TooLiveBrew
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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew
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Because of Brewers-colored glasses? I'd guess that it's because, over the course of their careers, Wolf has been significantly better.
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Mark Mulder: what originally happened to this guy?
TooLiveBrew replied to BREWCREW5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Harden signed for a big contract when he's only proven he can't stay healthy (he even stopped throwing his slider last season in an attempt to stay healthy longer). Duscherer appears to have given a 'hometown' discount to the A's, and you'd have to trade to get Hudson. I really don't see where Melvin is at fault. Mulder is by no means supposed to be some kind of savior. -
Not exactly a timely update from me, but this is an interesting note from the LoHud Yankees blog (Dec. 22d):
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The language being used by Cashman & Co. is that that's a done deal, though (as in, he's not coming back). Might just as well be a negotiating tactic, though. Damon & Boras are out there after a contract that doesn't exist, so he might wind up back in the Bronx when all is said & done. I think he's the perfect fit for that roster at this point, too. Wouldn't be surprised to see him wind up signing for the 2/$15M-ish the Yankees offered him, but that bridge might just be burned.
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Haha -- nice catch on McMahon http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif I still haven't made the time to read through it (still w/family as of now), but I can't wait to actually do so. I'm really glad to hear you weigh in with such a positive review.
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I really enjoy some (though certainly not all) of the Brontë sisters' work, along with most of Donne, Woolf, Conrad, & more. I don't feel the same way in general as you about English lit., GAME, but I do have to admit I know what you mean. I'm pretty ambivalent on Dickens overall. I agree on Milton & Shakespeare... haven't read any Swift.
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Per Joel Sherman, the Yankees look like they're pursuing Reed Johnson. I have a hard time seeing them going with a platoon for LF (my guess is it'd have to be Gardner/Johnson) when they could probably bring in a decent LF at a decent price, whether via trade or FA. However, Cashman has been insistent that the Yanks won't make another big signing. I'm not expecting them to ink Holliday or Bay, but I'd genuinely be surprised to see them settle with Gardner/Johnson in LF -- even with the emphasis that the defense would be strong.
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Thanks for detailing that, msc. Sounds really interesting. I just got Milwaukee Braves: Heroes and Heartbreak for Christmas. It's a Wisconsin Historical Society publication, by William Povletich. I've only had a chance to thumb through it briefly thus far, but holy cow does it look amazing. Lots of good photography included as well. Just awesome for any baseball fan, but especially WI baseball fans. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
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No, "rare if ever" means that it can happen even if a pitcher makes the perfect pitch. It's exactly the point people have been trying to make. If you are honestly arguing that if a pitcher makes a perfect pitch it will never be hit well, there's not much point in continuing the conversation.
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I still haven't seen any discussion about Joba to the bullpen from any of the Yanks beat writers blogs I check, so until I do, I'm going to just keep my opinion that Joba will be a starter again in 2010. It seems like it's speculation in either case.
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What's Collapse about? I read GG&S in college & really enjoyed it.
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Angels Sign RP Fernando Rodney, 2 yrs/$11M
TooLiveBrew replied to crewcrazy's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Wow, $11M. Make the Hawkins deal look nice. -
A pitcher who throws the perfect pitch in the right situation would rarely if ever have it hit over the fence. Rare, but it happens. You're actually agreeing with this point.
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Braves sign Glaus to play 1B
TooLiveBrew replied to pretendastronaut's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
You think a baseball player isn't going to be able to catch a ball? He's 6'5", & looks like a below-average defender at 3B for his career. He'll be fine at first. This is a savvy pickup by Schuerholz imo, and I think Ennder makes a good point. -
How close would anyone estimate us being to having a stat something like FIP, except it would also take out the batters' component? In other words, something like FIP that focused on velocity, location, break, pitch f/x, etc... analyzing more strictly just the pitcher instead of also including what batters do with his pitches.
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Meltdown Bradley to SEA, Carlos Silva to CHN
TooLiveBrew replied to Funketown's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It's a spoof of the Halladay letter to Toronto fans -
Can you link on this? I haven't heard this yet.
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The models often underestimate the influence of Lake Michigan (the warm lake not only warmed up Milwaukee in the last storm, but its warming influence also pulled the track of the entire storm system slightly farther north that it otherwise would have gone). OWBC, I often got the impression while in Madison that the two lakes would affect certain storms' paths... almost like the lakes would pull the storm/clouds over them, as if the bodies of water had almost a magnetic pull. Was I just imagining things, or does that kind of thing happen with Mendota & Monona? I've always been kinda skeptical of this impression I developed, partially because neither lake is all that big.
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Last book I read was to re-read Dos Passos's The Big Money. Imo it's an absolutely brilliant book, every bit as relevant now as when it was published (1936). It's the final part of what is called Dos Passos's "U.S.A. Trilogy". I'm ashamed to admit that I've yet to read either The 42d Parallel ('30), or 1919 ('32)... so hopefully I can post soon that I'm working on the first one. Dos Passos is, imho, a greatly overlooked artist -- esp. in terms of American authors (born in Chicago -- there's some mentioning of WI in TBM). I enjoyed The Big Money as much as anything else I read (if not moreso) in my English/Lit. track in college.
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Consider yourself shot. What is his data set? Is this the study that focused on "prominent free agents"? How did he define that, exactly? Well, I made that comment just assuming it'd been more well-detailed in the chapter. It wasn't. I'm not sure if there's more info to be found at Baseball Prospectus's website, but just about all that Perry noted before launching into the charts was... So I hope no one purchased the book in the hopes of a better explanation http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
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Ack, I could've sworn it was tonight! Thanks Laura. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Well now what am I going to do after dinner? Oh well.
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Looking forward to the UW-UWM game tonight. Can anyone succinctly break down the Panthers this season? I'm not familiar.
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I finally gave in & checked Baseball Btw. the Numbers. Forgive me for only quoting, as my math skills are rudimentary at best. If anyone really wanted to get the ins & outs of the calculations, either buy/check out the book, or shoot me a PM & I'd be happy to detail what methodology is given. Dayn Perry authored the chapter on Free Agents' performance. He presented a table entitled "Percent of Players Peaking in Walk Year, Before, or After, 1976-2000, Top Free Agents". He utilized WARP for player performance. Players Peaking WY: 37.7% WY-1: 34.0% WY+1: 28.3% He then presents another table, "Average Games Played/Pitched in Walk Year, Before, or After, 1976-2000, Top Free Agents" Average games played/pitched WY: 89.2 WY-1: 82.9 WY+1: 84.4 Everything I've cited here is from p.202 in the book. Also, I'm not sure why that last bullet point won't format correctly. I typed it in exactly the same as the other 5... so to any mod, help would be appreciated http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
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Again, aside from Hoffman, the money Melvin spent was after ATL's asking price was too high on Vazquez. If he didn't get Wolf & wasn't able to trade for Vazquez, I'm sure you'd be belaboring him for not getting any pitching. Not acknowledging the timeline really distorts things.
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Good thing Melvin is off in Spain while a great pitcher gets traded for garbage. As has been mentioned, the Brewers don't have the payroll room for Vazquez at this point. And I'm pretty sure Doug has a phone with him, and access to the web. Good grief, if the POTUS can run the country while on vacation, I'm absolutely certain Melvin can handle anything that might come up with regards to a baseball team. Not to mention the fact that Gord Ash & Co. are very capably running things on the home front. It's also been reported that Doug contacted the Braves about Vazquez, & didn't want to meet their price. Given this trade, apparently their demands have come down, but that's after Melvin had to move on & sign Wolf.