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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Brewcrew82
    Cards have to finish below .500 at some point right? I don't think it's particularly likely just due to how good Goldschmidt, Arenado, and Walker are, but a guy can dream, right? Main thing is that they don't appear to be the clear NL Central frontrunner most people thought they were due to how awful their starting pitching has been.
  2. Brewcrew82
    Noticed that Hiura has completely ditched his leg kick. If he shows improvement with the K numbers, I’d be tempted to give him one more shot and drop Voit. He’s crushing the the ball as he usually does. Worth paying attention to going forward…
  3. Brewcrew82
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/04/brewers-have-shown-interest-in-zack-britton.html Brewers among the frontrunners to sign the former Yankees/Orioles all-star reliever. Low cost. High reward. Add some more depth to the bullpen. Let's do it.
  4. Brewcrew82
    I'm not worried, yet. It's a small sample size. Corbin, Woody (provided it's a short IL stay), and Freddy have established themselves as among the best strikeout artists in the game. Same with Devin from the bullpen. He's only pitched 3 times thus far, which obviously impacts the overall K numbers. These guys are the reason why we've been among the top pitching staffs in terms of Ks over the past few years. We'll see with guys like Lauer, Bush, Strzelecki, etc. Velocity concerns in the beginning of the season generally tend fade away the further you go and the warmer the weather gets, unless there's an underlying injury. I just find it hard to believe that all of those guys simultaneously have underlying injuries. Trading a Hader definitely hurts. And the guys we've replaced him with (Payamps, Guerra, etc.) don't exactly have high K histories.. But, at the same time, you have Uribe, Cousins, Gasser knocking on the door in the minors...
  5. Brewcrew82
    Anybody could’ve seen how bad the Cards rotation was heading into the season…Except for the national analysts who collectively went gaga over them.
  6. Brewcrew82
    Does it say what streaming service it will be on? Nice to see the Brewers finally getting some attention from the national media.
  7. Brewcrew82
    I would add Yordan Alvarez to your list, too. But, yeah, that's what I've got.
  8. Brewcrew82
    Except for the fact that Gennett was bad on defense from the start and strictly limited to 2B...Not even close to Turang's speed and on-base ability, either...
  9. Brewcrew82
    If this is our only significant pitching injury, we’ll be fine. But that’s far from a guarantee…
  10. Brewcrew82
    3-1 start to the season! 10-0 pasting of the Mets and their $300 million+ offseason! Brice Turang superstar!
  11. Brewcrew82
    This is why you acquire as many live arms as possible..
  12. Brewcrew82
    I’ll also add to my bold predictions that I think that, of the 6 NL playoff teams from last year, the Brewers will end up taking the Dodgers spot in the postseason. Dodgers are in some real trouble imo with the Lux injury and the players they lost in the off-season.
  13. Brewcrew82
    Yeah, though we’re still likely looking at a few weeks as Taylor didn’t get any at-bats during ST.
  14. Brewcrew82
    With ST now officially in the rearview mirror and OD on Thursday, I figured it's time to create another predictions thread. So, time for "official" preseason predictions per the following categories: MVP: Corbin Burnes CY Young: Corbin Burnes Rookie of the Year: Sal Frelick BA Leader: Sal Frelick (.294), may not qualify, but this is a pretty safe pick imo HR Leader: Rowdy Tellez (37) ERA Leader: Corbin Burnes (2.47) SO Leader: Corbin Burnes (252) WAR Leader: Corbin Burnes (6.7) Breakout(s): Luis Urias, Abner Uribe, Freddy Peralta (healthy, 30 starts, top 10 CY) Disappointment(s): Eric Lauer, Matt Bush, Garrett Mitchell Bold Prediction (s): Chourio debuts in August and plants himself at the top of the order during the stretch run. Record: 90-72 Playoffs? Yes, Wild Card. Lose WS in 5 to SEA (FINALLY the team that "gets hot")
  15. Brewcrew82
    It's more possible than him hitting .300, but still very unlikely so long as his K rate hovers above 40%
  16. Brewcrew82
    Yeah, not comparable at all until Frelick has a season like Gimenez just had. Right now, Frelick has a total of zero MLB at-bats. Hoerner's deal would be more comparable for Frelick than Gimenez, and even then, Hoerner’s much further along in the process....
  17. Brewcrew82
    Possible, even likely lol. He's raked at literally every stop in the minors. Then, once he gets called back up to majors he proceeds to struggles with Ks. Like clockwork.
  18. Brewcrew82
    Right, which is why I acknowledged they have an advantage. I just believe it’s closer than you think and is largely canceled out by the difference in the starting rotations. Though, I wouldn’t say Walker, Burleson are any more advanced than Wiemer, Frelick. Cardinals just decided to bring them up for opening day, while we opted to hold our guys down likely for service time manipulation. Winn could make an impact later in the season, but so could Chourio… O’Neil, Carlson, Gorman are also pretty big question marks still. And I wouldn’t bank on Arenado and Goldschmidt repeating their career years, considering their ages (Goldschmidt especially) and over performance relative to their stat cast profiles. Just like we should never have expected our starting pitching to repeat their 2021 numbers heading into last season.
