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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. I agree on average pitchers age better than position players do but it's not a guarantee and pitchers are much more likely to have an injury that will reduce their impact for 12-18 months than position players.
  2. I'll be honest I think you both are off. Williams is only 22 and wasn't great in AAA last year. He needs to work on some things in AAA before he's MLB ready.
  3. Don't you see though? The Brewers signed Yelich to that extension coming off two straight MVP caliber seasons. Everyone thought the extension was a bargain but injury issues and aging have warped that MVP version of Yelich. Now you think it's bad to be paying him the money he's being paid and think Peralta should be getting paid. Peralta will be entering his age 31 season when he hits FA. If you sign him to a contract you're doing exactly what the Brewers did with Yelich in 2019 and paying for the backside of his career where he's likely going to regress and not live up to the contract. Long term financial commitments to players over 30 hamstring small market teams with low payrolls.
  4. That's absolutely an unrealistic scenario. You're not going to get 3 years of Duran or 4 years of Abreu for 1 year of Freddy Peralta.
  5. Kind of crazy that a waiver claim of Marco Estrada in 2010 has turned into 24.2 fWAR, Brandon Sproat, and Jett Williams.
  6. Why would an MLB team trade a proven high quality MLB bat for 1 year of Freddy Peralta and prospects? The whole concept of a team trading for 1 year of a SP is that they are trying to win in that one season. That makes it counter-intuitive to trade a proven high quality hitter from your roster. It's just not logical.
  7. I saw somewhere that Sproat had a tale of two halves in AAA last year and it looks like that was true. First half of his AAA season - .261/.365/.402 opponent slash, 15.6% K-rate, 11.6% BB-rate, 22.5% whiff rate, 88.2 Avg EV, 35.8% hard hit, 5.2% barrel rate Second half of his AAA season - .165/.254/.248 opponent slash, 30.2% K-rate, 9.1% BB-rate, 29.5% whiff rate, 86.8 Avg EV, 29.9% hard hit, 3.6% barrel rate
  8. Kind of crazy that 3 of the pitchers that pitched in Game 3 against the Mets in 2024 are now on the Mets.
  9. Williams has gotten some reps in CF, so maybe Brewers see him as a potential OF?
  10. They haven't done their 2026 updates yet but he's Top 100 on every other list so even if he isn't on Pipeline they would be the outlier in that regard.
  11. His 17 HR last year would have been 2nd in the Brewers minor league system. He also had an ISO over .200 which would have been 7th in the Brewers system Edit: Sorry 4th. I had a qualifier on so Wilken and Cameron weren't included.
  12. Sproat is a consensus Top 100 prospect. He will be much higher than 8 or 9.
  13. 4 and 5 by Baseball America. Guessing 3 and 4 by Fangraphs. Pipeline don't know because they haven't done any 2026 rankings yet.
  14. Too soon to tell but it's fair value for the Brewers.
  15. 156 wRC+ in 421 PA in AA as a 21 year old
  16. HE LITERALLY HAD A 156 wRC+ IN AA AS A 21 YEAR OLD. STOP SAYING HE HASN'T HIT IN THE UPPER LEVELS
  17. I was just getting ready for bed. Looks like I'm staying up a bit later tonight.
  18. Seigler had a league average swing rate on pitches in the zone with an 18% chase rate. The league average chase rate last year was 28.1%.
  19. The Mets aggressively pushed Sproat to AAA. He threw 87 innings below AAA. Him not being ready to start games in MLB last year is hardly a major fault against him. How many pitchers only threw 237 innings in the minors before they made their MLB debut? Williams had an .868 OPS and 156 wRC+ in AA last year as a 21 year old over 2 years younger than the average position player in the Eastern League.
  20. Not really. It’s absolutely part of the equation when it comes to pitchers. This will be Freddy’s age 30 season. Woodruff blew out his shoulder and Burnes blew out his elbow in their age 30 seasons. Surely you don’t think it’s a coincidence that Hader, Williams, and Burnes were all traded instead of riding them out for a comp pick while Adames a position player was rode out and given a QO.
  21. That not the worst case scenario. The worst case scenario is Freddy gets injured and we get a partial season and no comp pick.
  22. I've actually compared Pratt's trajectory to Turang before. Turang on the minor league side really didn't see that tick up in power until the second half of his Age 22 season in AAA. Post July 1st he slashed .296/.390/.484 for a 136 wRC+ and had 10 of his 13 HR. That second half of the season was a big reason why I thought he had more offensive upside when he debuted than most prospect people thought. I had pretty much given up on it translating heading into the 2025 season. This is part of the reason why I think Pratt will drop towards the bottom of the Top 100 if he doesn't see that uptick in bat speed and power this season. Turang was a fringe Top 100 guy most of his prospect career. Occassionally would make it into a list. I think Pratt's frame is what's giving him some leeway in the rankings because people are still projecting him to tap into more power.
  23. He had a 156 wRC+ at AA last year as a 21 year old? He slashed .281/.390/.477 in a league where the average slash line was .232/.318/.362 Whoops @wallus beat me to it.
  24. Sirota is the higher regarded prospect. Fangraphs has him at 45+. BA at 45 adjusted at 45th in the Top 100. Freeland is 45 on Fangraphs and 40 adjusted by Baseball America. Pipeline is the only place that has Freeland ranked higher but they haven't done their 2026 updates yet.
  25. I wouldn't be amazed by a Sproat and Williams trade but I think it's fair. I'd consider it to be better value than the Burnes return. Sproat has good stuff and a nice mix. Command hasn't been very good though. If you can get the command to improve (Brewers generally do a pretty good job with this) then I think he has a solid shot of being a mid rotation starter.
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