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wntrtxn21

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Everything posted by wntrtxn21

  1. The Bucks payroll is $134.07M for only 15 players, this is currently $52M more than the Brewers 2020 payroll. The Bucks ownership have given Giannis and Bucks fans a much higher commitment to win a championship compared to the Brewers ownership's commitment to Brewers fans and Yelich on winning a WS. With the much higher financial commitment, Bucks ownership is able to give Giannis a solid supporting cast to win a championship. While the Brewers ownership has so far been cheapskate, Yelich's supporting cast is not so good and the team doesn't look like a WS contender. The financial dynamics of the NBA are completely different than MLB. You can't compare apples to autos like you are trying to do. According to every known source the Brewers LOST money last year. To call ownership cheapskates is absolutely ridiculous. Of course you would have a totally different view if it was YOUR money you were losing.
  2. The trade market for corner infielders could include (among others)... Josh Bell Carlos Santana Trey Mancini Justin Turner Kyle Seager Yuli Gurriel Miguel Sano Hunter Dozier Giovanny Urshela J.D. Davis Dom Smith Kris Bryant (yes, I know he isn’t going to the Brewers) I would love Gurriel and Mancini. It almost does seem like they will have to go the trade route doesn't it?? Just nothing left in FA that really "pops" off the page. I would think Gurriel is almost non-obtainable from the Astros. Same way with Urshela and the Yankees. The Brewers don't have the propects to get Mancini or Bell.
  3. After looking completely overmatched at AAA last year, I don't think Brown alone gets anyone's attention. Brown could be part of the package, but a minor part. I also would want the M's to kick in around $20m to cover some of the $53M he would be owed through 2022.
  4. If your team is the Yankees, cubs, Dodgers, RedSox, Astros, Nats, Angels, etc... you can look at things your way, w/o regard for money. Brewers, Rays, Twins, Pirates, Reds, etc.. cannot ever look at any player with no regard for money. It's easy to disregard money when it's not your money they are spending.
  5. You just got to the heart of the problem. I don't know if you are a football fan or not, but this is VERY similar to what all teams try to do to win a Super Bowl. You have a cheap superstar(QB), in the Brewers case, Yelich.. EVERYONE knows the key to winning in football is having a cheap superstar QB under contract for 5 years and spend a crap ton of money around him while you can during that window to try wo win it all. YES the economics of the sports are different, but this should be the same way the Brewers operate, and all MLB teams. If you lose some money during those years, well you just do. But you HAVE to capitalize on the window while you have it. Very easy to say when it's not your money you are losing. How long does a team go while losing money if they have a super star like Yelich? How much over the top money should they spend. When do they say enough is enough? You just can't compare football to baseball in any way because OF the economics. Teams in the NFL can "go for it" every year because everybody has the same amount of money to spend on players. Coaching, drafting, and developing draft picks are the keys to winning. In baseball teams can buy a pennant and titles.
  6. If Stearns thought it was worth the price he would have re-signed Moustakas (cheaper than Seager's contract), and kept the prospects it will cost to get Seager.
  7. Huh? There are very few noncompetitive teams. Cheating is really no different than any other sport, no big deal here. The HR spike is way more about launch angle, the death of the low pitches and hitting tech than anything else though the baseball seams probably changed 5 years ago (not recently). There is no reason to believe a work stoppage is coming other than just being worried about the agreement coming to an end. MiLB is a dying part of baseball and has been for quite some time, it needs to be changed. He hasn't been a knockout but he has hardly been a bad commissioner so far. IMO there are quite a few noncompetitive teams. Orioles lost 108 games/Bluejays 95/White Sox 89/Royals 103/Tigers 114/Angels 90/Mariners 94/Marlins 105/Pirates 93/Rockies 91/Padres 92. That's more than 1/3 of all the teams. I guess it's all in your meaning of noncompetitive. By all indications the ball is the biggest reason for the huge spike in HRs. Guys are hitting homers with one-handed swings, swinging from their knees, and even off balance swings. MLB admits the seams are different than in prior years and they know the ball is juiced. But they say they can't come up with a reason why. You are right about bat angles. Almost everybody is using the slow-pitch softball swing and killing low pitches. That's why fewer and fewer pitchers are going there for strikes. It's also a reason for the monsterous amount of strikeouts.
