Robocaller

Wiemer is a 5-tool prospect, but his worst tool is the most important--hitting for average. The good news is that he can still be valuable if he hits around .230.

No it doesn't. You can't look at our bullpen and think that will do. And we're throwing crap against the wall to see what sticks with our infield mob. Not signing FA simply means you don't want to spend money, not that you couldn't spend some money well.

If you think 2022 Drury was the real thing, this is a big bargain. If you think it was an aberration, why would you even sign him. On a 2-year contract, he could have gotten anywhere from 8M to 20M total.

So we find out about Feliciano today?

Ashby could become another Ace. Or his command could continue to be a problem. I don't think his HR rate is bad luck as much was it is his lack of command which gets him behind and he grooves one to throw a strike. His command doesn't have to get a lot better for it to have a big effect on his effectiveness. Other than Ashby, they really regress ERA to the mean, like they do batting average. We've got no chance of a pennant if the starters pitch like this. Jason Alexander is fine as an AAAA arm to use for 2-3 starts, but I'm hoping we have better options. Gasser might be a better option by the middle of the season. I don't know how they have Houser pitching in 61 games. He never pitched more than 35 in the majors (39 total, 4 in the minors). If he pitches 61 games, he won't be starting 13.

We're going to have an infield mob. Adames plays short. Urias plays third and second. Turang plays 2B and SS. Brosseau plays 3B and 1B. Toro plays all over. Miller plays 2B, 3B and 1B. whichever one makes the roster--one will not.

Chourio shouldn't be up in 2023 unless he hits .330 or more in AA and AAA, and even then only if we're struggling to make the playoffs, and after he'd possibly lose his rookie status. I personally don't think we need a new #4-5 starter. We have 6, with a couple possibilities to be called up mid-season. The only way I'd trade Mitchell or Wiemer is if analytics AND top scouts didn't think they'll cut it; given their promotions this past season, I can't imagine that being the truth. For depth, sign the best guy or two who will take a minor league contract with a ST invite.

I've only seen 2nd hand reporting (originally an article by Rosenthal in the Athletic), but apparently there is talk of trading one of Wiemer or Mitchell (plus more) for a starter. I think that's a bad idea. I would try to get some retread on a minor league contract with a ST invite.

It's really hard to parse what "overlooked" means in this context. If someone wasn't mentioned, does that mean the player wasn't considered overlooked, or was overlooked twice?

We can hope Contreras will perform better than that projection, but I'd be happy with that level of production. My expectation is his career average for the rate stats.

Steamer must really regress batting average to the mean a lot. Not a lot of variability on that roster. If Winker gets that many ABs and hits .250, he'll get more than 17 HRs. I think they are figuring he'll play a lot of OF. I would be sad if Frelick only gets 118 ABs.

Welcome to the dark side, Darth JayShot.

we can toss in Hiura.

KC would have to be stupid to dump a guy who did fine in his first taste of ML ball. Even if they're that stupid, I don't think we're a good match.

If we didn't already have a guy who is pretty much limited to DH, Martinez would have been a good get. Even at $10M.

I'm more like year 5.

I guarantee there is a GM who wanted to draft Hiura, and who wants to rectify his error by acquiring him on the cheap.

I'm hoping for an A-ball lottery ticket pitcher.

lol

I left off Cousins. Have him replace one of Guerra, Varland, or Payamps.

There are players whose performance peaks at 24 years old, but most peak around age 27. Some much later. Stop being a hater.

Mark my words: barring injury to some player, Toro and Miller are going to keep Turang off the major league roster until the super 2 deadline has passed (sometime in June).

The only way the Brewers sign an OF is if some player wasn't getting squat in salary offers, and we swoop in. But the guy would know he's just a placeholder for one of the rookies, so it would be a really desperate guy, possibly looking for a "prove me" season to get a good salary in 2024. I'm not convinced the Brewers won't go with Blake Perkins on the O.D. roster, keeping either Mitchell or Frelick in AAA until after they would disqualify for rookie status in 2024. I think they're that cheap.

This is the winter doldrums version where we don't acquire anyone else, and we keep Turang in the minors until June. Varland or Guerra could be replaced with Peguero. It could be even worse if they keep Frelick in AAA and have Perkins on the O.D. roster. I think they'll probably sign a reliever, displacing Guerra, Varland, or Payamps. They might sign a bat whom wasn't getting good offers; I don't think any such signing will be significant, but they surprised me with trading for Contreras. The "infield mob" of Urias, Brosseau, Miller, and Toro will cover 2B and 3B (and the occasional start at 1B). God help us if Adames is injured. C: William Contreras ($0.80M) 1B: Rowdy Tellez ($5.30M) 2B: Abraham Toro ($1.40M) 3B: Luis Urias ($4.30M) SS: Willy Adames ($9.20M) LF: Christian Yelich ($26.00M) CF: Sal Frelick ($0.72M) DH: Jesse Winker ($8.25M) Bench OF: Tyrone Taylor ($0.80M) Utility: Owen Miller ($0.80M) Utility: Mike Brosseau ($1.4M) Backup C: Victor Caratini ($2.80M) RP: Peter Strzelecki ($0.70M) 2B: Kolten Wong (trade to Seattle) ($1.75M) RF: Garrett Mitchell ($0.72M) SP1: Corbin Burnes ($11.40M) SP2: Brandon Woodruff ($11.00M) SP3: Freddy Peralta ($3.50M) SP4: Eric Lauer ($5.20M) SP5: Adrian Houser ($3.60M) CL: Devin Williams ($3.20M) RP: Joel Payamps ($0.90M) RP: Matt Bush ($2.00M) RP: Gus Varland ($0.72M) RP: Hoby Milner ($1.10M) RP: Aaron Ashby ($1.00M) RP: Javy Guerra ($0.72M) Payroll is 15.94% under budget

I wonder what Keston will get as a FA. :-)