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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. I'll be honest I have no clue what you're looking at. Frelick and Perkins are not below replacement level on anything according to baseball-reference. Frelick is at 9 oRAR this year, Perkins is at 12 and Jazz is at 18. How are Perkins and Frelick both below replacement level?
  2. Justin King doing Justin King things to the Shuckers isn't that much fun.
  3. I guess when you can't get a hitter out that you resort to throwing at him. Sour grapes.
  4. Yeah it was very interesting, but didn't seem like somber like he was being traded. More like he was getting promoted?
  5. Looks like Salem intentionally threw at Castillo. Pitcher had no command issues in the inning outside of hitting Castillo with a pitch that was thrown behind him?
  6. That's going to be interesting watching his profile in Wrigley. His power is going to be very dependent on which way the wind is blowing.
  7. I think it's dramatically better than TruMedia's barrel definition. A barrel to me is damage and XBH. 100 EV, 10 LA is a good batted ball that will be a hit almost every time, but it's also going to be a single a large majority of those hits. That's not very damaging. Anything between 95-100 EV and 30-35 LA is going to be a flyout for like 50-75% of the OF. Including such a huge variety of batted balls under 1 net doesn't seem predictive of anything. There's very little wOBA difference between 90-100 EV at 12 LA, but only half of those balls get considered barrels? Where's the logic in that?
  8. By TruMedia's definition of a barrel, Trevor Megill's FB has a 23.7% barrel rate against and his FB has a 42.1% sweet spot rate against. Genuinely asking should we be concerned about Trevor Megill's FB?
  9. Isaac Paredes is an anomaly, so citing him is just a reach Mears FB on the road - .296 xwOBA, .262 wOBA, 24.2% whiff rate, 19 IVB, 1.7 RV/100 Mears FB at home - .312 xwOBA, .309 wOBA, 14.5% whiff rate, 16 IVB, 0.6 RV/100 Meanwhile here is the gap in his breaking balls Mears breaking balls on the road - .428 wOBA, .309 xwOBA, 34.8% whiff rate, -5.6 RV/100 Mears breaking balls at home - .249 wOBA, .178 xwOBA, 46.3% whiff rate, 0.8 RV/100 Just seems like focusing on the FB as the issue on the road was a miscalculation.
  10. Yeah I’m just not going to take something serious that considers 97 EV with 30 LA a barrel or something that considers 100 EV with 12 LA a barrel.
  11. His FB has been much better on the road than at home. Better xwOBA, better run value, better whiff and CSW rates. It’s his breaking balls that have been crushed on the road. On the road his breaking balls have a 12% lower whiff rate, 131 point higher xwOBA, and 6.4 RV/100 worse than at home. That’s been the issue on the road. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=FF|&hfAB=&hfGT=R|&hfPR=&hfZ=&hfStadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2024|&hfSit=&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&hfOpponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfMo=&hfTeam=&home_road=Road&hfRO=&position=&hfInfield=&hfOutfield=&hfInn=&hfBBT=&hfFlag=&pitchers_lookup[]=683232&metric_1=&group_by=name&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&sort_col=pitches&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc&chk_stats_xba=on&chk_stats_xslg=on&chk_stats_xwoba=on&chk_stats_pitcher_run_value_per_100=on#results
  12. Nope. What I linked was per batted ball event. He has 31 batted ball events against his FB on the road. I’m not sure where you’re getting 8 barreled balls in these 31 batted balls. Unless you’re using some incredibly wonky definition of a barrel that 25.8% number is way off https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=FF|&hfAB=&hfGT=R|&hfPR=&hfZ=&hfStadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2024|&hfSit=&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&hfOpponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfMo=&hfTeam=&home_road=Road&hfRO=&position=&hfInfield=&hfOutfield=&hfInn=&hfBBT=&hfFlag=&pitchers_lookup[]=683232&metric_1=&group_by=name-event&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&sort_col=pitches&player_event_sort=api_h_launch_speed&sort_order=desc&chk_event_release_speed=on&chk_event_launch_speed=on&chk_event_launch_angle=on#results
  13. I have no clue where you're getting a 24% barrel rate on his FB on the road from. He has a 3.2% barrel rate on the road with his fastball. It's his breaking balls that have been getting barreled on the road. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfGT=R|&hfPR=&hfZ=&hfStadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2024|&hfSit=&player_type=pitcher&hfOuts=&hfOpponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfMo=&hfTeam=&home_road=Road&hfRO=&position=&hfInfield=&hfOutfield=&hfInn=&hfBBT=&hfFlag=&pitchers_lookup[]=683232&metric_1=&group_by=pitch-type&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&sort_col=pitches&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc&chk_stats_barrels_per_bbe_percent=on#results
  14. Are you talking about the Nick Mears trade or a different one?
  15. I'm just glad the 2024 stopper is on the mound for the Brewers tomorrow.
  16. The lack of sweeper usage and command/slight velo drop were definitely red flags, but his last appearance was like a gigantic red flag. Velo was down 2.5-5mph depending on which pitch you looked at. When you start getting into that territory it feels like an IL stint is right around the corner.
  17. He left the game with what looked like an injury the other night. No idea on what the injury could be, but he was pinch ran for by Tayden Hall late in a close game which definitely would make me think it was an injury.
  18. After seeing what the Phillies gave up for 2 months of Carlos Estevez, I much prefer trading for a guy like Mears.
  19. Yeah assuming no Levonas this leaves them $2,500,580 to work with from round 11-20 over $150K
  20. Looks like he's got an ear infection
  21. Only thing I don't like about the trade is that Mears has no options. If he struggles they either have to deal with the struggles or DFA him. The peripherals are really good and he has very good stuff. If he pans out the Brewers could get 3.5 seasons out of him. Blalock was an arrow down guy this season and Herrera while being arrow up mostly has back end rotation upside. Seems like a relatively fair value deal.
  22. So Chourio must be dealing with some pain or something, right? Giving him the day off two days after an off day seems pretty unnecessary
  23. Wade would be more expensive than that considering he has 1.5 years of control.
  24. Hopefully Hudson is back to form when he comes off the IL. He hasn't been right in a while.
  25. I feel like this team will make the playoffs, but it's hard to believe in this team making a run in the playoffs. There's still plenty of time before the playoffs start. Maybe some deadline acquisitions change that or the team starts playing better, but as of right now I feel like I haven't believed less in a team's playoff odds since 2019. The pitching has been what has carried this team the last two months of the year, and it's hard for me to trust this pitching staff in a playoff environment.
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