  8. I wouldn't say that high, but if I had to pick one Brewers prospect who could step in and fill Hader's multi-inning fireman role, it would be Rasmussen. Fastball that has touched 99 miles per hour, can go 2-3 innings at a time. Big difference is he actually has two other pitches he can command (slider and change-up), whereas Hader doesn't. I think the AFL performance of Clayton Andrews also looks promising in that regard. His bat's pretty good, too. Before you annoint Rasmussen the second coming of Hader (RH version) let him try and get hitters out at AAA. Far too many pithers have looked tremendous at AA only to get to AAA and be completely overmatched. Look at Zach Brown. Pitcher of the year to a guy left off the 40 man roster and nobody in MLB wanted to take a risk on him.
  9. Why do people want to go all in on a 2 year run with Thor instead of getting a haul of young talent and having a lengthy window instead of selling off after 1 and 1/2 or 2 years? I would rather get a headliner like McNeil that you’ll have for 5 years and build a lengthy window instead of putting all our eggs in one basket on a 2 year run and that’s it. McNeil Cain/Urias Yelich Hiura Narvaez Garcia Braun Urias/Cain P And to think we would have our 1-5 locked up for at least 3 years. Plus McNeil, Hiura, Urias, Woodruff, and Lauer controlled beyond that. Gives plenty of time for other moves and draft picks to make their way up and be long time contributors as well. I know building a lengthy competitive window isn’t something we are used to, but why destroy our chance of having that when it’s the first time we can actually build a true long time window of being competitive? If you want an ace, work on getting Severino then for 4 years. But Thor as the headliner for 2 years? No thank you. At least if we aren’t doing anything 2 years from now, Yelich and Severino can be moved and we wouldn’t even need to rebuild. If you get Thor and ride it out for 2 years, you only have 1 year of going for it with Yelich or trading him off and only netting the return from him and that’s it. Severino would make way more sense in my opinion. If you can pry McNeil, Lowrie, and J.D. Davis from the Mets, that gives you a lineup like this: ss: Urias 2b: Hiura rf: Yelich 1b: Davis 3b: McNeil lf: Braun c: Narvaez cf: Cain pitcher No offensive holes, Lowrie on the bench with Gamel, Pina, Taylor, and Mathias. Rotation has Woodruff, Houser, Lauer, Lindholm, and Anderson Bullpen would still have Knebel, Rasmussen, Suter, Peralta, Perdomo, Devin Williams, Faria, and Yardley Your biggest problem is the well below average pitching. The rotation is bad and the pen might be the worst in baseball. Brewers would be very lucky to win 70 games with your roster.
  10. NO thanks. Bishiop is so far away (low A) he is barely on the radar. Yas is a decent player as is Belt, but not at the $35M expense the Brewers would add. The Brewers could use the $17.5M to get a SP plus Thames. I'd rather see that money go to Tehren and Thames.
  11. Woodruff is a top of the rotation arm and I think Houser will surprise people this year (if he didn't last year). Everyone just wants the big name. For example, take these two pitchers: Pitcher A 195 IP / 3.96 ERA / 3.48 FIP / 1.259 WHIP / 9.0 K9 / 2.3 BB9 Pitcher B 111 IP / 3.72 ERA / 3.88 FIP / 1.240 WHIP / 9.5 K9 / 3.0 BB9 Pitcher A is Zack Wheeler and he just signed a $118 million contract Pitcher B is Adrian Houser and he will make about $600k this year Stop listening to ESPN and MLB Network. They only talk about the big names and lead you to believe that signing those guys is the only way to build a good rotation. It's not. You should probably use Houser’s stats only as a starter so as to not have inaccurate results that are misleading. Houser as a starter 80.2 IP / 4.57 ERA / 1.35 WHIP / 9.4 K9 / 3.23 BB9
  12. There is something severely wrong with fWAR if a staff of Lindblom-Houser-Lauer-Anderson-Woodruff would be anywhere near average for MLB, much less in the top 12. You have to know if Faria (6.75 FIP - 5 HRs in 18 IPs - 2.13 WHIP) is anything but a negative, fWAR is badly flawed.
