LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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Well, as far as Nashville, the whole Broadway/2nd Ave isn't a place to relax. It's a poop show, but interesting people watching. You can watch trucks pulling hot tubs full of young women in "cheeky" bathing suits drive up and down that stretch. The 12th Avenue South neighborhood is more relaxing - a number of nice bars/restaurants/shops with outdoor patios. One of my best friends who is from WI has a couple of apartments on AirBnB/VRBO in that neighborhood right across the street from Sevier Park. Mexico - sounds like Tulum or Puerto Escondido is your place. One of my team members is from Oaxaca and owns property in PE. It's still under the radar, like Tulum was 10-15 years ago, and cheap. Nice hotels with a pool and a rooftop terrace are $40/night. No big corporate hotels, that's why it's cheap, but it's a big international surfing destination. You can fly into PE, connecting in Mexico City. I have not heard good things about Miami lately - thug central. Another place that's close to you that might fit what you're looking for is Pacific Beach/Ocean Beach in the San Diego area.
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If Rodgers is back, Jones isn't going anywhere. Jones was 9th in the NFL in total yards from scrimmage this past season. The only players ahead of him were Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Justin Jefferson, Nick Chubb, Tyreek Hill, Saquon Barkley, and Austin Ekeler. Jones was ahead of Davante Adams, A.J. Brown, Dalvin Cook, Travis Etienne, Stefon Diggs, CeeDee Lamb, Alvin Kamara, and... everybody else.
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Depends on where you live. If you live in a densely populated area in a building with a lot of people who have Prime or on the same block as a lot of people who have Prime, you get almost everything in 2-4 days anyway depending on which warehouse it's coming from because the trucks are always on your block. I don't have Prime and I ordered a couple of things on Monday; they said delivery between Saturday and Wednesday of next week, but everything is coming tomorrow. I can't think of a time when I ordered something from Amazon and it took more than 5 days to arrive. I bought a physical Amazon gift card as a birthday present for my nephew and it came the next day.
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Problem is they only have nine picks, and three are in the seventh round which you can't really count on to contribute. With their first six picks they are going to have to find at least one S, TE, WR, DE (Clark, Slaton, and Ford are NTs, only DE is Wyatt, Slayton was on the practice squad all year for a reason and Ford never saw game action all season for a reason), and Edge rusher. In the 7th there's a good chance they might have to double-up on WR, S, and TE. That's eight picks spoken for. In fact, if Amos isn't back they are going to have to double up on safety, if Lazard/Cobb aren't back they will have to double up on WR. Sounds like any future that Savage has is at nickel. All other positions are a luxury.
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And defensive end - Lowry and Reed are free agents.
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In 2021 A.J. Dillon was 19th among all RBs in total yards from scrimmage. Impressive given that his teammate Aaron Jones was 14th among all RBs. In 2022 he was 27th among all RBs in total yards from scrimmage. Impressive given that his teammate Aaron Jones was 7th among all RBs, 9th overall. Pretty good for a backup. I think he's a little better than "just a guy".
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Still $4.50/gal in my neighborhood. Down from $4.90 a couple of weeks ago. Is WI subsidizing gas or certain formulations of it?
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Actually, the biggest reason behind this is that the global competition from so many auto manufacturers (finally) forced all manufacturers, particularly the US-based auto manufacturers, to up their quality game. No more planned obsolescence, because they saw that there was no more guarantee that they would get that next vehicle purchase ("just because they're an American company"). Poor quality perceptions reduced that first purchase likelihood, forcing manufacturers to act. The long-term maintenance costs have dropped significantly because vehicles are designed to last longer. Yes, if vehicle prices were lower more people would buy newer, but there are plenty of people like me who can afford a new car but choose not to because they are not having any problems with their older vehicle. If more people could afford new cars, demand would increase, pushing prices up.. It would have made the chip shortage even worse.
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With the impending bankruptcy of Carvana, there's a fear that they are going to have to sell off a lot of or all of their inventory to raise cash which will flood the market and cause prices to fall further. Some are trying to get ahead of that and sell before the market gets flooded. New cars are still hard to come by. My sister and BIL went to Lexus of Appleton around Thanksgiving and they had something like five new cars on the lot.
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Three-way trade with A's, Braves; Brewers get William Contreras
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Apparently no one else around here remembers that -
Three-way trade with A's, Braves; Brewers get William Contreras
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The J.J. Hardy trade tree grows another branch. Yet another reason why you don't let assets expire. -
Three-way trade with A's, Braves; Brewers get William Contreras
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
He's devastated -
I'm not forgetting anything. I'm simply saying that the Brewers are much more likely to find two more TOR-type starters by trading Burnes and Woodruff like the White Sox did with Sale and Quintana than letting Burnes and Woodruff ride out to a QO and a comp pick, like you suggested, and the White Sox payroll limit has nothing to do with that.
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I've said this before, but I look back at the 2016 White Sox. They parlayed Sale and Quintana into Dylan Cease, Michael Kopech, Eloy Jiminez, and Yoan Moncada. Burnes and Woodruff can be replaced. It's not impossible. Going with a couple of comp picks is the likely much bigger loss.
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The Brewers, like many other teams, churn the bottom 2-3 spots of the 40-man every offseason. Right now I have no desire to do the research, but I know that there have been several examples in recent years of guys the Brewers have signed or claimed and then put through waivers later on in the offseason to try to keep in the organization once they've found a more desirable person for that roster spot. I get the "don't assume he's going to AAA until he actually does" standpoint, but I think it also goes both ways - don't assume he's making the ML roster until he actually does. Likely moreso for a guy who has never been in the majors before.
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Too Early 2023 Ideas (or beyond)
LouisEly replied to jay87shot's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Bump -
So we're using batting average and RBIs to assess a player's value? And you say my point is "nonsensical"?
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So we're using batting average and RBIs to assess a player's value? And you say my point is "nonsensical"?
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You're both correct. In 2022, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #119 in FIP, a low #4. In 2021, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #65, a high #3. Between 2021 and 2022 combined, among pitchers with at least 180 IP Lauer ranked #92, a high #4.
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You're both correct. In 2022, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #119 in FIP, a low #4. In 2021, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #65, a high #3. Between 2021 and 2022 combined, among pitchers with at least 180 IP Lauer ranked #92, a high #4.
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Umpires are going to need a new sponsor... Of course, turns our they were the perfect sponsor for Angel Hernandez.
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Chris Carter's career K rate: 33.3% Rowdy Tellez's career K rate: 22.4% (and 20.2% last year, 18.4% in 2021). Not sure what your definition of "mainstay" is, but Tellez is "good enough" at his current salary (that may change with arbitration). If Abreu costs $20M/year and Tellez comes in at his rough arbitration estimate of $5M... Abreu isn't worth $15M more. And Tellez isn't like Chris Carter at all.
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Chris Carter's career K rate: 33.3% Rowdy Tellez's career K rate: 22.4% (and 20.2% last year, 18.4% in 2021). Not sure what your definition of "mainstay" is, but Tellez is "good enough" at his current salary (that may change with arbitration). If Abreu costs $20M/year and Tellez comes in at his rough arbitration estimate of $5M... Abreu isn't worth $15M more. And Tellez isn't like Chris Carter at all.
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I'd rather the Brewers spend that money on extending Woodruff/Burnes. The money that Abreu/Bell will cost is not worth the upgrade over what Tellez will cost, but that depends on what Tellez gets in arbitration.
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I'd rather the Brewers spend that money on extending Woodruff/Burnes. The money that Abreu/Bell will cost is not worth the upgrade over what Tellez will cost, but that depends on what Tellez gets in arbitration.
