wiguy94
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Everything posted by wiguy94
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Why would Winker be the one who gets moved in that scenario? He’s a DH/5th OF. Why wouldn’t you move Tyrone instead considering he’s the 3rd/4th OF and the direct competition for playing time for the rookies.
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Henderson’s BTV value is larger than Burnes. Trading someone with 6 years of control for someone with 2 years of control at the beginning of your competitive window is a great way of shortening said competitive window.
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Agreed. It makes very little sense. If Winker has a huge bounce back year there’s a chance he gets a qualifying offer in the offseason (it’s very unlikely but still possible)
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Henderson and Rodriguez will not be traded by the Orioles for anything. I doubt the Brewers would even ask for Henderson in a trade because they know it would never happen.
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Still pending physical. The Miley signing was leaked multiple days before it became official
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Nice little article about Brian Anderson ok Fangraphs. Let’s hope the injury bug is behind him because it seems like there’s still a good baseball player there when healthy.
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Looking at his year by year splits against LHP I was pretty hopeful. Outside of 2021 and his rookie year he never was below 95 wRC+ against LHP but 2021 was horrible and his K-rate has spiked against LHP the last two years with a near Hiura level 39% K-rate against them. I really think this signing is all going to come down to his health.
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He also had a 36% K-rate and a .366 BABIP against LHP, so I’m not sure thst production is super sustainable.
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I feel like barring a super good spring training that Turang will be in the minors until the super 2 deadline.
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My concern with Anderson against LHP is the K-rate has seriously spiked the last two seasons at 39% over 141 PA compared to 22% over 358 PA from 2018-2020.
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Brewers have managed to get their hands on another RHH with career reverse splits. We are just stacking up this team to destroy RHP again.
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I hope this potential trade works out as well for the Cardinals as their last big trade with the Marlins. Cards received 4.7 fWAR from Ozuna in that trade and have given up 22 fWAR between Alcantara and Gallen who (who still have combined 5 years of team control from the time they were traded, Alcantara signed a longer contract but only two of those years are from his 6 years of team control) i think Lopez is good but he’s a lot like Freddy Peralta in that he hasn’t proven to be a workhorse guy. Lopez has topped 150 innings just once in his career.
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And once again, Burnes is arb 2 while Woody is arb 3. Burnes will be getting about $4M more than Woodruff did in arb 2 last year. This is how the arb process works.
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Yeah the comparison for people should be Burnes likely to make $4M more in arb 2 than Woodruff did last year. Next year in arb 3 he will likely make $8M+ more than Woodruff did this year in arb 3
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Woodruff being a year further into arb than Burnes is the big difference maker here. If Burnes was arb 3 not arb 2 then he would surely be getting more than Woodruff probably a notable amount more as well (talking multiple million)
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Arbitration process looks at your whole career not just what you’ve done recently.
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Woodruff should get more than Burnes. He's pitched 100 more innings, has a better career ERA, and is in his 3rd arb year compared to Burnes 2nd arb year. Brewers should have just given Burnes what he wanted (not like payroll is up and Mark is trying to save some money) but that doesn't mean Woodruff should be getting less than Burnes.
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Probably should have just given Burnes what he wanted when you’re only $740K apart but some people are making this out to be so much more than it has to be.
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Yeah around 2 WAR is definitely attainable for Rowdy. Last year Josh Bell had 123 wRC+ In 647 PA. His BsR was -5.6 leaving an offensive value at 11.3. His defensive value was -14.4. His fWAR was 2.0. That feels like something Rowdy could pull off with some better batted ball luck.
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More than likely the latter. Agreeing to a settlement doesn’t exclude a team from signing the player to a long term extension (Devers is an example from this offseason). It’s likely Burnes thinks he can get more through the arb process than the Brewers were willing to offer. it would be pretty difficult for Rowdy to put up a 3 WAR season with how poor his baserunning/defense are. For reference Vlad Jr (who has the most comparable baserunning and defensive numbers to Rowdy among 1B) had 2.8 fWAR last year with a 132 wRC+ and 107 more PA than Rowdy. For Rowdy to get 3 WAR he would probably need to be around 135-140 wRC+ with a similar amount of PA as last year
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If Frelick had a 137 wRC+, Mitchell a 118 wRC+, Wiemer a 109 wRC+ and Turang a 108 wRC+ not a single Brewers fan would complain. If those 4 hit like that they would probably combine for 12-14 WAR and we would probably win 100 games.
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I don't even see the point mentioning Singleton. Singleton's career was derailed by his substance abuse issues. Who knows what he could have done if it wasn't for that.
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Rumor: Dear Brewers, Please Go Get Kyle Garlick
wiguy94 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Fangraphs says he has an option, and I am inclined to believe them. -
Rumor: Dear Brewers, Please Go Get Kyle Garlick
wiguy94 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think he’d be a good pick for the Brewers as a 4th OF. According to Fangraphs he still has an option as well. Mashes LHP and has an option to me is the perfect stopgap to save some service time on our rookies or fill in if they struggle. -
Rumor: Dear Brewers, Please Go Get Kyle Garlick
wiguy94 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think he’d be a good pick for the Brewers as a 4th OF. According to Fangraphs he still has an option as well. Mashes LHP and has an option to me is the perfect stopgap to save some service time on our rookies or fill in if they struggle.
