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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. Out of this group I would pick the Orioles as the most likely to make the playoffs. They were in the mix through late August last year before falling off. Not much in the way of support from management, unfortunately.
  2. If Granato couldn't turn the program around, who can?
  3. Yeah especially right after the holidays when most were just on vacation. And everyone knows it's a tight job market so you can't just count on getting another job. I have a variety of experiences among friends...I do have one who went on a ski trip as soon as he got laid off from Google, but he probably would have done that anyway. He's not planning to return to the workforce in the near future. My contacts with kids were heavily job searching almost immediately. The severance buys them some time but that money goes quickly.
  4. Do the Millennials and Z's get blamed for everything? I was just in Hawaii and the average age of the tourist there is about 60. Very few people under 40 have enough time or money to do anything other than basic travel. I don't have social media, but I think what you're seeing are the "Influencers", who are getting paid to do all of that stuff by whoever sponsors then.
  5. We've used Sunbasket off and on. They are clearly not a sustainable option due to the shipping and packaging. Given the high cost, it's easier to use Instacart if you don't want to do your own grocery shopping. I didn't think about food waste reduction being a benefit, I would consider portion control to be the more useful feature. I live in a location with mandatory curbside compost pickup so food waste isn't very high on my concern list.
  6. Eventually the price gouging is going to eat into demand. I agree with those who are predicting that consumer demand will start falling later in 2023. I'm kind of surprised it hasn't happened yet, but some sectors like tourism still seem to be in a post-COVID boost and we're not in a recession (yet).
  7. Yeah, a huge chunk of the tech layoffs is sales and recruiters. The other chunk is basically people with $300K+ total comp who may need to accept a 20% pay cut in their next job at a startup or traditional company. And those folks are chomping at the bit to get some of that talent which was previously out of their price range. There's a lot of good talent there because the layoffs were not very discriminate in most cases.
  8. 1000%. It's kind of crazy that consumer demand hasn't fallen yet and the only reason it hasn't is probably that most people carry over credit card balances so they may be ignoring how much they are falling behind. I also know at least personally, the significant number of people in my inner friend/family circle who have been laid off in the last 6 weeks is influencing my thinking for the year as well.
  9. It's a near miracle that in 120 years of MLB there have only been two instances where major rule changes to the actual game itself (i.e. not juiced balls or steroids) were required to keep offense and defense in balance. Maybe there are more but the DH/mound lowering and the shift ban are the two big ones that come to mind. It's probably going to be needed more often going forward.
  10. I read the personal finance reddit and many of those folks were all putting in the max $6,500 into their IRA in January. To me the biggest risk is lack of liquidity as you noted, especially in your 55-62 window when you might need the cash. I see it as one piece of a diversified investment portfolio -- and it's a piece that you don't really have to think about after making the contribution. I didn't make a 2022 contribution (still can until tax day) so I might do that depending on what my bonus/raise looks like. It would sure be nice to retire at 55! I spent so much time getting my PhD that I figure I'll work until 70, but I guess we'll see.
  11. Spring training is a great time. We went for the first time in 2019 and it's becoming a bit of a tradition now. This year will be our third time. It's close to a perfect day to go for a morning run, hit the pool for an hour or two, watch some afternoon baseball, and then have a nice dinner. And there is no shortage of great food in the Phoenix area!
  12. We order from those apps several times per month. It’s the price you pay for convenience. I expect it to be $50-60 for two people. The menu price at the restaurant is irrelevant, that’s a different experience. I would say it’s more of a luxury than us being lazy. We don’t do our own grocery shopping either but I think we end up saving money and eating healthier because it’s easier to avoid impulse purchases when using Instacart.
  13. If you take out all of their “adjustments” it sounds like the conclusion to draw is that it’s basically a wash and there hasn’t been much change to the job market. It’s pretty obvious the January report will show job losses given everyone waited until the new year to do layoffs.
  14. I think they knew the economics were bad when FSWI rebranded to Bally, but there was hope for sports betting revenue to make up the difference. That seems to not have happened for whatever reason. Bally was just more of the same.
  15. The Brewers are getting screwed by RSNs more than any other team in MLB (excluding ones that don't care about winning games). If they lose a fraction of their revenue, it will be the same fraction lost as every other team caught up in this. The best case scenario for the Brewers is for there to be no path forward with an RSN -- that is, the payout is so low that the Brewers would be better off going with a streaming service (as Brock suggested) or having a crisis that requires MLB intervention. Think about it from the perspective of the league as a whole. When revenue inflates, we fall farther behind. We want revenue to contract. The only concern from the fans perspective should be the number of households that have access to Brewers games.
