foul off. Also his whiff% is down from 29% to 24.5% from 2018 to 2019. Feel free to take a look at his statcast data for more info. Based on those advanced metrics, I'm surprised his production wasn't closer to 2017 than it was...most metrics were similar or better in 2019 than 2017. And an Arcia who can put up a .750 OPS makes for a stronger lineup. Urias could hold down third in that case, and with Hiura at second... That could be good news. IMO there is zero chance of Urias getting many starts at 3B, unless disaster strikes CC and the Crew. Holt-Gyorko-Sogard are much better options. Urias was brought in for one purpose, to play SS. If Arcia can somehow turn things around from being the worst offensive SS in baseball, then Urias goes to the minors or is a reserve SS-2B. -
For me, it's: #1: High OBP with speed. #2: High OBP who hits for average #3: Best hitter on team #4: Top 3 hitter with power #5: Hitter aside from 1-4 with best power-speed number #6: Power hitter #7: Best hit-for-average guy NOT in 1-4 spots #8: Best OBP/speed guy not in the 1-3 or 5 spots #9: Pitcher I like your lineup. IF Cain can be anywhere near what he was in the 2nd half of last year and 2018: CF Cain 3B Holt/Sogard LF Yelich 1B Braun 2B Huira RF Garcia C Narvaez SS Sogard/Arcia P
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This is also why I was advocating for an additional OF add. Braun will need 50 games off while also playing half his games at first, Cain and Yelich will both get 15 games off. Garcia won’t play everyday either. That’s not even including injuries. I would much rather have another solid bat that can start 100 games than Gamel personally. But I do agree that at this point, we need to retain Gamel as he is most likely the next guy up in the pecking order. Holt can play a very credible corner OF spot with Gyorko going to 3B. Plus Smoak at 1B with Braun in OF is also in the cards I'm sure. CC has plenty of options if injuries hit or guys need time off.
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Am I nuts for thinking this? Woodruff and Burnes
wntrtxn21 replied to The stache's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
He won't get that chance. Anytime you can lock a guy into your rotation that throws 88 mph and has all below average MLB offerings at best...you have to do. So instead of an elite arm talent, say hello to Brett Anderson. Burnes has good speed and good stuff, but last year he got lit up fiercely. Having it and being able to use it are two different things. Pitching isn't all about speed. Greinke is still considered to be preeminent and he doesn't throw hard anymore. There are plenty of pitchers who don't throw hard and get the job done. Anderson is not in the upper half of starters, but I would take him 100 times over last year's version of Burnes. I'm positive IF Burnes shows he can pitch this year, CC has enough knowledge to put him in the rotation ahead of anybody but Woodruff. -
Big NO. Not until Whitley proves he can get people out at the higher levels. Smaller samples but, he stunk at his first try at AA (14 ERs in 22 IPs - 19 walks - 1.63 WHIP) and was worse at AAA (35 hits allowed in 24 IPs - 33 ERs - 15 walks - 2.05 WHIP - 12.21 ERA). IF he can show something this year at AA and AAA then possibly at the break if the Crew is out of it, but not now.
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Hader and Arcia might not be enough to make the deal, but Hader and Hiura would be a huge overpay as well. Biggio can play 1B, but he is basically a 2B/OF. Both positions that the Brewers have well covered. I can't imagine Stearns would want any part of this trade.
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I think you mean Phelps instead of Phillips. I agree the last two spots in the pen will be a crap shoot. I am really intrigued by Perdomo, Wahl, and Feyereisen. I don't see Morin, Miller, or Grimm even being in the running for a spot. It will be interesting when Urias is ready to play too. Gamel is the obvious choice to be sent down, but if CC sees Sogard as a viable SS, they might trade Arcia or send him down.
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IF Cain regains his OBP ability, I like him leading off against either RP or LP. Against RHP CF Cain 3B Holt LF Yelich 1B Braun (he'll get the bulk of the ABs at 1B)/Smoak 2B Huira C Narvaez RF Garcia SS Sogard/Urias P Against LHP CF Cain 2B Huira LF Yelich 1B Braun RF Garcia 3B Gyorko C Pina SS Urias P
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Hader/Yelich Day of Reckoning
wntrtxn21 replied to Soupbone's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Your last paragraph, I think, is a bit off base. The Brewers could sign Yelich to a 7-year, $225 million extension that wouldn't cripple the franchise. * $15 million bonus over 2020, 2021, and 2022. * $210 million over the next 7 years * $90 million of that is deferred - to be paid out over the 30 years after the extension ($3 million/year) * That leaves an average salary of $17.143 million over those seven years. Or, slightly above the $16 million AAV that LoCain currently has. That is a non-albatross deal, and it keeps Yelich in Milwaukee through 2029. Your scenario counts on Yelich settling for that type of money, even when he sees the $300M plus contracts being handed out by other teams. Plus would he want to deferr that huge amount of money over that great amount of time? More likely than not, he and his agent laugh at the "low-ball" offer and he becomes a FA headed to the highest bidder. -
I seriously doubt if the electronic umpire had anything to do with the Brewers' not committing long term to Grandal. They knew the money was just too much to handle long term. His defense was secondary to his offense. That's why they went and got Narvaez this year. The electornics will have little effect on the overall value of catchers.