  19. Brewcrew82
    Disagree. I think it’s about an even advantage. If Peralta stays healthy like 2021, that’s three big time strikeout arms that the Cardinals don’t have the ability to match at all. On the position player side, I think our OF depth matches up pretty well with our prospects. Their OFs are obviously a little more proven but I think talent wise it’s even. Catchers cancel each other out. First base is advantage Cardinals, but it might not be by as much as we think with Rowdy and Goldschmidt set to regress in complete opposite directions. Second base is pretty dang even as Turang and Donovan have almost identical profiles, with Donovan being more proven at the MLB level. SS is slight advantage Brewers as Adames and Edman are both elite defenders, but Adames possesses the higher offensive ceiling due to his power. Third base is probably the biggest gap with Arenado being as great as he is, but Urias isn’t exactly a slouch and who knows if Arenado can repeat the season he had last year especially in that ballpark. And then DH is pretty even as well. The Cardinals have great position player depth, but I wouldn’t say it’s that superior to ours. It’s just slightly more proven. I think it’s going to come down to how the Brewers bullpen takes shape in bridging the gap to Devin. If we can get that figured out (Uribe?), I think we’ll be in good shape.
  20. Brewcrew82
    Their lineup is pretty legit as Nootbar I think is due for a big breakout (just look at his Statcast page). Then, you have O'Neil who is due for positive regression, though I doubt he's the MVP candidate he showed in 2021. And Contreras is a HUGE upgrade offensively over Yadi. Walker could easily be a ROY candidate. Those players will help cancel out some of the likely negative regression from Goldschmidt and Arenado. But their starting pitching is absolutely atrocious. Verlander is high...
  21. Brewcrew82
    The Cardinals rotation is not good at all. They are the worst in the league at missing bats, and feature 35-40 year olds and injury prone guys galore. For as much of an advantage they have at the plate, we basically make that up with our starting pitching. Which makes me think that the season will come down to how well our bullpen comes together before Devin. There is also virtually zero chance that Arenado and Goldschmidt, in their early to mid 30s, both have career seasons again.
  22. Brewcrew82
    True the Cardinals have a really good every day lineup, but you should take a look at what they're going to try to throw out there for the rotation.
  23. Brewcrew82
    I don't get that, respectfully. 2021 had a lot more questions. Burnes and Woodruff weren't yet established aces. Peralta had yet to have sustained success in the rotation. Lauer was atrocious during the pandemic season and mediocre in San Diego (Also, didn't even end up making the OD rotation). Houser was coming off a negative WAR, 5.30 ERA season. Brett Anderson was persistently on the IL. And the depth options weren't too promising, with a mid-30s Josh Lindblom constantly sucking and Aaron Ashby largely an unknown after a canceled minor league season. We all know how the starting pitching ended up performing... Fast forward a mere two years, and you have 2 established aces, a potential (if healthy) third ace in Peralta, and rock-steady 4/5 starters in Lauer and Miley, with Houser ready to fill in as a capable 6th starter. Of course, a healthy Ashby would be great and erase even more doubt, but compared to 2021, 2020, etc., there's a lot less to be concerned about imo. It's a consensus top rotation in baseball, and one that 20 other teams would easily trade places with.
  24. Brewcrew82
    One word should suffice here: YES. Turn MLB into NFL/NBA.
  25. Brewcrew82
    As @wiguy94points out, you're completely misreading the optics here. Vast majority of the baseball community, including Brewers fans, have sided with Burnes over the team. You're right that we'd probably get a bigger return at the deadline. But I don't think it'd be significantly lower, particularly if Burnes performs closer to 2021 and/or wins another Cy Young in the process. MAYBE we could make the playoffs without Burnes, but that would require A LOT to go right (Peralta staying healthy and pitching 160-170+ innings, Ashby overcoming the shoulder injury to return in May and pitching significantly better than 2022 as a starter, Lauer repeating his 2021-2022 numbers despite underwhelming peripherals, Miley staying healthy, Houser repeating his 2021 numbers in a swingman role, Gasser adjusting quickly to MLB and performing at an above average level, etc.). Not to mention the bullpen, which is unproven, and the offense, which lacks a true superstar, would probably have to take a step up. But World Series contenders? I don't see it. To consider trading Burnes at the deadline, unless we're out of the playoff race entirely, I would have to see one of: Jordan Walker, Andrew Painter, Grayson Rodriguez, Marcelo Meyer, Jackson Holiday, Bobby Miller, Ricky Tiedemann, Jackson Merrill, etc.
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