  16. My dad is retired and works a seasonal job as a tax preparer. He said it's unbelievable how many people were day trading in crypto with pages and pages worth of transactions on their taxes. All for relatively little profit. And this was the 2021 tax year which was about as good as it got for crypto.
  17. If that article is correct, the Brewers are getting $34 million/year for their TV rights, up from $28 million under the previous contract. Presumably they took an ownership stake in as part of negotiating that $34 million/year number. The RSN model has been screwing the Brewers for decades. The sooner it dies, the better. Another interesting tidbit from a different article...
  18. I think there's a good chance MLB steps in, as Manfred has made some recent comments alluding to a desire to get rid of blackouts. It's hard to blow the system up when many teams are still printing money from their RSNs, but maybe this is enough of a critical mass to get some change. Signing a new exclusive deal with a streaming service like Amazon doesn't excite me at all, that model doesn't necessarily appear to be sustainable either. The model needs to be largely ad-supported. Put the games on MLB.tv with no blackouts and sell the non-exclusive rights to simulcast for cheap. Take the short-term revenue hit in exchange for the long-term growth of the product.
  19. I think the loge level is one of the best and most unique viewing perspectives in MLB. Most stadiums have a lower field level that is about the size of the field+loge level combined at AmFam. When you sit in the back of those larger field levels, you tend to be sitting lower and don't have as good of a perspective of the field and in particular tracking batted balls. Plus there are too many people going in/out because of how large the lower section is and the lower concourse is more crowded than it is at AmFam. On the flip side, the entire terrace level is a weird angle that is super high relative to other stadiums. I personally don't like it at all except for maybe the first few rows. AmFam is close to the worst in MLB in terms of location and accessibility. Fourth Base on National is a good pregame spot if you are a southsider like I was and there is sometimes free parking on the side streets. You can walk to the stadium from there through the VA, it's less of a walk than the Bluemound bars.
  20. I'm planning to do it for my 40th birthday which is approaching faster than I would like. I have close to zero baseball experience, other than slow pitch softball. Would love to hear about your experience! As well as what is unique about the Brewers version of fantasy camp.
  21. IF/OF utility guys come in handy. It was either this or give Jace Peterson 2 years/10 mil which wasn't going to happen. Somewhere in this signing is an acknowledgement that at some point in the season they may need to get Jesse Winker's bat in the lineup by starting him in the outfield. So they may need to move Anderson from the IF to the OF within a game or use him as a defensive sub for Winker. Keston was rendered mostly obsolete by Winker in my view since one has to imagine that an ideal scenario is that Winker is the full-time DH, but injuries or other flexibility needs may force Winker into the field at times. Edit: I forgot about Winker's atrocious splits vs. LHP but I think the point stands that Anderson will need to sub in for Winker.
  22. That was an incredibly fun game, I’ll never forget all of the cheering and chanting in the concourses of the stadium after we won. These days a guy like Bush would be yanked from the game much faster and many of his trademark “big innings” could be avoided.
  23. You can still see the outline of the old runway on Google Maps. It is near 76th/Ryan Rd in Franklin. (42.86425648468093, -88.0061748608468)
  24. I grew up a couple blocks from 124th St in Greenfield. Greenfield probably has the strangest shape of any city in Wisconsin, which is a result of it incorporating all of the leftover land in that area. There is also a square "hole" in Greenfield along 116th St which is a chunk of land that they sold to West Allis back in the 1990s. One part of the southern border of Greenfield is not exactly on Edgerton Ave but instead is a couple hundred feet to the north. I don't know if they ever resolved it, but back in the day the people who lived on the N side of Edgerton owned property in both cities. I learned most of the above at some sort of government day that we had in middle school. I also remember that I was the only one who knew that Milwaukee County used to have a third airport called Rainbow Airport close to the farm where my mother grew up.
  25. I would take what Divish is reporting with a grain of salt. It’s hard to explain unless you follow the Mariners but he’s not one to report two sides to a story, and especially one that paints a narrative of Winker that paints him in a negative light. Divish often rubs me the wrong way. Just recently he reported some rumors about Dipoto and Servais being widely disliked in MLB circles which seemed fishy. I don’t doubt that Winker was frustrated and he certainly looks lazy in the field and on the bases, but he didn’t look that way at the plate when he was routinely having some of the best ABs on the team. The Brewers did take advantage of the Mariners wanting to dump Winker, but that’s hopefully us taking advantage of a guy who clearly needed to be traded and not some sort of clubhouse cancer. The Brewers just did the same with Renfroe who had his own set of rumors which sounded way worse than Winker.
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