2025 MLB Draft Day 1 Thread

Just now, wiguy94 said:

I think Fischer, Ebel, Morrison will all be underslot. Thompson will be somewhere near slot and I'd guess Cairone might be a little bit over slot.

I am going to predict Cairone signs at exact slot. It seems like a number and guarantee that is concrete and makes the team confident they will sign him. Very straight forward. My guess is we are around 1 million under with the 5% overage if need be.

Ignore the steal of the draft thing as this is Coastal Carolina's Director of Analytics but it's an interesting thread on Morrison

 

8 minutes ago, CheeseheadInQC said:

Unfortunately that has a way of working itself out, as we saw this year.

Yeah I was going to say the same but you beat me. Injuries will probably take care of itself. Plus it feels like it's pretty easy to manage too many pitchers with things like piggy backs.

This fat head Cubs fan on X keeps saying that we’re having *another bad draft… so you gotta feel pretty good about it so far. Depending on how much we saved I’m hoping we take a big swing like we did with Pratt. 

This site has timed out on me more times in the last week than it has in the 20 years I've been on here.  Anyway, really like what we did on day one, particularly the Fischer and Morrison picks.  

Loading up on more arms and potential impact bats.  Ok that sounds about right.

Impactful hitting tools without necessarily concern for defensive home - Tyler Black, Luke Adams, Brock Wilken, Eric Bitonti, Mike Boeve, Josh Adamczewski, Blake Burke, Andrew Fischer, Brady Ebel.

Pitchers have now accounted for 39 of the last 51 selections I believe going back to the last three picks in 2022(nine of which signed but still just using picks and positions).

‘that’s round 18-20 of ‘22; 16 of 21 picks in’23; and a 17 of 22 picks in’24; now 3 of first 5 picks tonight.

46 minutes ago, narwhalattack said:

I think this is the first time I've seen near universal approval for most, if not all, of the Day 1 picks

I saw a lot of angst about the Brewers trading away the comp pick in the Priester deal. Wonder if that feeling has been subdued by Priester's performance and the general excitement I see with the Brewers' selections today? Did losing that pick actually hurt them? Feels like not.

3 minutes ago, SeaBass said:

I saw a lot of angst about the Brewers trading away the comp pick in the Priester deal. Wonder if that feeling has been subdued by Priester's performance and the general excitement I see with the Brewers' selections today? Did losing that pick actually hurt them? Feels like not.

I for one am eating crow when it comes to Priester. A young and solid mid-rotation starter who helped stabilize the rotation was definitely worth losing that comp pick. 

2 minutes ago, SeaBass said:

I saw a lot of angst about the Brewers trading away the comp pick in the Priester deal. Wonder if that feeling has been subdued by Priester's performance and the general excitement I see with the Brewers' selections today? Did losing that pick actually hurt them? Feels like not.

I think the true loss is not the pick, but the bonus pool money.  Brewers were top 10 in bonus pool money prior, and now are middle of the pack I believe, which can affect what they can do with rounds 11+

Not saying it was a bad move, but the player not picked may not be as critical as the money, just like last year Blake Burke I feel didn’t make/break the Burnes trade, as much as if a Dubanewicz or Renz or Broughton succeed since all of them don’t get signed without that extra money in the global pool.

22 minutes ago, wibadgers23 said:

This site has timed out on me more times in the last week than it has in the 20 years I've been on here.  Anyway, really like what we did on day one, particularly the Fischer and Morrison picks.  

Back in the 00’s, this site would be down for the entire draft because this was THE place for draft coverage. Not for Brewers, everyone.

Was it Patrick that handled all that? Toby? I believe he actually got hired somewhere. I’m bad with names and it was 20 years ago.

15 minutes ago, snoogans8056 said:

Back in the 00’s, this site would be down for the entire draft because this was THE place for draft coverage. Not for Brewers, everyone.

Was it Patrick that handled all that? Toby? I believe he actually got hired somewhere. I’m bad with names and it was 20 years ago.

I don't think I've heard from Patrick in a while. Used to enjoy reading his takes on the draft when I was younger. 

34 minutes ago, SeaBass said:

I saw a lot of angst about the Brewers trading away the comp pick in the Priester deal. Wonder if that feeling has been subdued by Priester's performance and the general excitement I see with the Brewers' selections today? Did losing that pick actually hurt them? Feels like not.

Losing the pick still sucks a bit and at the time I thought we gave up more than Priester was worth, but if Boston offered the same package back to us for Priester today, I wouldn’t take it.

Crew holding a Matthew Fisher connection ala Cooper Pratt in 23? Ginger work with him with a second round number to wait for the Crew in the 5th round or so? Feels as if there could be that type of connection/ deal ...

Hogg: 

Brewers scouting director Tod Johnson said they felt like they landed the top college hitter in the draft at pick 20 with Andrew Fischer. 

"You’re splitting the room maybe a little bit but certainly a decent chuck of our group thought he was the best college hitter in the draft."

2 hours ago, Joseph Zarr said:

I am fully invested in not getting my crush in LHP Jack Bauer. He struggles to throw strikes but Yerlin has prepared for any and all outcomes. I was built for the journey 

Nats probably gonna end up with him. That'd be my guess. Big hard thrower, early pick tomorrow, probably saved millions with the 1st pick...

But, if he makes it 20 picks, the Brewers should have money. 

