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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    Interesting how he said he "want(s) to thank Coach Ryan and Coach Close" but no mention of Coach Gard.
  2. LouisEly
    I'd say that Cobb's 2014 and 2012, and his performance in the 2016 playoffs, were much more than a "good #3". And with Hundley at QB last year I don't know how you tell one way or another, but Cobb was 2nd on the team in receiving yards last year, 2nd in targets, and was the top WR in terms of Catch %. He's been nicked up, but when healthy (and with a healthy Rodgers) I think he is a very good #2. Except Cobb excelled as a #3. Whenever asked to be a #1 or 2, he disappointed. The NFL is full of system/scheme guys. But he excelled in his role. For a period of time he was the best #3 in the game in an offense that almost always played 3 or 4 receivers. In 2012 The Packers were ahead of the league with a fast-paced wide open offense. We had 4 good receivers and everyone had only 1-2 good cornerbacks. Except that his best year - 2014 - he was the #2. Adams was a rookie.
  3. LouisEly
    The type of thing that makes me wonder why people think we can trade aguilar. He's a roster filler that you cut when the rosters full. If thames and braun need rest on the same day give perez a 1b glove and forget it. Much more interested in seeing what happens with bethancourt. This type of thing makes me wonder why San Diego gave Hosmer $140M.
  4. LouisEly
    Yup. It's why Sickels has 25 C+ guys on his list.
  5. LouisEly
    Teletovic waived. Would be nice to have his $10.5M salary for next season available. Hell, between he, Snell, and Dellavedova the Bucks could have had $30M to spend this upcoming offseason. This is why you don't sign marginal free agents to "market rate" multi-year deals.
  6. LouisEly
    I'm not excited yet, but I understand why they signed Graham - the TE class this year doesn't really offer much in terms of quality or quantity. Graham, despite not being what he was, still caught 10 TDs last year - he's still a weapon in the red zone. Wilkerson is very talented; the question is motivation and getting the talent from him. With Daniels leading the DL, he won't be afraid to get on Wilkerson and tell him what's up. Trey Burton was considered the top TE in free agency, and he signed for 4/$32M. I'd expect Graham to have a similar $8M/year AAV, maybe "agent inflated" with a big 3rd year that he is unlikely to see. With most college football offenses being some type of spread offense, there are tons of WRs coming out every year. Likely the Pack invest a couple of their 12 picks, especially the nine on day 3, on some WRs who can learn for a year and then take over next year when Cobb is likely gone.
  7. LouisEly
    I'd say that Cobb's 2014 and 2012, and his performance in the 2016 playoffs, were much more than a "good #3". And with Hundley at QB last year I don't know how you tell one way or another, but Cobb was 2nd on the team in receiving yards last year, 2nd in targets, and was the top WR in terms of Catch %. He's been nicked up, but when healthy (and with a healthy Rodgers) I think he is a very good #2.
  8. LouisEly
    Yep. If you have vacation property and the mortgage/taxes/insurance are $3000/month, all you need to do is rent it 100 days a year at $400/night and you break even (assuming also charging cleaning fees which pay the cost of cleaning, and $4000/year in maintenance and supplies such as toilet paper/paper towels, towels, etc.) from a cash flow perspective and build equity. Plus you can take one trip per quarter and write it off as a business expense of "checking up on your property/doing maintenance", so your actual vacations are tax deductible.
  9. LouisEly
    Not surprising, it's where he played college. Packers tried to convert him based on his athleticism but it didn't work out. Packers should have listened to me. I had them going with Eric Kendricks, who according to pro-football-reference.com has the 3rd highest AV of any of the next 34 picks through the end of the 2nd round. My other guy was Malcom Brown, who has the 5th highest AV of any of the next 34 picks. If the Pack had followed my prediction (going with guys still available) their draft would have looked like this (AV in parenthesis): 1) Eric Kendricks, ILB (23) 2) Jay Ajayi, RB (18) 3) Tyeler Davison, DT (14) 4) Lorenzo Doss, CB (0 - oops) 5) Kyle Emanuel, OLB (14) 6) Amarlo Herrera, ILB (0) 6) Jean Sifrin, TE (0) 6) Jacoby Glenn, CB (1) Feast or famine, but Kendricks, Ajayi, Davison, and Emanuel would have been a really good draft. CB would still be an issue, but not much worse than what they came out of that draft with.
  10. LouisEly
    Can I ask what you have against Woodruff? He's pretty much a consensus Top 100 prospect, what more do you need to give him a shot?
  11. LouisEly
    He has plenty of teams interested, good corners are really pricey and there is plenty of cap space to go around in the league. No idea how many years he gets but I'd be shocked if he came in at less than 10M a year. That didn't take long, 3 years and 39M. Reportedly a $5M signing bonus, $2M salary, $2M in roster bonuses, $1M playing time incentive, and $3M Pro Bowl incentive for 2018, the rest back-loaded and unlikely to achieve, so essentially they are committing $9-10M to him for 2018 with $1.67M allocated to 2019 and 2020 salary cap. Sherman hasn't even started running on a treadmill yet. Another example of why the 49ers have been one of the worst teams in the league the last four years.
  12. LouisEly
    I think there is a bigger issue here and that is the overall level of respect that people have for other people's opinions, whether they are right or wrong. Obviously lying about having insider information is closer to the wrong end of the spectrum, but that is only part of the issue. It's not about having the right to express skepticism, it's about how the skepticism was expressed. The issue was not with what HH was posting, it was the tone with which how people responded. There is an old saying, "it's not what you say but how you say it". People are free to disagree with others' opinions, but please do so in a polite way. Think of it this way - before you respond to someone, ask yourself, would you want someone responding to you in that way to one of your opinions? In other words, don't be an ass to other posters here. Challenge and criticize with tact. Take an extra minute and read through what you wrote and ask yourself if this is the proper tone and if there is any way to do so in a more respectful way.
