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Brewers-Cubs NLDS Game Five Thread - 10/11/2025 @ 7:08PM - For those Assuming a WIN!


Posted
1 hour ago, Cool Hand Lucroy said:

What a win! I actually watched 8 full innings. Went for a walk, came back to a victory celebration. Glad I didn't have to watch Abner fall 2-0 behind to Suzuki.

Some thoughts:

1) This was a game decided by the players. Each manager had a call or two that was tough. Murph could've PH for Joey, but that's such a fine margin call. No problem with him sticking with him, and it didn't hurt them. CC had Imanaga warming early, I think for a left on left matchup that never materialized, and then he just didn't feel comfortable with the guy in the game. Maybe that mattered to the Turang AB, maybe not. More than anything, just shows how little trust they had in Shota down the stretch.

2) We pitched great. Even Ashby knuckled down and got the K of Tucker after a shaky start. Good call by Murph to just give him 3 hitters. Abner got some nice BABIP luck and wasn't dominant, but he got six fairly low-stress outs in a stress hell environment. Megill starting proved a good call.

3) Some unsung heroes for me are Durbin and Frelick. On base 5 times between them, stole a base, played good to better than good defense, just really putting in the work. Maybe no direct payoff, but those guys contributed.

4) And we hit 3 homers, including one from a lefty. I was wrong about Yelich. But Turang came through.

5) Obviously, we all want more. But, man, is some of the stress off. Same score as 163, and it's right there as an all-time rivalry win. Feels like we validated something, even to people like me who believe a lot of this is random. I am confident in this: we played well enough to win game. They got some lucky breaks (Yeli's liner in the first, William's scalded double-play, etc.), and so did we (Hoerner's eighth inning line-out feels like the biggest play of the game). It's good to play well and get the right bounces. You need it in October.

6) Plenty of time to discuss the Dodgers. But my early vote is you roll out Priester and Freddy and say let's go. Two best guys all year, at home, and they're on full rest. 

You never know when these things turn around for a franchise on October. I don't know if they've turned completely for us. But I know you can't win big series without winning games like that. We did it! Let's keep playing good baseball.

very good post, and I agree with almost all of it, with the exception being, I wouldn't start Priester in either of the first two games. Just don't trust him  at all right now.

  • Like 1
Posted

Being a numbers guy, something I've done after every series since 2011 is to analyse the WPA for the series.

2025 NLDS vs Cubs:

1. Patrick (+.38)

2. Vaughn (+.33)

3. Misiorowski (+.28)

4. Chourio (+.23)

5. Contreras (+.22)

6. Uribe (+.16)

As we know by now, the series was won by the bullpen and three bats, and the numbers show it.

 

  • Like 4
Posted
8 minutes ago, Jimbo said:

Yes, a very enjoyable win.

I'm in the minority, that I'm neutral on the whole Counsel thing.  So beating him didn't matter much to me.  Just the psychological boost by snapping the series losing streak, and the regular season justified by taking advantage of the 1-seed.  And sending home a group of people who posses a high snootiness level.

Prior to the game, I was resigned to prepare for the worst but hope for the best.  A loss would have sucked, but I would have been over it in a week.  The first post-season match up between the two clubs, but I'm sure more to follow in the next 25 years.  Future opportunities for revenge if it came to it.

I'm streaming the Chicago Marathon right now and thinking how cool it would have been to be there strutting around downtown in Brewers swag.

 

I don’t really care about beating Counsell either. Adds nothing to it for me. Although seeing him celebrate on our field would have been painful. Shutting up the Cub fans and their horribly obnoxious and salty streamers is pretty sweet.

I honestly could have done without the L flag at the end of the game. Not a huge deal but definitely something they’ll remember. I would rather it have been more about us winning than them losing.

  • Like 1
Posted
34 minutes ago, RWeeksFan23 said:

very good post, and I agree with almost all of it, with the exception being, I wouldn't start Priester in either of the first two games. Just don't trust him  at all right now.

Well. If he’s going to be on this roster, he’s going to have to pitch.

I think I’d trust him more at home than on the road.

Posted
4 hours ago, Brian said:

I am still very concerned with Aaron Ashby to be quite honest. He's pitched: 4.2 innings and gave up 5 hits, 4 walks and 4 runs charged to him.  Or is he just the real life Rickie Vaughn from Major league "Wild Thing?" 

It’s 5 innings…….he was great all season……Dodgers have some huge left handed bats that we will need our power arms against.

That would be like sitting Yelich because he didn’t have a hit the last 2 games…..or Turang because he struggled in games 2-4 …….you have core players……you trust them……anybody can struggle…….he may struggle again vs the Dodgers but so could anyone else they throw out there.

its baseball…….Ohtani was 1-18 against the Phillies…….stuff happens.

  • Like 3
Posted
1 hour ago, adambr2 said:

Well. If he’s going to be on this roster, he’s going to have to pitch.

I think I’d trust him more at home than on the road.

home Field advantage is so important, it's going to be crucial to do anything we can to win both home games to start the series. 

I would rather start Priester on the road when we're going to be heavy underdogs playing in LA as it is.

Posted
2 hours ago, Fear The Chorizo said:

I think its very important to remember and factor in the Cubs still own the tiebreaker for the division.  Hopefully that doesnt come back to haunt the Brewers in the NLCS!

 

 

I mean, doesn't tying the season series technically give us the tiebreaker? Could be a factor next year 😁.

Posted

I think its very important to remember and factor in the Cubs still own the tiebreaker for the division.  Hopefully that doesnt come back to haunt the Brewers in the NLCS!

You neglected to mention their soft schedule, they don't have to face a single team with a winning record for the rest of the season.

  • Like 1
  • WHOA SOLVDD 2
Posted
7 minutes ago, igor67 said:

I think its very important to remember and factor in the Cubs still own the tiebreaker for the division.  Hopefully that doesnt come back to haunt the Brewers in the NLCS!

You neglected to mention their soft schedule, they don't have to face a single team with a winning record for the rest of the season.

But they also don’t face a single team with a losing record………..they are going to Cancun!

Posted

Open apology to My Brewers and Fans on this board for doubting them heading into that game 5 . I doubted this team due the past experiences but this team shut me up and proved they are for real and never give attitude . 

  • Like 1

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