  13. You forgot Lindblom. IMO Faria was so horrible he doesn't make the team and he is out of options. Stearns has indicated they would like Suter and Peralta to be in the pen. I can't imagine how Burnes doesn't start the year in AAA. Both quantity and quality are severely lacking right now. It's still only Dec. 13th and I believe Stearns has more surprises up his sleeve
  14. Decent signing to add quantity to the rotation. Anderson is a #4-5 guy who, as it now stands, is the Brewers #2. He's better than Gio and could be another Chacin from two years ago. Now Stearns has to add some quality to put behind Woody.
  15. I still like Neil Walker as a backup. He hit well in Milwaukee a couple of years ago, he's a SW, and can play 1B, 3B, and 2B in a pinch. .275/.351 against lefties - .259/.343 against righties - has some pop - pretty good in high leverage situations. He would be in that $1.75-2M range. Joyce is a DH or PH who can play OF in an emergency. Dietrich (.187) was horrible last year.
  16. League average player? His floor is Moustakas and his ceiling is 5+ WAR. I think you way overvalue Seager. His floor was 2018 when he was a .8 WAR (.221/.273 OPS .673) His last three years: .249/.323 - .221/.273 - .239/.321. Was rated in the bottom third of all 3B last year. Right now he IS about a league average 3B.
  17. Those numbers show you how ridiculous the simulator can be. It treats prospects like they were continous MLB all-stars.
  18. And wait 4-6 years? He has a much, much better chance of never making it to the big leagues than of being the next Franco. Pass.
  19. I know Boyd was one of the "hot" names at the deadline last summer, and in looking at his overall numbers from last year - he must have really struggled in the 2nd half of the season (after the deadline). Gave up 39 home runs to lead baseball in that category, and looks like his ERA really ballooned as well. Not sure how much I'd feel comfortable giving up for a guy like that? Yeah, he K's a bunch of guys, but some of the other numbers leave a lot to be desired. I can't see Boyd either. After July: 53 IPs - 60 hits - 37 ERs - 22 BBs. Then there's the 39 dingers. If he pitched in Milwaukee he might set the all time MLB record for big flys allowed. I'd rather keep Turang, Rasmussen, et.all and look elsewhere for a pitcher.
  20. Teams are looking at Starlin Castro there too. I'd take Castro over either of those two. The big question with Castro is how much of a cut he's willing to take from his $12M salary last year. If he's willing to cut 1/3 or more then he would be a good option.
  21. Cron is so one dimensional is he worth a roster spot? Because he's such a weak defender he is bacically a DH, and then against lefties only. Considering the Brewers have a little less than 1/4 of their ABs against lefties, I'd like to see a more versatile player who is a good glove and could be used as a PH against both lefties and righties.
  22. Happ is going to be 38. How many pitchers rebound at 38. Lower budget teams like the Brewers can't afford to take on big contracts if they are trying to win now. I would rather put the $17M towards a good OF - 1B- 3B and forget a prospect who may or may not pan out in 3 years.
  23. I'll take Jasson Dominguez off their hands if they want us to take on Happ. It doesn't need to be an MLB ready prospect. Any value on the farm helps. IMO it does have to be a MLB ready player to take Happ and his $17M salary. Happ was awful last year. 4.91 ERA - 5.12 FIP and he's going to be 38. Everything indicates he will be getting worse, not better. The Brewers would be spending $17M to get the other player. If it was just a prospect it would be way too expensive for a smaller budget team.
  24. Kintzler is ok, but he would have to take a steep pay cut from the $5M he was making. I think Stearns looks at him as being too expensive for what he could offer.
  25. Just say no if Familia is in the deal. His numbers are way down and he is owed $24.5M in the next two years. Way too much. Plus there is no way in the world the Mets would even consider this deal with Wheeler gone.
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