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cwolf2012

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Everything posted by cwolf2012

  1. cwolf2012
    You guys are really predicting less than 10 losses? I know the Brewers have been playing better in the last month, but the odds of them continuing to win at above a .600 clip is pretty unlikely. A more realistic projection is 15-12 or maybe 16-11. With so many games at home against slightly less talented teams, the Brewers should definitely go above .500, but 10 games over is crazy.
  2. cwolf2012
    Stetter is Turnbow-esque. DiFelice is very good at not giving up the walk. It's honestly kind of a wash for me who I would rather have. The Brewer bullpen is low on pitchers with high K rates, so I tend to lean towards Stetter. The true overall value of each player is probably almost equal, though.
  3. cwolf2012
    In the ~20 UW hockey games played at the Kohl Center, the total attendance is higher than 7 NHL clubs over the course of the 41 games played in their respective rinks. That's pretty cool.
  4. cwolf2012
    I predict 27-0, 26-1 if things go really bad.
  5. cwolf2012
    This kid is already learning how to catch against robot batters of the future. We need to be scouting him. I'm not normally one to post how much something amused me without adding anything myself, but I had to stifle myself from laughing out loud at work on that one. Well played, sir.
  6. cwolf2012
    There are actually lots of different beers at Miller Park already. What is there other than Miller products? I've only seen a few different types of Leinie's and Miller Lite and High Life.
  7. cwolf2012
    I'm a huge proponent of not marginalizing the future for today's success, but I don't see any good reason to trade Sheets right now. You could make an argument for trading Fielder or Hardy for sure (and Hall, but no one wants him), but unless we really fall apart in the playoff race, there's no big gain to be made for Sheets. As it stands, I'm perfectly content to ride out the rest of the season with our current staff. I expect moves to be made next year, but not now. I think the best argument to trading Sheets and giving up on the season is that without a playoff berth this year, Yost should get fired.
  8. cwolf2012
    Would you all seriously pay an injury-prone pitcher over $500,000 a start (and that's if he starts every game he's supposed to)?
  9. cwolf2012
    Joe Morgan + most of the HoF and Cy Young voters all look at W-L as the primary stat. It boggles my mind that Bert Blyleven still isn't in the HoF.
  10. cwolf2012
    Ben Sheets' line in 2004: 12-14, 237 IP, 2.70 ERA, 264 Ks, 32 BBs, 164 ERA+, .98 WHIP Randy Johnson in 2004: 16-14, 245.2 IP, 2.60 ERA, 290 Ks, 44 BBs, 177 ERA+, .90 WHIP on a team that finished in last place. Don't get me wrong, that was an amazing year for Sheets, but you have to remember that Johnson was absolutely unbelievable as well. Sheets should have finished probably 2nd or 3rd based on peripherals, but Johnson was pretty clearly the best pitcher that year.
  11. cwolf2012
    If only we had hindsight at the beginning of the season. I can't believe how upset you guys are about him not being resigned. I didn't think we had a chance of bringing him back after this season regardless of how he pitched. He's obviously an amazing pitcher when he plays, so if he started 30 games, he would be too good for us to afford him. If he had gotten injured again, it would have been dumb to resign a guy who hadn't pitched a full season since 2004. Stop trying to use hindsight unless you were a proponent of extending him before this season (which I disagree with anyway).
  12. cwolf2012
    Is it possible to trade a manager? In the offseason, we should trade Yost for Jo-Jo Reyes.
  13. cwolf2012
    Sheets' last start actually got him pretty close to Volquez in VoRP. I still say start the best overall pitcher (which is Volquez) and not someone else just because he's a veteran. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/sortable/index.php?cid=204030
  14. cwolf2012
    The only reason Volquez wouldn't start over Sheets is that the manager is "old-school" and doesn't like to "clog the bases." You'd have to be crazy to ignore this line: (As irrelevant as wins are as a stat for pitchers) 10-2, 110 K in 95 IP, 1.71 ERA with a BABIP around .300. Sheets is pitching like 2004, and Volquez is pitching like Randy Johnson in 2004. Sheets has been amazing, Volquez has been more amazing. Most of these arguments sound like people trying to rationalize something just because they want it to be true.
