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wntrtxn21

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Everything posted by wntrtxn21

  1. wntrtxn21
    Shaw was already making $4.7 so he'll get an increase even though he doesn't deserve it. Stearns may look to trade him just to dump the money and use it on a better fit at 1B. I'm still not convinced Grisham is an everyday player. Imo Faria was so horrible last year he gets let go and they keep Black. I think with the new 3 batter rule, Claudio is iffy at best too. I would rather have Iglesias than Gregorius and for a lot less money. They need Pomeranz back incase Knebel isn't what he was before the injury. Probably $4-6M per to get him back. It about equals (Iglesias + Pomeranz) what you would pay Gregorius. I too like Wood especially if they could get him for the $8M. Dump Gio and Shaw, get Wood and Walker ($1.5-2m).
  2. wntrtxn21
    The RedSox would be giving away Martinez for nothing. If the wanted to salary dump, they could peddle him for a lot more than Lo Cain and keep Bradley Jr.
  3. wntrtxn21
    I think Hamels will be too expensive at $20M. With so many needs (1B-SS-possibly C & 3B) the Crew can't afford to throw that kind of money at a rental.
  4. wntrtxn21
    Would you do Betts and Rodriguez for Hiura? NO! Betts is going to get a huge salary and one year rental. Betts' salary alone would hurt the Crew's chances of improving, plus they don't need another OF.
  5. wntrtxn21
    No money to get 2 SPs and re-sign Moose and Seager's $6M and arby guys. Pomeranz will be about $5M too. Imo Freitas isn't even on Stearns' radar for a roster spot. They couldn't trust him to catch even one inning when Pina was hurt, so I can't imagine he would be any kind of a backup except at AAA. I have their payroll at 133.88M with the trade and the following FA's: Wheeler 4/72m Moose 2/23m Betances 2/18m Pomeranz 3/18m Lyles 2/12m Avila 1/4m Those contracts are all based off various projections from fangraphs and MLBTR. Now that doesn't factor in buyout $$, but I believe that they can stretch the budget to the 130-140 range. You have only one backup infielder and 5 OFs. Mercer has only played 3B three times in his career. IF MLB puts the pitcher limet at 13, that would take care of the problem. Great salary chart!
  6. wntrtxn21
    Seager has had numerous hamstring injuries in his career including the minor leagues. He missed a month in June-July due to hamstring injury last year.
  7. wntrtxn21
    Not a bad group. Ruiz is a young (21) switch-hitting catcher with no power at all. Good defense and doesn't whiff a lot. Don't know if he is ready for the big leagues. Gonsolin could help the stating rotation immediately. Rios is ready for the big show. I guess this trade would depend on if the Brewers think Ruiz is a starting catcher possibility.
  8. wntrtxn21
    No money to get 2 SPs and re-sign Moose and Seager's $6M and arby guys. Pomeranz will be about $5M too. Imo Freitas isn't even on Stearns' radar for a roster spot. They couldn't trust him to catch even one inning when Pina was hurt, so I can't imagine he would be any kind of a backup except at AAA.
  9. wntrtxn21
    Adams .226/.276..Even cheap he would be a down grade over Thames. Big downgrade. Adams may be a minor lg. contract target, but not as an everyday 1B. Moreland might be a better FA option if they can get him on the cheaper side. There just isn't that much out there besides Kendrick and he is rumored to be re-signing with the Nats.
  10. wntrtxn21
    No it's NOT ok for them to get it wrong. How many wrong calls are you ok with? It's all about getting more consistancy in the ball/strike calls. It shouldn't vary from night to night like it does now. You're still going to get some questionable calls, but if the new system can cut those calls by 60-70-80%, it will be worth every nickle.
  11. wntrtxn21
    They also had Freitas as a 3.5 Def. when the Brewers see him as a negative behind the plate.