  13. LouisEly
    Boras used to play the owners against each other. His MO was to call the owners and talk the owners into making the decision. Now the owners are telling him to go talk to the GM. Lynn at one year would have been perfect for the Brewers. Would rather have that than Cobb for 3/$42M.
  14. LouisEly
    Why are people assuming that Sherman will get a big contract? He's had two blown Achillies, and hasn't fully recovered from the second one yet. He isn't getting $10M or anywhere near it.
  15. LouisEly
    Hope not. Two Achillies blowouts... no thanks, at least not for anything guaranteed or significant. Kizer was a rookie last year on a bad Browns team. I give rookie QBs a pass. Dude was a 2nd round pick for a reason. Rookie QBs that look good are few and far between. Hell, Goff and Wentz were considered busts after their rookie year. Not so fast...
  16. LouisEly
    Apparently a spring roster was briefly posted on UWBadgers.com but quickly taken down, with UW officials saying it was not an official spring roster. Some notable things from that roster: - Arrington Farrar was listed at OLB (hopefully the 4-star recruit can finally get on the field) - Nick Thomas and Jake Whalen not listed (both were injured last year, heard that Whalen was retiring due to injuries) - Billy Hirschfeld is no longer playing football (official) but is still in school finishing his degree - Deron Harrell, who gray-shirted last year, was listed at CB Hirshfeld would have provided valuable depth at DL. Their three starters will be some of the best in the Big Ten (Sagapolu, Loudermilk, Rand), but behind that they have nobody who has seen significant playing time. Pfaff has seen some mop-up duty, but Howe and Preston essentially haven't seen the field and Vopal was redshirted last year. Harrell's move makes sense as WR is deep and CB is depleted. There was talk when he was recruited that he could play either WR or CB.
  17. LouisEly
    If Cain was 28 he wouldn't be an overpay. People's concerns are that he's 32 and if his wheels go south and he no longer has the speed and range his value decreases substantially. It's also opportunity cost - what is the delta between Cain + current SP group versus Phillips/Broxton platoon + FA starter? I don't know, but some here think that a Phillips/Broxton platoon + FA starter is a better use of resources than Cain + current SP group.
  18. LouisEly
    Yeah, kind of a crazy thought. I suppose it's possible that Cobb has conditionally accepted an offer, but is waiting to see if there are any big-name pitching injuries that would increase his market. But not a lot in this offseason has made sense, so I guess this is just throwing another odd log on fire. This would be one of the craziest conditions for a possible contract that I can think of. I know you're just thinking of scenarios but I really hope Stearns and co. are not doing this. Either he wants to be with us or against us at some point here. Piss or get off the pot already. I don't think it's that crazy. We know Stearns sets a value on players and sticks to it. Cobb could feel good about the Brewers (legit chance to compete the next 3-4 years, good young nucleus, heard good things about Counsell, etc.) but not about the offer (less than what he wants). Could easily be Stearns saying this is what the offer is, it will not increase, it's good until March __ and then it expires because we need a pitcher to be ready to go when we need a 5th starter. Cobb could respond by saying if I don't have a better offer by March __ I'll sign; however, better offer may not be defined just by money but by chance to compete, not having to deal with media circus (NY, BOS, etc.), etc. Who knows what tradeoffs Cobb is willing to make, but there could very well be tradeoffs with the Brewers' offer, thus the hesitation. Also, Braun has publicly stated that he hates spring training. Cobb might too, and feel that the free agent "training camp" is working for him.
  19. LouisEly
    Reasons to believe Woodruff is undervalued: 1) He's a consensus top-100 prospect and was not given it by default simply by being a 1st round pick or getting a huge signing bonus. College players picked later in the draft have to have significant success over multiple seasons to get Top 100 status. 2) Colorado Springs messes with everyone - look at how Hader did in CS, then look at how Hader did in MIL last year 3) Look at Woodruff's AA and A+ numbers - very similar to Burnes, and better K% than Burnes 4) Woodruff had never pitched into September before - in the minors his seasons were done at the end of August
  20. LouisEly
    Putouts in LF have ended up between 8512 & 9020 over the last five compared to 9401 & 9771 over the last five years for RF putouts, so it looks like there are typically more opportunities in RF. That's outs though, not necessarily plays, correct? Opportunities are based on plays. My hypothesis is that there are less putouts because balls are hit harder to LF (RH pull hitters).
  21. LouisEly
    Let's move the Perez discussion to a Major League Forum thread and keep this to discussion of MLB Pipeline Top 30 prospects please.
  22. LouisEly
    Did Woodruff and Wilkerson get hurt?
  23. LouisEly
    Why does Stone taking checks from an agency, that wanted to sign him to become a client of theirs once he went pro, have anything to do with him deciding Maryland over Wisconsin? Because the agency is the middle man. The coach or shoe company (who has the deal with the school) sends the money to the agency who turns around and offers a "loan" to the kid prior to turning pro in exchange for signing with the agency when he does turn pro and going to that school. If the coach or shoe company gives the money to the kid they are toast, but if the agency gives the money to the kid the coach/shoe company can wash their hands of it and say it was the agency. In return, the agency double-dips; up-front from the coach/shoe company, and on the back-end when the kid signs (if the kid makes it to the pros and doesn't flame out).
  24. LouisEly
    Arrieta was 28 at the start of his first full season with the Cubs, and Anderson was 28 in his first season with the Brewers.
  25. LouisEly
    My understanding is that the forearm wasn't an injury but that Ponce was shut down for precautionary reasons: https://www.mlb.com/news/cody-ponce-placed-on-disabled-list/c-171232318
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