NBBrewFan

Then he has a false start on 1st and goal from the 1.

I'd be shocked if Toure doesn't make the team.

Carpenter you got to pick up the man. That's a week 1 freshmen.

How do you miss the offensive face masking?

Nice 80+ yard drive. Then special teams actually pins them down on the kickoff (is it the 9 YL?) when the Chiefs Rookie return guy decides to run it out from 8 yards deep in the end zone. Rookie!!!!

The Brewers don't take home all the money from attendance. Roughly half of local revenue (48%) goes to the league office. The Brewers then receive 1/30th of the combined local revenue and 1/30th of the national revenue (National TV, MLB.com). I used the figure I did to account for the fact the Brewers lose 52% of the the revenue from 5K fewer fans per game (not the entire amount). The 48% that ISN'T going to the league office due to less fans is a loss divided across the 30 teams so there is less than 1.6% of lost revenue (3.3% of 48%). So in essence we might be talking about the same estimate of $100/fan, but I am accounting for MLB accounting. For perspective, the Brewers received (according to baseball-reference.com) in 2018, $118M from local revenue sharing and $91M from national revenue sharing or roughly $209M. If you assume they make $95/fan in attendance ($100/fan in 2022 dollars) then from 52% of the local revenue and an attendance of 2.85M then the kept local revenue would be 2.85M x $95 x .52 = $140.8M or a total of $350M in revenue for 2018 (without touching playoff revenue) and with a payroll under $100M that means there's $250M to offset non-payroll expenses. Where did that money go? I think some of it is not real due to the $100 estimate is just way too high, so my estimate of $20M is likely conservative (it started at $100/fan with 50/50 sharing with the league). Where they have some "hidden" revenue drops is having to discount tickets just to get more people in the seats and that's likely a few million $ more, but not huge (they get most of their money from the local/national sharing). It's more like licking the apple.

Or they realize their main demographic for that show is likely asleep by the time the game ends. Might wait until back to Central Time to start.

The drop in attendance is likely a $20M drop in revenue. While it's fair to bring up the Covid associated losses, you need to counterbalance that with a nice profit in every other year. There is also significant revenue sharing in 2022 that wasn't there in 2012. It's just way more complicated than can be fleshed out in a single post. I'm not advocating that they spend like drunken sailors, but there is room outside of going 'over-budget to sign Andrew McCutcheon' as MA said when that was the only move this past offseason.

The projections systems are actually down on the Brewers. There's 2 playoff spots for 3 teams. By chance each would have a 67% chance to grab one of the 2 spots. The fact the Brewers are coming in below 67% means that the projection systems favor the Padres and Phillies to get those spots. Does it mean they will? Of course not, but realistically they are the underdog and who doesn't like rooting for the underdog. Go Lions! I mean, Go Brewers!

The projections systems are actually down on the Brewers. There's 2 playoff spots for 3 teams. By chance each would have a 67% chance to grab one of the 2 spots. The fact the Brewers are coming in below 67% means that the projection systems favor the Padres and Phillies to get those spots. Does it mean they will? Of course not, but realistically they are the underdog and who doesn't like rooting for the underdog. Go Lions! I mean, Go Brewers!

The defensive metrics say the same about Tellez.

keep reading.

Latest from Fangraphs (3 of the 4 teams will make the playoffs): The remaining strength of schedule is pretty similar. Right now the Brewers are 2 GB (4 wins) to the Padres and 1.5 GB the Phillies for the last WC and as the percentages go it will be an interesting 42 games to go.

You got to be kidding! I just read past this the first time, but they are including the '69 Seattle Pilots attendance too!!!! When have they ever included that dead part of the past into anything? Maybe because it would put them into 2023 for 100,000,000 in attendance when the real celebration would occur and they need to increase 2022 attendance?

Here you go (for those waiting for the pocket books to open up): Consequences? Reduced dividend to the Owners? *GASP* Not that!

I agree that things should be addressed in-house before anything. Where we might disagree is what is the next step if there isn't a reasonable response by management (and likely what a reasonable response would be), but this is what Eric said (direct quote): I imagine the shrugs came from Counsell as that's who the players are gonna go to first. But whomever just shrugged it off should be communicating back to the management that this is what the players are asking. If they did and Stearns/Attanasio decided no response was needed then they didn't handle it well. If they didn't then maybe there hasn't been the necessary response from management, but it also could mean that it was to Counsell who was asked and the players feel that they aren't getting a reasonable response to there unhappiness about the situation. Either way it appears that the issue wasn't addressed to the players satisfaction so one of them spoke out. If you remember the video from Devin Williams after the trade you saw one very unhappy player. I doubt Eric is the only one, he's just the one who took an opportunity to let it be known that things aren't hunky dory in the clubhouse. I agree that players ultimately have to still do their job, but we're all humans and sometimes things like this feed on themselves when not addressed and that can impact players more than we think.

I hope it's a cryogenic freeze for the lucky fan so they can wake them up and they can celebrate when the team finally wins a World Series.

I agree 100%. It's not that there's just one option and the idea that Counsell may not even understand that you can sit McCutcheon means he isn't as smart as people think.

So you just don't like the idea that someone getting paid has a right to disagree about anything from the owner/management as long as they are getting paid? The above quote is from the article. Seems to be a lot like the comments here about the trade and in line with the complaint that the Brewers are wasting the current pitching by not adding to the team to take advantage. I think the hypothesis that the clubhouse was demoralized after the trade because it indicated that they would rather add talent for a future year than make the 2022 team better is right on.

While very encouraging and matches the eye test, I always cringe when seeing absolute numbers without an idea as to snaps that each has had. Does PFF have that or are preseason stats limited?

I don't know if he's major league material. He clearly isn't swinging for the fences every pitch. Where would he fit into the lineup?

So the players, who are being paid sub-market wages because of the deck that MLB and MLBPA has stacked, should be responsible because they are entering a point where they actually will be compensated equitably for their performance? This is a system that has been in place for decades so I would think the team is the one who needs to do a better job of managing their budget not the players no longer getting the short end of the stick. And if managing that budget means they have to shed arby players because they gave a >$200M extension to a doorstop then that's the management's issue not the arby players or just to become arby players. Yeah, Lauer should give back some of that raise since he's been underpaid by more than $25M so far, that really seems like the only FAIR conclusion.?

Post-game Interview: Sofia: Craig, I asked awhile ago about Keston's playing time and you condescendingly indicated that you were putting the best team to win out there. So today my question is - do you have your head shoved up your ass?

How many more wins would the Brewers have if they hadn't sat Keston on the bench so often.