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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. joepepsi
    To his credit Prince looks thinner this year than last, and, from my vantage point his defense is much better.
  2. joepepsi
    Loretta may be my favorite Brewer of all time. McGehee may be the Mark Loretta type you seek. I think the bottom line is there are too many similar hitters on this team: streaky mediocre/poor obp guys with with OK power. Too many outmakers in Hardy, Hart, Kendall, Hall, the pitcher. I am hopeful there is philosophical shift after the break. McGehee and Gamel are playing everyday, Hall never starts a game, and Hardy, Hart, and Kendall are not immune to accountability.
  3. joepepsi
    40 years ago Earl Weaver knew a runner at 1st with no outs had a better chance of scoring than a runner at 2nd with one out. I can't understand how a runner at 2nd with no outs is less likely to score than a runner at 3rd with one out. As Earl said, "if you play for one run, that's all you'll get." Every time a team goes into an offensive funk it's fans start to scream about playing more "small ball". Small ball wastes outs. Wasting outs is a recipe for losing.
  4. joepepsi
    I'm amazed Eric Wedge still has a job.
  5. joepepsi
    I suspect this is the last season we see Hardy and Hart in a Brewers uniform. These guys will be traded in the offseason for minor league pitching depth. Hopefully they can get a pitcher or two with success in the upper minors. Hart as a below average hitter and average RF'er is easily replaceable through annual placeholders like Cat or Gerut. Replacing the 2009 version of Hardy with Escobar shouldn't be much of a difference.
  6. joepepsi
    The smartest move is to play this season out and try and flip Hardy or Hart for some solid pitching prospects.
  7. joepepsi
    The AL team doesn't seem near as good.
  8. joepepsi
    No it doesn't. Thanks Ennder. Maybe it's just frustration. Fans more easily see weaknesses of their favorite team than the competition. Brewers are a good team, but not a great team. The same is true of the Cardinals and Cubs. 14-21 since June 1st ain't good, but the Brewers have so far avoided any extended losing streaks. I still think the offense needs about 4 more consistent hitters, but getting Parra and Bush back may be enough to win the division.
  9. joepepsi
    Maybe this is true with any team, but it seems the Brewers run up the score against crappy pitching, but have an inordinate number of games where they score 2 runs or less. I suppose I'd have to compare this with every team, but that seems a bit daunting for me to do at work. The offense can't hit pitchers who throw sinking fastballs no matter how mediocre the pitcher. They still try to drive those pitches out of the park, which seems like the exact wrong approach. What am I trying to say? They may be scoring as many runs, so the runs per game looks fine, but the reality seems to be they score 10 runs one game a week, then struggle to score 1 or 2 runs every other game that week. The average may look OK, but that's not telling the whole story.
  10. joepepsi
    I agree. I think this is why most here agree with the Sabathia deal. Some years players like CC aren't available. This may be one of those years. It's important to read the market right too, and not make moves just to make them. Going after some middling rotation guy like Byrd doesn't really make the team any better unless one of the starters comes down with an injury. Other than Halladay it's difficult to see who might be available that would have a CC like impact. So the smartest move this year may be making no move. The first two months of this season the Brewers led all teams in % of quality starts. Every team goes through a down time; every pitching staff has a dead period. Gallardo, Suppan, and Looper have not been pitching badly over the last few weeks. Getting Bush and Parra back strong may be the best chance to get the team playing .600 ball from here on out. They are 7-9 since Bush last appeared. They could have easily been 9-7 with competent pitching every game, like they had in the Spring.
  11. joepepsi
    I've never bought into the notion that a great defensive catcher is this huge game changing asset over an average catcher. Javy Lopez was considered a poor catcher, yet legend says Braves pitchers have huge strike zones during their glory years. I think it's impossible to prove that Brewer pitchers magically pitch better with Kendall than they have with other catchers in their careers. A lot of this is pure spin. Good hitting catchers seem to be always labelled as poor defenders. Catchers who can't hit must therefore be great defenders, otherwise they wouldn't be in the majors. This is faulty reasoning. It's important to remember no one considered Kendall a great defensive catcher when he was with Pittsburgh. Once he stopped hitting he devloped this mythical reputation.
