mothershipconnection
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Everything posted by mothershipconnection
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SD signs Brad Hawpe to 1-yr. deal
mothershipconnection replied to TooLiveBrew's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yep, his .839 career road OPS indicates that he's a legit hitter. For a team without much of a budget, this is a solid signing as long as the price is reasonable. -
Brandon Webb to Texas Rangers
mothershipconnection replied to BREWCREW5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
More importantly, he's not going to Cincy or St. Louis. Every time a guy like this is linked to a rival, I think to myself "he'll struggle and be rusty with anyone else, but is just destined to regain form if he plays in our division". We really shouldn't be that nervous about guys likely to miss time and not be very good their first year back, but I still am for some reason. -
Now that we've gotten into evil and eternal hell, I'm guessing it will be best to lock 'er down and move this discussion to the politics board if anyone would like.
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My family has had radish slices on their relish tray for at least the 30 years I've observed.
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Would never happen. Injury risk could cost him 100 mil dollars. 0 chance they even think about it. Agreed. A multi-year extension with an opt-out after year one would be the only way a "1 year" extension happens, and I don't know that such a deal has ever happened.
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Looks like my MLB.tv subscription is now a lock (since they have PS3 streaming).
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So is everyone cool with DM now?
mothershipconnection replied to UeckerAddict's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I've always been fine with Doug. Those who've constantly griped about him just don't pay enough attention to the fact that there are 30 teams competing for talent. I'm by no means saying he's above criticism, but there are some who seem to think he should be landing every solid FA or player on the trade table, as if they know that the player said he'd come here for the same or less, and the team trading the player offered to trade him to us for a reasonable return. Some players would just rather play somewhere else, and some GM's have biases for or against players that will affect perceived value in trade. How many other GM's without huge payroll capabilities have landed anything akin to Sabathia, Marcum, and Greinke while signing Wolf in the last 2.5 years? -
New Vegas is great, I've been working on it for maybe 30 hours so far. It's basically like a huge Fallout 3 expansion, but that's still awesome.
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I would throw a temper tantrum if the Brewers signed Lee. There's just no chance that both 1) he's worth what he'll get over that duration and 2) the Brewers will have the cash to effectively compete with one guy soaking up that much payroll. I'd have a huge problem with signing any pitcher for that long, and wouldn't even be cool with that average annual value over 5 years unless it's a 27 year-old who never even had a sore muscle.
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He's well-rounded and very athletic, but he's also 29 now, so you know what you're getting - a pretty darn good player. No knock against the guy, but I don't know why some consider him an elite player, it's as if he has been playing for the Yankees.
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If absurd baseball contracts and the overall health of our economy correlate well, we should all breathe a sigh of relief.
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I really don't get what any of this has to do with Weeks - nobody even knows if Lawrie is going to stick at 2b and even if he does, it's highly unlikely that he will be MLB ready next season (when Weeks would leave as a FA). Because Lawrie will likely only have tons of value at 2B. If he ends up being an OF, he could wind up just being a good but not great player, which isn't a big price to pay for a quality SP. If Weeks is signed to an extension, there would have been a lower probability of Lawrie being a huge factor for the Brewers. You can get guys with his batting potential in the OF, but 2B's with big bats are hard to find. I don't get why lack of velocity is a huge negative for Marcum. All that matters is that you don't let batters hit the ball. Just ask Colt Griffin.
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Now they'd got the most value by keeping him, trying to win this year, and taking the picks. In a vacuum, I'm leaning more toward thinking sitting tight and taking the picks will be the best option. However, one thing we often neglect in considering comp picks is the signing bonus. It's not "trade for prospects vs get two draft picks", it's "trade for prospects vs get the opportunity to pay for 2 draftees". A player in the 2nd half of the first round plus a supplemental pick will run between $2MM and $3MM. If we think we're getting a return equal to what we'd expect from the comp picks, you also have to consider that the other team essentially paid that 2-3MM signing bonus for you. The net effect of trading Fielder now would be 1) someone paying you a couple million for him (by not paying the draftee signing bonus) and 2) the prospects being 1+ years more advanced. Of course, that all falls apart if you feel that the offered return is NOT the caliber of player you could net from the draft picks, in which case you keep your finger off the trade button and pay the signing bonus.
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Derek Jeter and NYY negotiations
mothershipconnection replied to Invader3K's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If they have any sense at all, they'll let him go shop his tired butt around, find out he's worth 2yr/$18MM to most teams, maybe 3yr/$40MM to a delusional owner, and come back clicking his heels at the 3yr/$45MM offer. He'll be 37 next June and -
What would you want from Milwaukee?
mothershipconnection replied to theavrock's topic in Off-Topic Forum
When my parents come down, we request Sprecher, cheese, and processed meats. Since they drive and thus have plenty of room, my dad also brings a case of Leinie's Original for good measure (we've been able to get most craft varieties here for about 4 years). Also, brewery merchandise and Brewers stuff you can't get in your area - I typically get an assortment of Leinie's and Brewers paraphernalia for Christmas and birthdays. This year, we bought a new house with a big island/bar in the kitchen, and my mom is getting me awesome Leinie's barstools for Christmas. -
Unfortunately, most people selling anything on craigslist are selling it for about 5% below retail, including sofas, televisions, video game systems. Also, they're insane and possibly trying to scam you. Selling my wife's '96 Altima last year was quite the experience. I had all kinds of "military surgeons" trying to "buy" it for their "daughter with cancer" by mailed check, and then there were real people who never showed up while I wasted 2 hours on a Saturday afternoon. Recently, we looked at living room sets, and many were like 10% below retail, we drove 30 min to look at a "leather set" that was vinyl (the seller was very unapologetic about this, despite telling me on the phone beforehand that it was 100% leather). It was a huge waste of time, so we just went and bought a set at Sam's Club for $300 more, but it's obviously new, flawless, and the set we picked. I did, however, get my parrot on craigslist for a fantastic deal from a nice family that didn't have the time for him anymore.