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Lauer also gave up 5 in 6IPs at S.F. - 4 in 5 IPs at Ariz - 5 in 4.2 at Chi - 4 in 2.1 at the Mets - and some other poorer outings. I think the biggest thing on Lauer is he pitched in one of the most friendly pitcher's parks in all of baseball and struggled a lot on the road. Still he's probably the Brewer's 3rd best option to start, so maybe you're right.
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Lauer also gave up 5 in 6IPs at S.F. - 4 in 5 IPs at Ariz - 5 in 4.2 at Chi - 4 in 2.1 at the Mets - and some other poorer outings. I think the biggest thing on Lauer is he pitched in one of the most friendly pitcher's parks in all of baseball and struggled a lot on the road. Still he's probably the Brewer's 3rd best option to start, so maybe you're right.
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IMO Woodruff and Anderson are locks. Lindblom pitched in the Korean Lg. which is the equivalent of AA baseball. I think he is the most iffy of the bunch. Houser and Lauer also have to prove they are good enough to start. Peralta is the most intriguing of all. He could be the "find" of the year, or back in the pen. Burnes has the most to prove and probably is headed back to AAA to begin the year.
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IMO Woodruff and Anderson are locks. Lindblom pitched in the Korean Lg. which is the equivalent of AA baseball. I think he is the most iffy of the bunch. Houser and Lauer also have to prove they are good enough to start. Peralta is the most intriguing of all. He could be the "find" of the year, or back in the pen. Burnes has the most to prove and probably is headed back to AAA to begin the year.
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With Urias hurt to start things work out. Once he comes back look for Arcia or Gamel to go down. With Braun and Holt able to play corner OF spots, Gamel makes the most sense. However if CC is really going to give Urias a legit shot at SS, Arcia might be the one going to San Antonio with Sogard being the backup SS. Either way, Holt was a good signing.
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I think the rule would allow a position player to pitch in that instance. 6runs or more from 9th inning or extra innings I read no? It's the 7th/8th inning roles they are removing. I do find the multi-way player confusing. Let's say Ohtani DH's the first month of the season as his pitching arm wasn't ready to begin the season. The Angels would have to list him as a Pitcher during that time? It seemed that way. They had to start off as a pitcher and not a position player? I think MLB could have done better and just had a team fill out this player would be multi-way on the season and that player had to hit the mark to carry the title next season. Say if the player didn't meet the designation, the Team is penalized a 1st round draft pick. The player as stated loses the chance next season as a title multi-way and would be left being a pitcher or position player only the next season. The Angels can designate Ohtani a 2-way player from the start. The qualification for designation goes back to the 2018 season. If a team wants a new player to be a 2-way player, I would imagine they would designate him as a pitcher and then have him play a position or DH for the qualifying number of games and ABs.
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From what I'm reading, the Angels plan to have Fletcher start at 2B and backup at SS. LaStella will backup 2B and 3B with Rengifo being a utility type guy. Pretty solid infield with good depth.
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Look at your stats on W.S. winners again. In the early years (1905-1930) the team with the best record won a huge majority of the time.
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Completely agree and all of this focuses only on the Joc Pederson side of the trade without even mentioning the benefit of adding Ross Stripling to the rotation. While already 30, Stripling he of the career 3.51 ERA/3.60 FIP in 387 IP, isn't a free agent until after the 2022 season. Adding that arm would certainly create even more depth and certainty into the rotation. These pieces make too much sense to not look at acquiring, even Pederson, despite Yelich, Cain and Avisail signed for the next three seasons. I believe if Stearns wanted a lefty bat like Pederson at $7.7M he would have kept Thames and not paid the $5M for Smoak. IF he could get Stripling with 3 years of control but had to take the one year of Pederson to make the deal, he'd do it in a heart beat. Especially if the Dodgers were doing it as a salary dump and the prospect return would be relatively light.