  12. wntrtxn21
    Unless he's willing to play in 2020 for $4 million dollars, I wouldn't touch Kendrick. Players with 14 years in the big leagues who obliterate career marks at ages 33, 34, 35 seem ripe to quickly lose whatever it was they found late in their career. As for Thames, I suppose the 7.5 million he would have made in 2020 wasn't so much of a bargain for Milwaukee when they could likely get equally similar players Edwin Encarnacion, Kole Calhoun, etc. for less. I don't think Stearns will have Calhoun on his radar. They don't need an aging OF. I wonder if Stearns will look for a long term solution at 1B instead of the one year type guys? I guess it all depends on Grandal and Moose.
  13. wntrtxn21
    The Cubs gave up one of the top prospects in baseball to get less than a year of Chapman. They also gave up 3 other below average players in the deal. Imo Hader could bring something like that to the Crew, depending on how desperate the receiving team is for him.
  14. wntrtxn21
    Then you don't "get". The Brewers are under no pressure or obligation to deal Hader this offseason. If he's dealt, it isn't going to be for a blocked 1B as the headliner, and a bunch of "maybes" years away from the majors. It would be for a haul that includes either super high-end youngsters or a package of high-upside ML-ready players. If you don't see offers like that, simply don't engage. I agree 100%. Gimenez didn't live up to expectations in AA (.250/.305/.695 OPS). The Mets downgraded him after his showing in there. Smith did well, but he's a 1B and easily replaceable. Vientos is still in A ball and 3-4 years away. Newton stunk in A ball (.209/.283) and is 4-5 years away IF he gets that far. All together the package isn't close to what Hader is worth to the Brewers. They get an Ok 1B and nothing else for years, if at all.
  15. wntrtxn21
    You don't pay Grandal the likely $20 million per year for 3-4 years he's going to command to be a 1st baseman. That production can be attained much cheaper. He would be signed to be the team's dominant catcher. Abreu appears to be the best bet on the market for 1st basemen. He is older, though. I suggest Nick Castellanos in another thread, and still like him as a possibility if he'd be willing to be a 1st baseman. I also think that you have to look at Braun seeing major time there, as I have to believe that Grisham is set for a major role on next year's team. The White Sox think they are going to contend next year, so Abreu will not be available. He said he wants to stay in Chicago and the Sox want him back. Cactellanos absolutely refused to play 1B with the Tigers. He wanted to stay in the OF. Maybe money would change his mind, but then C and 3B are glaring holes with no money to fill them and re-sign Pomeranz and Lyles.
  16. wntrtxn21
    That might be the best bet. Get a regular starter in Iglesias who is by no means a world beater, but can provide some consistency. Keep Orlando as a sub that can come in and provide late game defense (with Iglesias shifting to 2B for Hiura), and play when you can capitalize off Arcia's hot streaks. I'm just not comfortable giving up on Orlando completely. I could see it. It would not get the Brewers to league average SS production but at least it would (most likely) get them out of last place. The Brewers do not have the luxury of acting like a "contending team" in this situation...a "contending team" might trade minor leaguers for a better SS but we do not have much in the system to trade. It might be different if the FA market was better, but .800+ OPS shortstops with plus defense are a rare commodity. That's why Arcia will probably be the opening day SS in 2020. And there is a decent chance he will be there in 2021 and 2022 as well. Imo Iglesis gets them to better than avg. at SS. Not top OPS (.734) guy, but he's a better than avg. fielder and a good hitter. He would be a significant upgrade over Arcia.
  17. wntrtxn21
    I get what you're saying. Castellanos would not need to be platooned, though, which does add to his value. Of course there is the question of whether he can or would even want to play 1B as well. Apparently the Tigers tried to get him to move to 1B to cover for one of Cabrera's many injuries at one point, and he refused, saying he wanted to concentrate on becoming a better RF. Still, that bat in the Brewers' lineup would be dreamy. Castellanos told the Tigers he would not play 1B under any circumstances. He wants to be an OF, period. If the Brewers made a move for him it would be with the intent of making Braun the every day 1B. Of course the $14-15M he will get almost ends any talk of Moose or Grandal coming back. Both those guys are much harder to replace than an OF or 1B.