56 minutes ago, biedergb said:

I think the true loss is not the pick, but the bonus pool money.  Brewers were top 10 in bonus pool money prior, and now are middle of the pack I believe, which can affect what they can do with rounds 11+

Not saying it was a bad move, but the player not picked may not be as critical as the money, just like last year Blake Burke I feel didn’t make/break the Burnes trade, as much as if a Dubanewicz or Renz or Broughton succeed since all of them don’t get signed without that extra money in the global pool.

Yeah...I would have loved to have back to back picks there. More room to spend later and... I like Priester... but we've got a LOT of good arms right now. I don't know that Priester is one of our 5 best arms. He's a really nice arm, gets GBs, but he's a #4/5 and I'm not sure he's much(if at all) better than Henderson, Patrick or Myers(especially with the bump in velo and the change improving). And he may be the next to get sent down. 

 

So if the question is, was that a good trade? Well...sure. A starting pitcher is incredibly valuable. Rodriguez did look like a potential top 100 prospect in the near future, but...he wasn't one yet. Still just a young talent in A+.

If the question is does losing that pick hurt...well...yeah. It gives you the chance to take a guy who can throw harder than any other HS pitcher ever AND thwart an entire terrorist plot in just one spin around the sun. That's a lot. 

2 hours ago, snoogans8056 said:

Back in the 00’s, this site would be down for the entire draft because this was THE place for draft coverage. Not for Brewers, everyone.

Was it Patrick that handled all that? Toby? I believe he actually got hired somewhere. I’m bad with names and it was 20 years ago.

Patrick was great. Got hired by Perfect Game & for years after still would come back to give draft insight. Was always a favorite poster. Toby ran the Top 50 ratings (I’m 95% sure). 

2 hours ago, biedergb said:

I think the true loss is not the pick, but the bonus pool money.  Brewers were top 10 in bonus pool money prior, and now are middle of the pack I believe, which can affect what they can do with rounds 11+

Not saying it was a bad move, but the player not picked may not be as critical as the money, just like last year Blake Burke I feel didn’t make/break the Burnes trade, as much as if a Dubanewicz or Renz or Broughton succeed since all of them don’t get signed without that extra money in the global pool.

Actually Brewers are 10th in bonus $ now, post-Priester trade. Would have been well inside the top 10 if not for the trade.

5 hours ago, SF70 said:

Actually Brewers are 10th in bonus $ now, post-Priester trade. Would have been well inside the top 10 if not for the trade.

I was aware that the pool money was the big reason, I wonder if they had a budget even there? Maybe they didn't want to spend that much on the draft? I see some comments here about positional redundancy here and our farm is ranked pretty well. You can never have enough talent because they can be used as trade capital but I could see them setting a budget and feeling like trading that comp pick was a way to do that. And of course that may have zero to do with it, they needed pitching so they made the trade for Priester and this was just the cost.

9 minutes ago, SeaBass said:

I was aware that the pool money was the big reason, I wonder if they had a budget even there? Maybe they didn't want to spend that much on the draft? I see some comments here about positional redundancy here and our farm is ranked pretty well. You can never have enough talent because they can be used as trade capital but I could see them setting a budget and feeling like trading that comp pick was a way to do that. And of course that may have zero to do with it, they needed pitching so they made the trade for Priester and this was just the cost.

They saw a pitcher that wasn’t available in the division (Pirates) and got a chance to get him for a pretty cheap price in hindsight.

We all need to quit acting like the Brewers aren’t spending money when they’re actually just spending money wisely.

9 minutes ago, SeaBass said:

I was aware that the pool money was the big reason, I wonder if they had a budget even there? Maybe they didn't want to spend that much on the draft? I see some comments here about positional redundancy here and our farm is ranked pretty well. You can never have enough talent because they can be used as trade capital but I could see them setting a budget and feeling like trading that comp pick was a way to do that. And of course that may have zero to do with it, they needed pitching so they made the trade for Priester and this was just the cost.

With the current state of the team’s amateur drafting prowess (among the best in baseball) I believe they view the return on investment in this realm an advantage they have over most or all of the rest of baseball and as a small-market team, their best opportunity to become talent-laden and keep up with the behemoths.

IMO, they saw a pitcher they could improve (Priester) and the cost of acquisition was the draft-pick, nothing more or nothing less than the desire to get a 6 years controlled potential mid-rotation starter into the organization.

I don’t think they are under budget by much but I think they have enough to take at least 1 swing on a top 150ish player 

15 minutes ago, umphrey said:

I don’t think they are under budget by much but I think they have enough to take at least 1 swing on a top 150ish player 

I think they have at least 1M in savings, maybe more.  And my guess is with senior signs and the like coming up, they should get enough cash to really have some fun adding special talent today, and most likely with their 11-20 picks, yet again.

So I had a chat about Frank Cairone and his progress with Baseball Performance Centre this morning and here's what they said about his growth in the last year 

"He’s made big improvements over the last year, going from around 90 to touching 95. 

 

Worked on his initial move in the delivery and staying stacked longer in the throw.

 

On the data side, worked to add VeLo to his Sweeper that got up to 82 with 15 sweep at 3000 RPMs. Added a cutter at 85-86 and refining the CH currently. 

 

Strike throwing machine with unique release characteristics and 7+ FT of extension. Kids really good"

9 hours ago, wibadgers23 said:

This site has timed out on me more times in the last week than it has in the 20 years I've been on here.  Anyway, really like what we did on day one, particularly the Fischer and Morrison picks.  

It was slow for me last night. I am guessing we had super heavy traffic related to the draft. Is that right, @Brock Beauchamp?