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For plasmas, I would highly recommend getting a Panasonic. As would I. I've had mine for 3 years and it looks fantastic. It's "only" 42", so I can't speak for huge screens, but mine looks very sharp with very good black display and perfect representation of fast-moving objects during sports.
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Luis Cruz not happy with September playing time
mothershipconnection replied to logan82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
There were some other comments about Escobar and Gallardo that would have been nice to have translated, also... It's been a good 5 years since I was competent enough to hold down a conversation, but I've got the gist of it. Escobar: It's difficult to compete for the SS job because he's been given the opportunity. Cruz batted .290, .300 all year, but Escobar is the prospect and they've given him the opportunity. Gallardo: they get along well and have known each other since AA. He's a humble guy who treated Cruz very well during his time in Milwaukee. -
I agree with this part. It's like for you or I, if you can make 75K sitting on your couch, would you take a job when you are in your fifties or sixties that pays you 150K where you have to sit in an office 45 hours a week and/or travel? Many would not. I'm only 30 and take that approach. In my field, you can work as a consultant and easily make six figures. However, you're always on the go, have to deal with a bunch of nonsense like insurance billing, and your schedule is completely unpredictable. Meanwhile, I get paid enough to support an adequate lifestyle and have a pretty ideal work situation, so I've never been tempted to go into consulting.
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Professional baseball managers are simply worth less in general. If a team is willing to spend about $4 mil per win in free agency, they must think managers have little to offer the team and/or they are all roughly the same in talent. Agreed. I think most D-1 college coaches who aren't knee-jerk hotheads could manage an MLB team and not cost many wins. Meanwhile, because football is so dependent on play calling, substitutions and the like, a bad coach can ruin a team. Some members of this board could probably coach a talented baseball team to the playoffs, while all of us would make Wade Phillips look like Lombardi.
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Get a Sedan Deville. I'm about 6'2" and drowned in that thing. My friend, who's maybe 6'5"/325lbs drove one and was totally comfortable. I haven't driven the newer ones, though, so I'm not sure if they've changed. Cadillacs tend to depreciate pretty fast, so you can often get a 4/5 year old one pretty cheap.
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If they wait a few months (or whatever it is) to bring him up, they'll have him for an extra year down the road. That's the main reason they won't/shouldn't put him in the big league rotation out of spring training. It's also easier to manipulate his innings in AAA where winning, in effect, is not the priority. I think this approach definitely makes the most sense. Rogers looks like he's coming along, but he didn't force their hand by dominating at AA. Add that to the desire to limit his innings, and it just seems most practical to put him in AAA where he can both be evaluated and hopefully continue to improve while keeping his innings low enough that he can be promoted by June. If he looks competent, it's only a matter of time before someone else gets hurt or sucks enough that he'll get his shot.
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$50 is a good deal for a replacement. My phone was crapping out after being dropped too frequently and my deductible for a replacement was $130 (T-Mobile). On the up-side, I could've signed a new contract because I was 2 months from expiration, but that phone is $150 with a new agreement, so I saved $20 and didn't have to sign a new contract. I now roll contract-free.
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dog cats and other pet stuff.
mothershipconnection replied to Thurston Fluff's topic in Off-Topic Forum
Am I correct in thinking we agree there is merit but maybe riding the line between the scientific process of conditioning and speculative hypothesis of how to apply said science? Yup. The clicker training camp has sufficiently demonstrated its efficacy when applied to an impressive range of behavior. However, the often misunderstand or play fast and loose with the basic research. They've run with what appears to be premature theory and may not be taking species-typical reflexes into account. There's also the topic of species preparedness. For example, you cannot reinforce the mating behavior of some species with food, or foraging with access to a mate. -
dog cats and other pet stuff.
mothershipconnection replied to Thurston Fluff's topic in Off-Topic Forum
With clicker training, the belief is that you have a combination of operant and Pavlovian conditioning. Operant conditioning involes the emission of behavior in the presence of a stimulus correlated with the availability of a reinforcer contingent upon that response. In Pavlovian, or classical conditioning, you have a once neutral stimulus which, through repeated pairing with a stimulus which elicits an unconditioned response/reflex, now elicits that response. So operant is stimulus-response-stmulus while Pavlovian/respondent/classical conditioning is stimulus-response. Where clicker trainers see the overlap is that you're dealing with operant behavior, but there's something of a leap of faith performed in viewing the clicker, through pairing with edibles to now serve as a surrogate for that unconditioned reinforcing stimulus. Exactly how previously neutral stimuli come to serve as conditioned reinforcers is an unsettled question. There is some evidence that it is often a Pavlovian process, but also a bit which indicates that this simple temporal pairing is not sufficient.