  18. wntrtxn21
    The White Sox think they have a legit shot next year. Team has money to spend. They aren't letting Abreu go anywhere. He's already stated he wants to stay in Chicago with the Sox. Zero chance he moves.
  19. wntrtxn21
    It really looks like a straight salary dump with a lottery ticket prayer included.
  20. wntrtxn21
    Have been thinking about this - Brewers offer Yelich a 3/$120 mil extension - Bump his salary up the next three years from 12.5/14/15 to 17.5/24/30 mil and then pay him 30/30/30 3/120 is $40M per year. NO team is going to give Yellich that. Why bump his salary up $28M in the next 3 years? That takes away any money for pitching. Imo use a small salary bump on the current contract ($1-1.5M) and then a 3 year extension.
  21. wntrtxn21
    Dominic Smith was the first thing that went through my mind when I saw this news. My bold prediction for the Brewers off-season is that Dominic Smith is the starting first baseman on Opening Day 2020. What would the Mets want for Smith? He's a real butcher in the OF so 1B is his actual position. They have Alonso at 1B so Smith is not needed. He was once a top prospect, but now, who knows?
  22. wntrtxn21
    Arcia's pitiful .283 OBP is still far better than the average .164 OBP posted by the pitchers. As the numbers in post #1 show, 20 less plate appearance for the 9th spot opposed to the 8th spot...but with pinch hitting for pitchers that number is even less when looking at how many extra plate appearances would be forced on pitchers if they were moved to 8th in the batting order. #9 is the perfect place to hide Arcia, and still end up with a hitter that is roughly .120 OBP higher (on average) 2 spots in the order ahead of Yelich. I don't think this would be the case, but there is always a chance that Arcia might hit a little bit better if he was batting ahead of another hitter instead of a pitcher. Again, I don't think so because Arcia just isn't a good hitter. But there is always that theory of hitters getting more or less strikes depending on who is hitting behind them. Maybe Counsell doesn't like it because it might force someone like Thames to hit in front of a pitcher if he was slotted #7 in the batting order. But to improve the OBP .120 two spots ahead of Yelich in the order, I'd gladly have a pitcher hitting behind Thames. If the pitcher hits 8th then the #7 guy isn't going to see as many good pitches as he normally would, especially in crucial situations. Plus if the #8 guy gets on, a pitcher can bunt him over. For each hitter you try to help by batting a pitcher higher in the order, you hurt another hitter equally as much.
  23. wntrtxn21
    Again, in the minor lg. using the automated zone this past year, there was not that many problems. Umpires said the strike notification was instant and there was virtually no difference in the timing of their ball-strike calls. Height of the zone wasn't a significant problem. People act as if there already wasn't a huge discrepancy in the height of the strike zone. Watch the game and see how much the zone varies by umpire. Using the automated zone makes correcting height and width fairly simple. The ultimate goal is consistancy, something that was unobtainable using umpires.
  24. wntrtxn21
    The system used in the minor lgs. this year seemed to work much better. The umps said the computer relay and their call was almost instantaneous. Both pitchers & hitters said the zone was bigger than before, but that could be how it was set up according to the rules. I believe a slightly different system was used in the fall league.
  25. wntrtxn21
    Who in particular are you thinking of to take Moose's place at 3B? Does a thirdbaseman who is an "on base machine" even exist in FA or the trade market at a price you're looking for? If the Phillies non-tender him, Cesar Hernandez (https://www.mlb.com/player/cesar-hernandez-514917?stats=career-r-hitting-mlb&year=2019) might be the OBP machine you are looking for - over his career it's .352. Career OPS of .733. I initially pitched him as an upgrade over Arcia, but he could be intriguing at third as well. Can Hernandez play 3b or SS on a regular basis? He's played exactly one game at SS since 2015 and only 21 games there total in his MLB career. He hasn't played 3B since 2015 and only a total of 24 games there in his career. He is coming off a decent year and made almost $8M last year.
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