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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. In the long run, it's a good thing for the sport if Bally fails miserably. The NBA, NHL, and MLB should buy up the RSNs. They should have done it when Fox sold. If they don't want to do that, sell to a new media company like Amazon or Apple and let them dismantle the entire system.
  2. I tend to rely on fWAR more for this reason. Whether I'm off my rocker, which is entirely possible, it feels like FG handles the defensive side of WAR more accurately than B-Ref.
  3. I might know a guy who can see into the future (ie. read unpublished pieces in the hopper) and your concern will definitely be addressed in the RF piece.
  4. Yeah, all MLB owners probably have their shady pasts but Crane seems like a real jerk. Which kinda fits in line with how the Astros as a whole have operated for the past decade.
  5. I'd rather work for Cohen 11 times out of 10.
  6. Honestly, once Cashman was extended, what might happen with Stearns kinda dropped off my radar. I assumed he was a possibility for the Mets, then maybe the Yankees, and I kinda forgot about the Astros being the Astros and losing their head honcho after winning a World Series. I'd hate to see Stearns land there because the Astros have become such an easy-to-hate franchise and I have nothing against Stearns, he seems like a perfectly reasonable fellow. His going to the Astros would conflict with my quiet dislike of the entire organization.
  7. Some people always carry an eye to the future even to the detriment of today. I see it *constantly* in small/mid-market fanbases. Thankfully the Brewers front office would not be silly enough to trade a key piece during the middle of a postseason run. Oh, wait.
  8. I agree with some of this but isn't Moreno a meddler (or at least was a meddler)? I thought he was behind some of the bigger signings like Rendon.
  9. What are all of your favorite pre-game activities (other than tailgating). Where do you start your game experience? And then how do you get to the stadium? Are some of the Bluemound bars still offering shuttles? I haven't used them in over 10 years so I'm unsure of what still exists.
  10. Yeah, Jason did a hell of a job breaking down the zone in this piece and highlighting Contreras' strengths and weaknesses... and this is his first story on the site. Well done, Jason! Also, I'll try to push the second part of this piece out later today. I'm a bit underwater this morning.
  11. I lived with the Angels being my local team for close to a decade. It's really sad to see them in such a state and essentially wasting having two ten win players on the same roster. Moreno is a terrible owner, I wish he would just sell the team.
  12. Some of the smartest baseball people I know or read are suggesting the impact will not be large, possibly even single-digit batting average changes for groundball pull lefties. I wouldn't pin too many hopes on that changing Tellez's profile, though it certainly should help him somewhat because despite his lumbering slugger profile, he puts the ball in play quite a bit.
  13. Great tips, everyone, keep them coming!
  14. That was absolutely true 10+ years ago. I don't think it is anymore. I'd have to go back and chart some guys' exact calendar dates but I'm 90% confident pitchers come back from TJ quite a bit faster than they did in the past.
  15. That's great, Eric is going to be a regular contributor here so you'll be seeing more of him!
  16. If he's healthy, he's not overrated. He's an elite contact bat with good discipline. The problem is that his knees routinely prevent him from being healthy and when he starts gimping around, he loses a bunch of batting average, like .050+ loss. I think it was a pretty fair trade with a bit more value going to the Twins, though I also like the trade from the Marlins perspective. They really needed a table-setter bat like Arraez.
  17. Yeah, the rehab time on TJ has shortened considerably from 20 years ago when it was roughly "16-18 months to pitch, 24+ months to have full command of breaking pitches". Now it seems to be more like "14-18 months to be back at full strength" and in the cases of having the brace version of TJ, pitchers might be back in 11-13 months.
  18. Where are you getting your numbers? Donaldson + Kiner-Falefa 2022 bWAR: 5.4 Urshela + Sanchez 2022 bWAR: 4.0 Donaldson + Kiner-Falefa 2022 fWAR: 2.9 Urshela + Sanchez 2022 fWAR: 3.7 That's basically a wash, except the Twins saved a boatload of money both in 2022 and 2023-2024. And they turned part of that money into Carlos Correa... twice. What you consider "antics", I consider damned smart maneuvering (and I'm not a Twins FO apologist, I rip them pretty regularly). They took the front end of Donaldson's contract, got performance from it, and offloaded that back-end of the contract for equivalent performance at less money. That's some outside the box thinking and I think other front offices from small- and mid-market teams should pay attention. Why would any team want to keep the back end of a high-risk, high-dollar contract if they don't have to do it? That side of the deal is almost always bad - and often terrible - for the team. You wouldn't have applauded the Brewers had they found a way out from under the final year of Cain's contract before last season and dedicated that money to a younger player? I mean, they're slightly different in that the Twins thought Donaldson was a nuisance and Cain is a good teammate, but the on-field performance risks are similar.
  19. Well yeah, there is risk in any big money contract. That's kind of the point of making Burnes that deal. And the Donaldson deal didn't hurt the Twins one bit. They got two pretty good years of production, traded him, and received more value in return than they gave up (Urshela and Sanchez outperformed Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa in 2022). Then the Twins turned around and dished Urshela for marginal value from the Angels this offseason. Despite the Twins taking a "risk", they got two years of Donaldson and then won a trade that sent him away. That sounds like a pretty big victory for them.
  20. I first heard his name about a month ago in a Marlins podcast and forgot to check if he was a brother of Jackson.
  21. At this point I also want to see Hiura be traded in part so he gets a legit shot with another team. He’s the type of fringe AAAA guy that could easily turn a corner with consistent playing time and I just don’t see how that will happen in Milwaukee.
  22. I like it the other way around. I'm not infatuated with Lopez or anything but Arraez's knees feel like a ticking time bomb and any knee issue causes his bat to decline in a hurry. He has been prone to going from hitting .340 to .280 overnight, largely due to his knees, and is largely ineffectual against LHP. I say this as a person who LOVES Luis Arraez. There's literally no one I'd rather watch in the batter's box, he's an absolute riot. But from a pure baseball perspective, I think this is a good move by the Twins. I also wish Arraez all the luck in the world in Miami.
  23. Yeah, I don’t know how the Twins got prospects in this deal. Say what you will about the Twins front office but they sure ain’t boring.
  24. He's still two years away and either the $35m option or the $15m buyout would ensure him somewhere in the neighborhood of $50m career earnings. It's an insurance policy on the next two seasons should something go horrifically wrong for him. Given the state of modern MLB pitching and how often it breaks down, maybe that kind of one-year guarantee is appealing to Burnes. Maybe Burnes is wildly uninterested but it's the kind of offer the Brewers should be making if they're not serious about extending him to a long-term deal. Get creative, see what happens. That's how the Twins landed Josh Donaldson - by offering him a fifth option year when no one else would with a huge $8m buyout on the option - and how they later nabbed Carlos Correa, which then in turn allowed them to nab Carlos Correa again. I think there's a lot of merit to throwing conventional baseball "wisdom" out the window and offering wildly different contract terms with high short-term risk.
  25. Yeah, I will just cheer for laundry at times but if the choice to cheer for laundry without a rotten person inside or cheer for laundry with a rotten person inside, I'd really prefer the former. And given the number of arms out there and available options, let's just avoid the rotten people and everybody is happier.
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