This is the time, right before the draft, just like in every sport...that we amplify all the warts in these guys. Puk will only be a closer. Ray won't have power. Groome is immature. I think half this stuff is leaked just to lower prices. Braun had a huge hole in his swing. Couldn't hit anything on the hands. It was going to be the plague of his career. The MLB draft, more than any other, is blackjack. Even if you know how to play, even if you make the right decision, the odds aren't with you. Puk is a non-blackjack 21. Even if the dealer draws out, the worst is a push (a closer). Ray is a 19 against a 5. More often than not it'll win. Pint/Groome in my Opinion are like doubling down on 10 against a face card. There are three pretty common outcomes. The dealer gives you an Ace (TOR fulfilled), a face (closer/back end starter)(most likely a push against the likely dealer 20, or you draw garbage and the dealer crushes you (minor league washout). The decision in this case, is the judgment of doubling a 10 into a 10. By blackjack theory, you are hoping for a push. There is risk/reward, it isn't a no-brainer. If the Brewers feel they can bust on this pick, then take one of the volatile arms. If they feel they have to give themselves the best chance at risk mitigation, then the young arms (this year at least) are a bad idea. If we're still multiple years away, and will have many more chances to take risks, then go for it. If DS think we're maybe 2 years away, probably better to take a higher floor. Not advocating a Jungmann, but at #5, there are high floor/high ceiling guys available. Sorry, didn't have time to fully flush out this train of thought, and not sure it ever gets anywhere...