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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Just an FYI, those projection systems do not factor in that he's coming off major shoulder surgery.
  2. wiguy94
    It's probably a minor league deal as injury insurance for the OF considering we have no notable OF prospects in the high minors outside Lara (assuming he starts in AA) who isn't exactly knocking on the MLB door.
  3. wiguy94
    Position Players Hedbert Perez - Coming off a nice stint on the VEWL and the injuries finally behind him (fingers crossed) I think he has a year where you bounced back from being an afterthought by many. Marco Dinges - Flashed great EV in Carolina last year. Hopefully with an offseason of tutelage from the Brewers he shows he can stick at C where he offers legit offensive upside Filippo Di Turi - Struggled as an 18 year old in Carolina but had strong swing decisions. Very strong defensively up the middle, I think he bounces back offensively and ends up in Wisconsin by season's end as a 19 year old. Pitchers Will Rudy - Very smooth delivery. This is the offseason he finally adds a bit of velo to add to his solid command. Will Childers - Flashed very solid stuff in the AZFL. I think he becomes a potential late season shuttle option for the bullpen. Anthony Flores - Doesn't have the flashiest stuff, but has put up very respectable K and BB numbers the last two seasons between the DSL, ACL, and Carolina. Doing it over a full season in Carolina as a 20 year old officially puts him on the map as a name to watch
  4. wiguy94
    I think the point of this is guessing without researching. It would be like playing immaculate grid with baseball-reference pulled up on the side. Kind of defeats the purpose of the whole thing.
  5. wiguy94
    That's just not how deferrals work. The money that is being deferred needs to be put in an escrow account within two years of when the money earned then when the money is paid out it goes from the escrow account to the player. So the $68M that was deferred for Ohtani in 2024 needs to be set aside by the Dodgers by 2026.
  6. wiguy94
    I mean I don't think many are disputing Frelick gained 25 pounds. It's the selling it as Frelick gained 25 pounds of muscle that's complete nonsense. He's 5'8 and 190lbs so he's probably pretty maxed out physically which means it's tougher for him to maintain that weight in season when he's not lifting weights as often as he does in the offseason.
  7. wiguy94
    Looks like the Tyler Black to 3B thing was not so accurate.
  8. wiguy94
    I'm all for giving it a try. If the org is actually viewing him as a potential 3B option I'd feel a bit better about their inactivity in the FA/trade IF market.
  9. wiguy94
    Easily the last one.
  10. wiguy94
    He’s young yes but he’s Rule 5 eligible after the 2027 season. He’s thrown 84 professional innings and will likely be on a pitch/inning limit in 2026 and might even miss some of the season depending on his recovery time. So while Knoth will still be young he’s on a timeline that doesn’t change because of an injury. These injury issues lead to scenarios where you’re protecting guys like Logan Henderson or Bradley Blalock from the Rule 5 draft when they aren’t close to being built up enough to be a full time starter. Also with Henderson you could argue the lack of reps is part of the reason he’s never been able to develop a legitimate third pitch.
  11. wiguy94
    You misread what Jake said. Jake is disputing that Frelick put on 25 pounds of muscle not that Frelick put on 25 pounds.
  12. wiguy94
    Frelick had -5.6 offensive value per fangraphs in 524 PA. DeJong had -5.1 offensive value per fangraphs in 482 PA. If he continued that pace through 524 PA he would have had -5.5 offensive value. So he was minisculely more valuable than Frelick last year offensively. By RE24 which assigns run values based on the 24 base/out states, Frelick was at -2.20 runs in 2024. DeJong was at -13.93. Considering DeJong is entering his age 31 season and Frelick is entering his age 25 season, I think it's a pretty safe bet that Frelick will be more valuable than DeJong offensive in 2025.
  13. wiguy94
    Yeah there's really no reason to do this for the Brewers.
  14. wiguy94
    The concern is far less about being able to recover from surgery and far more about losing 12+ months of developmental time. That's a big developmental blow.
  15. wiguy94
    He probably did gain 25 pounds in the offseason with a good chunk of that weight being water weight and fat. There's literally a 0% chance he gained 25 pounds of muscle in 4 months. Even if you were up to the gills in every performance enhancer you can think of you wouldn't be able to gain 25 pounds of muscle in 4 months.
  16. wiguy94
    Hopefully Knoth can have a quicker timeline TJ recovery considering he's rule 5 eligible after the 2027 season. If he has a longer 18 months TJ recovery he'd only have a year and a half available until he's Rule 5 eligible.
  17. wiguy94
    I'm pretty confident in saying I doubt the Brewers will carry 5 LHP in their bullpen.
  18. wiguy94
    D. Improving the rotation in the Williams trade was a nice move and the saving grace from an F offseason. Infield depth is shockingly thin and nothing was done to fix it. Rotation depth could be a bit better. As it stands you're really going to need one of Woodruff, Hall, Ashby to be a solid SP and I don't think any of those are safe options to do so. Also lost two good coaches in Berry and McKinven as well.
  19. wiguy94
    Also the Brewers acquired 2 big position players during the 3 years of the Burnes, Woodruff Peralta headed rotation. 2021 - Adames trade 2022 - nothing 2023 - Contreras trade The two big additions from 2018 both didn't provide much during those three years. Yelich had 2 down years and one solid year. Cain become washed pretty quickly.
  20. wiguy94
    Games at Down East Wood Ducks are the only games where you can't watch the Mudcats. Otherwise all of AAA, AA, A+, and A games are on MiLB . tv which you can get through a MLB . tv subscription. You don't even need MLB . tv to get access. I sign up for the atbat + MLBN which I think is $7.99 a month and that gives me radio access for every game MLB game, MLBN, and all affiliated minor league games
  21. wiguy94
    Out of all the pitcher and position player projections on PECOTA's depth chart only Woodruff and Yoho feel optimistic. The SP outside of Woodruff feel like fair projections. The bullpen projections are some of the worst things I've ever seen. All of Contreras, Yelich, Chourio, Ortiz, Mitchell's projections seem shockingly low. I feel like if they nailed the Brewers SP projections that I'd bet my life savings on the Brewers finishing with over 80 wins.
  22. wiguy94
  23. wiguy94
    Keith Law posted his farm system rankings today. Brewers came in at number 10 in Tier 3. "It’s a very strong group of teenagers on both sides of the ball who are all promising but several years away, with the prospects who are closer to the majors more likely to contribute in smaller roles as solid regulars, back-end starters, or relievers." That feels like a pretty accurate assessment of the state of the farm system.
  24. wiguy94
    If Brewers offered the same deal for a 1/1 Jackson Chourio card (pretend it's the same value as the Skenes card) I would definitely take the deal. The memories of 30 years of season tickets behind home plate would more than make up for losing money giving the card up.
  25. wiguy94
    His offensive profile has always been BB and HBP driven that was not new to AA. If he was a good defensive catcher he might have an off chance of being a backup catcher but his defense is really bad. The only reason he was invited to big league camp was because they always invite a bunch of catchers because there are a ton of pitchers.
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