  15. cwolf2012
    Unless Volquez blows up bad in his next 2 starts, he has to be the starter. As good as Sheets is, Volquez is absolutely unbelievable. The only possible knock you can have on him is that he has a high walk rate. But when you K up 11 per 9, it doesn't really matter too much.
  16. cwolf2012
    It's pretty clear that the AL East is the strongest. In my opinion: 1. AL East 2. NL Central 3. NL East 4. AL West 5. AL Central (They will probably pass the AL West if Detroit continues their current tear) 6. NL West
  17. cwolf2012
    I think defensive metrics are reasonably reliable over the course of a few season for infielders, but the outfield is a totally different story. I think in time something will come around that is accurate, but variance over time seems higher for outfielders than infielders.
  18. cwolf2012
    #1 overall pick? He was the 35th player selected in the draft. It's not at all like that's never happened before. He had decent stats in the minors and then retired due to personal reasons. Anyone who tries to use Jeremy Brown as an attack on Moneyball or Billy Beane has an extreme bias against modern analysis.
  19. cwolf2012
    You quoted me on 2 statements. 1) Braun is a flashy player that makes it seem like he's better than he is, and 2) That he is perceived as a superstar because of his flashy offense, to which I contend that he is not a superstar. You claimed I used hyperbole. As such, I can only think it applies to the part that you quote. Since I feel that it applied much better to #2, then I went with it and explained myself. You claimed he was a top 5 LF. I said that he was not even in the top 6 in the NL for corner outfielders. I don't understand what the issue is here.
  20. cwolf2012
    There are at least 6 outfielders in just the NL who have better (meaningful) statlines than Braun right now. I know it's just semantics, but when I think "superstar," I think of top 10 player overall. Braun is not a top 10 player right now (not that I think he isn't a very good player, nor that he is incapable of being a top 10 player) by any standards except fantasy baseball stats. Braun is my favorite position player in the league, but that doesn't mean I don't see him for what he is.
  21. cwolf2012
    "This is a classic example of a hole we non-Sabremetric types can drive a Hum-Vee through, in the counter argument. Thanks for inadvertently helping us out!" Your point is that everyone in baseball would take Ryan Braun, but they'd be wrong. Just because many people believe something is true doesn't make it so. Braun is a flashy player who makes it seem like he is better than he actually is. He comes off as a superstar, but he's really more of just a well above average player. The hole you can drive a truck through has two linebackers in it.
  22. cwolf2012
    I'm surprised Adam Dunn was so ineloquent and rambling in his response. Saying you don't care and then promptly saying the same thing over and over in frustration is quite the contradiction.
  23. cwolf2012
    His fault or not, I'm still blaming him for the Jays 6 run inning and not giving him credit for the 7 runs we scored. It's only fair.
  24. cwolf2012
    "Meanwhile I dont recall the Hefty Lefty, Lumpy or other non-athletic-looking golfers ever being injured like this (or maybe it just never got the press because they are not tiger Woods)" Something makes me doubt those guys even jog. Tiger is a workout freak, and he probably does some pretty high-stress conditioning and strength exercises. A guy from my softball team tore his quad off the bone rounding first base. He didn't even go to the doctor, played the next week and tore his ACL. I think this is pretty much the same thing as Tiger. He got a base injury, didn't want to stop playing, and managed to destroy everything else. Tiger is quite possibly the most amazing athlete to ever play any sport.
  25. cwolf2012
    Would any of the Yost "haters" actually disagreed with putting Torres in even if he had blown the game? I would have said "that sucks, but it was the right move." Objectivity is the key. Making the best possible decision, even if it's the lesser of two evils is by far the most important thing a manager does. If you can't even do that, you shouldn't be managing a baseball team.
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