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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    The JJ Hardy trade tree is my favorite. Drafted JJ Hardy (11.0 bWAR) JJ Hardy --> Carlos Gomez (19.0 bWAR) Carlos Gomez and Mike Fiers --> Brett Phillips, Domingo Santana, Adrian Houser, Josh Hader (19.0 bWAR) Brett Phillips and Jorge Lopez --> Mike Moustakas (0.5 bWAR) Domingo Santana --> Ben Gamel and Noah Zavolas (0.2 bWAR) Adrian Houser and Tyrone Taylor --> Coleman Crow (0 bWAR but still active) Josh Hader --> Taylor Rogers, Dinelson Lamet, Robert Gasser, Esteury Ruiz (-0.3 bWAR but still active) Esteury Ruiz --> William Contreras, Joel Payamps, Justin Yeager (14.5 bWAR but still active) Drafting JJ Hardy has netted us 63.9 bWAR and 69.2 fWAR and counting.
  2. wiguy94
    Fun fact, the player the Brewers DFA'd to open up a 40-man spot when they claimed Estrada was none other than Tim Dillard!
  3. wiguy94
    Baseball-reference. If you click on that amateur, college, minor lg stats tab then the new page will show where you ranked on preseason Top 100 lists of Pipeline, BA, and BP.
  4. wiguy94
    In pre-season rankings before debuting Frelick peaked at 30 (Pipeline 2023), Wiemer peaked at 65 (Baseball Prospectus 2023), and Mitchell peaked at 65 (Pipeline 2021)
  5. wiguy94
    In his MLB career, Black has seen 10 pitches in the zone called balls and 9 pitches out of the zone called strikes per gameday zones which are the most accurate from a vertical perspective.
  6. wiguy94
    Eddie I've mentioned this on BCB but just based on called pitches, an automated strike zone would have hurt Sal Frelick last year. Now maybe that's because he's swinging at pitches above the zone due to umps calling his zone too tall. Obviously can't know that for certain, but it's not black and white that an automated strike zone would help Sal Frelick.
  7. wiguy94
    With Made getting invited to big league camp, you can forget about him going back to Appleton to start the season. In the 2020s the Brewers haven't invited any players who to big league camp that started the season below AA.
  8. wiguy94
    I think this is probably a nothing burger. He will start out the year at SS but will play multiple positions. Brewers have listed him as an INF/OF post trade.
  9. wiguy94
    Made has now officially passed the Chourio trajectory. Chourio was not invited to big league camp as a teenager in 2023.
  10. wiguy94
    I believe that is the first
  11. wiguy94
    Brewers are very well represented in Kiley's Top 100 with 8! prospects.
  12. wiguy94
    Yeah turns 32 in June and has had one good season in the last 4 years. Substantially overperformed his underlying numbers last season and is no longer a plus baserunner like he was in the past. Maybe he can keep it going for another year but I'm not buying it.
  13. wiguy94
    He came up to Milwaukee for like two days but outside of that I don’t think he had any involvement with the team. Maybe he was down in Maryvale but I haven’t seen or heard anything about that.
  14. wiguy94
    The facility is definitely good enough for AA but the issue is that there’s no AA league remotely close to Appleton. It would take a complete makeover of the leagues for that to happen.
  15. wiguy94
    When Spencer said minor league depth he means depth for the minor leagues not for the major leagues. Basically Miller is a solid minor leaguer and is system depth.
  16. wiguy94
    Why is Patrick's ceiling as a starter a number 4? Last year as a SP he had a 3.88 xERA, 3.50 FIP, 16.9 K-BB%, and 3.97 SIERA. All that while also not having a good offspeed/breaking ball. With the addition of his slurve, is it not possible to think he could level up a bit? Stuff+ thinks both his fastball and cutter are comfortably above average pitches by stuff at 107 and 111 stuff+ respectively.
  17. wiguy94
    That's just not the way the Brewers operate and until there are major changes to the economic landscape of MLB it probably won't change. Brewers firmly believe in the "bites of the apple" approach of sustained competitiveness. In all seriousness, do you really think adding Duran significantly alter the odds of the Brewers beating the Dodgers in the playoffs? Does adding that one player suddenly make us their equals on paper?
  18. wiguy94
    Yeah I wouldn't even look at ERA when evaluating the lab. I'd look more at FIP, SIERA, and K-BB% as those are better indicators of purely the pitcher. Here's an example of lab success. Before Milwaukee - 5.74 FIP, 4.90 SIERA, 7.1 K-BB% In Milwaukee - 3.42 FIP, 3.16 SIERA, 19.3 K-BB% After Milwaukee - 3.39 FIP, 3.78 SIERA, 12.6 K-BB%
  19. wiguy94
    Here's a list of players since 2006 with 700 PA at AA and a batting average between .200 and .210...not exactly a list that screams future MLB player. I think there's two MLB players on that list. One is a CF who can't hit but is super fast and great defensively. The other briefly played catcher for the A's in 2024 and has some pop in his bat but can't make contact. Guys who can't hit for average and don't have pop rarely ever make it to MLB unless they are elite defensively. Darrien Miller is not elite defensively. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/minor-league?pos=all&level=2&lg=&stats=bat&qual=700&type=1&team=&season=2006&seasonEnd=2025&org=all&ind=0&splitTeam=false&players=&filter=AVG|gt|0.2,AVG|lt|0.21&sort=19,1
  20. wiguy94
    This should be in the transactions and rumors forum
  21. wiguy94
    I'll also add to this. A fangraphs 50 FV position player is a player they project to be an average everyday player who accumulates roughly 10-15 fWAR during their 6 years of team control. That's like a Cronenworth type of player on the high end and a Dubon type player on the low end.
  22. wiguy94
    Great post! I think it's become a bit too common to refer to bench players who can play multiple positions as utility players. A true utility player is someone who can play multiple positions and still rack up close to a full season's worth of PA not someone like Andruw Monasterio who is just a positionally versatile bench player.
  23. wiguy94
    Yes it’s way too early. Brewers didn’t trade Adames. There’s no reason to assume the Brewers absolutely will trade Contreras.
  24. wiguy94
    Sproat is on the 40-man
  25. wiguy94
    Joe Doyle says industry chatter is we could be in the final year or two of high school talent being draft eligible.
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