  12. joepepsi
    That's the Twins model. Melvin often cited them as the model in his early years with the Brewers. You stay competitive, hope for a season with some luck, take your chances in the playoffs. Like the Twins, one year you limp along and win 83, the next everything swings your way and you win 96.
  13. joepepsi
    Well, I'd love to see them get Halladay, but I doubt it will happen.
  14. joepepsi
    Getting Parra to pitch well and Bush back and healthy may all the pitching moves necessary.
  15. joepepsi
    I think managers prefer good defensive players like Kendall (reportedly, though I don't see it,) and Counsell, because bad defense makes the manager look bad. If Kendall grounds into a DP, well, that's on the hitter, not the manager. If a ball gets by Rivera, it's because he shouldn't have been in the game at that crucial juncture.
  16. joepepsi
    After he came off the DL on May 15th he made 18 appearances to the tune of a 3.15 ERA. Granted it was a wild 3.15 as he walked 10 while only K'ing 9. Then Cito sat him for 6 days. He made his last appearance on July 5th when he went 2/3rd, giving up a homer and 3 runs to the Yankees. That was it for Toronto. I think he'd be a smart risk. If he'd accept a 10 day minor league assignment and get some regular work down there, he might be able to help any team in the stretch drive. Hard throwing lefties are hard to find.
  17. joepepsi
    I would probably trade anybody in the organization for Halladay except Gallardo, Braun, and Prince. This assumes he wouldn't demand a trade after this season....can 5/10 guys still demand to be traded at the end of a season in which they've been traded?
  18. joepepsi
    Over his last 100 plate appearances Hart is hitting 295/366/511. I find that hard to believe, but that's what b-ref.com is telling me. So I'd try this for the lineup: Hart Gamel Braun Prince McGehee Cameron and then rest because it doesn't matter who they are, they are all terrible.
  19. joepepsi
    If I'm reading fangraphs correctly, Hardy is 1.2 wins above replacement level, Hart, .8, Kendall, .2, and Hall, .1. So your point is taken: they are all producing right around replacement level. I overstated my position, I suppose. So let me try again. As the deadline approaches, if it appears this team is only .500 team, then they could still be a .500 team by jettisoning these 4 and saving some money.
  20. joepepsi
    The payroll is too high for a small market team hovering around .500. They are paying out about $24 million for Hall, Hardy, Hart, Riske, and Kendall. That's nearly 1/3rd of the payroll. None of them are producing at even an replacement level. Suppan, Cameron, and Hoffman are bringing down another 1/3rd of the payroll but they at least are contributing on some level. Still, it's hard to justify paying these three this kind of money if the team is under .500 as the deadline approaches. Going to 2010 it seems they can't afford to keep most of these players. Maybe Suppan and Hoffman (if he's willing), but the rest might have to go, even if they eat money, just to get some play back in the payroll. The 2009 team would be just as good with replacement level or rookie players in place of Hall, Hardy, Hart, and Kendall.
  21. joepepsi
    I say 3 for 4. And when he comes in for his first at bat a ball will come sailing from the Brewer bullpen and plunk him square in the back.
  22. joepepsi
    I don't agree. Braun needs to learn he doesn't run the team and he should be more careful what he says in public. It's fine and dandy to be media friendly but his first loyalty should be with the organization and his teammates. If he's going to publicly bash them, then maybe a public flogging is in order for payback. There are ways to deal with your frustrations. Taking them to the media ultimately reflects bad on the player himself. A little public scolding to remind him who's in charge isn't a bad thing.
  23. joepepsi
    Cody is not on the 40 man roster. Is he any good? I thought Chase Wright was injured....
  24. joepepsi
    Burns-Parra-Yovani over the weekend? I'm OK with that. I'd rather they throw their best available starters against the Cardinals. Frankly, I'm ecstatic no Brewer pitchers are on the All Star team. They all need a rest!
  25. joepepsi
    Doug's comments were hilarious. Maybe a GM shouldn't call out a player, but when that player is blaming everyone in the organization but himself for a recent bad stretch, well, the organization does have to publicly respond. Braun can be refreshingly honest, but he's also brash and jumping into interviews with an attitude that reveals his immaturity. He's not in Sheffield territory but he's headed in that direction if he doesn't consider his comments with more care.
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