The Rangers' Adolis Garcia Is A Sneaky Trade Deadline Target The Brewers Should Pursue

[Jake McKibbin]

Adolis Garcia has a .657 OPS in 2025. Let's face it, he wasn't that great in 2024 either. That being said, he's showing some real signs of progress under the hood that suggest a big breakout with the type of power the Brewers are desperate for.

If I showed you the two baseball savant pages below and asked which one you would prefer, I think the one on the left would likely win out. That would be Garcia, while the one on the right is Eugenio Suarez, one of the most in-demand trade targets expected to be available at the deadline in 2025. Suarez has the advantage of playing in a hitters' paradise within Chase Field, and his actual numbers more closely resemble his expected production than Garcia's, but both are streaky and have the potential to carry an offense

As a bonus, Garcia is also under team control through 2026.

There's solid range in the outfield, a cannon of a throwing arm, and a monstrous bat. He's coming into form, reducing his whiff rate to just 19% in July (down from 30%+ in recent months) while having an expected batting average of .377 and expected slugging mark of .684. He provides just the type of danger the Brewers' lineup is currently lacking.

We're also beginning to see some rumours pointing towards a connection between Garcia and the Brewers. With his history of postseason performance, the passion with which he plays, would you like to see Adolis Garcia in a Brewers uniform come August? What would you be willing to give up for him?

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[brewmann04]

Interesting they need to add a bat 

[BlazingGunz]

MLB Network thinking the same thing.   I would dig this add.  I don't think the cost would be that high either.  

 

 

[Wicki]

Would love a move like this. Wouldn’t imagine it would take any of our top guys to get it done either 

[tmwiese55]

I'd take this, especially if cheaper than a Suarez and since he has the extra year of control.    Quick look seems Collins has done more 2B than 3B in the minors, so another way to make this worth would be if they are ok with Turang moving midseason to SS.   Collins can bounce around as backup OF and share games with the non Turang IFs for the other two spots.    Gets Mona off the roster 

[Scooterfletcher]

Quintana and Perkins or Collins for Aroldis Garcia if Texas wants to try win now….who says no?

Otherwise,, Aroldis Garcia for Ernesto Martinez and Tyler Yeager.

[JosephC]

2023 average bWAR/fWAR = 4.55

2024 average bWAR/fWAR = 0.05

2025 average bWAR/fWAR - pro-rated to a full season = 1.9 

He'd project to a 2.2-2.3 WAR player currently.  That would make him a 3.3 WAR player for the rest of this year and next, but I will subtract 0.5 WAR from that number as he is currently 32 years old and rule of thumb is you take off 0.5 WAR per year for players over 30.  So I would guess the market sees him as being good for 2.8 WAR from now until the end of 2026.

2.8 WAR * 8 million per WAR = 22.4 million

Will make about 4 million this year and I'd project 12 million in arbitration next year.  22.4 million - 16 million = 6.4 million in surplus value.

I'd guess a reasonable trade would be something like Bryce Meccage plus a lottery ticket, or Blake Burke plus Carlos Rodriguez.  Something along those lines.

[JCREW]

I don't think there's enough in his profile to believe that he's going to improve that much. I think he's on the wrong side of the aging curve, and we're better off with Collins manning left. 

[TURBO]

1 hour ago, JosephC said:

I'd guess a reasonable trade would be something like Bryce Meccage plus a lottery ticket, or Blake Burke plus Carlos Rodriguez.  Something along those lines.

Gross.