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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    "A baserunning mistake by Bauers" Was Erickson giving him the stop sign? If they know that the RF doesn't have a good/accurate arm, it's not a mistake.
  2. LouisEly
    Took one for the team on a few occasions, and I appreciate him for that. Best of luck to him wherever he lands.
  3. LouisEly
    BrewerFan... c'mon. No. It's complete game shutouts. Are you seriously saying that May isn't a very good pitcher? Did you not see him put up 7 no-hit innings against us? Relax. Can we give this a while and see how this shakes out?
  4. LouisEly
    It is. Supply and demand. With the new playoff format, there are now fewer sellers. May is a very good starting pitcher. Not of Skubal's ceiling, but he's one of only seven pitchers with a complete game shutout this season. Others on that list include Miz, Sanchez, Cease, and Alcantara. Skubal is not on that list. Nor is Mize. I'd bet a large sum of money that there were plenty of other teams asking about May.. If the Brewers offer less, they don't get him. Then what? We get 50 pages about how the Brewers don't care about winning, hanging the top farm system in baseball banner, etc.
  5. LouisEly
    Bookmarked.
  6. LouisEly
    I was guaranteed by someone that they were going to give up a lot.
  7. LouisEly
    You and I both know that we can go back and look at a lot of top 100 prospect lists and find lots of players who ended up not belonging on them. There are also guys who aren't on those lists who should have been. But no GM looks at top 100 prospect lists and makes decisions based off of them. The further away from the majors a player is, the more a GM discounts their value based on development risk.
  8. LouisEly
    Stearns didn't want to get pwned by the Brewers again.
  9. LouisEly
    ScottHughesCBB = SeanWrightNBA
  10. LouisEly
    Frias has cooled off quite a bit since the promotion. He's got a ways to go and a couple of levels to prove before he truly is a "prospect". Him being "ranked" so high is a function of the "shiny new toy" that prospect evaluators get enamored about - they want to be the first to say that they were in a on a guy. As for Ragsdale, the Brewers must feel like there's a juiced ball in AA. There's a reason he was a 7th round pick.
  11. LouisEly
    Someone posted data to support that on this site a few years ago. If you want a recent example, Clay Holmes switched to a starter last year in his age 32 season. Went from 63 IP to 165 IP. He's on the IL because of a leg fracture from taking a line drive.
  12. LouisEly
    What doesn't change is that TOR doesn't have to mess around with it with 20 other teams, a number of whom are also in contention. They don't have to risk Gausman nixing it for any reason at all.
  13. LouisEly
    That risk subsides once a pitcher reaches his physical peak of age 27. The ramp-up risk is for younger pitchers. Ryan threw 104 innings in 2023.
  14. LouisEly
    Last year they traded for Priester in April and Vaughn in June. They also traded for Danny Jansen three days before the deadline. Nobody moved faster than them.
  15. LouisEly
    Nothing happened until last night, and nothing was going to happen until Skubal was dealt. This is a different year. The Skubal domino had to fall first, and as already stated, Gausman had the Brewers on his NTC.
  16. LouisEly
    Proactive reminder that the Brewers were one of 8-10 teams on Gausman's no trade list.
  17. LouisEly
    I keep reading this "River Ryan is almost 28, he's not a prospect" BS. Counterpoint - being almost 28 makes him more valuable. Why? The Tigers have team and salary control during his peak years (ages 27-32). He's not going to become a FA as soon as he hits his peak - he's not going to become a FA until he's 32.
  18. LouisEly
    They face Skubal and the Dodgers on Tuesday. Good luck with that win streak.
  19. LouisEly
    I'm just wondering if they were a little deflated or didn't sleep well after hearing about Skubal going to the Dodgers. Need an acquisition or two tomorrow to give them a mental boost.
  20. LouisEly
    The silver lining: Skubal's first start for the Dodgers is against the Cubs on Tuesday. After that, he can blow out his elbow for all I care.
  21. LouisEly
    Exactly. I think there's a lot of endowment effect going on here. People seem to forget that while Henderson is younger, he has quite the injury history. His value has to be discounted for that. If you want, substitute Brandon Sproat who is about to turn 26. But Henderson and Sproat are the closest to River Ryan in terms of stuff and major league readiness whether people like it or not. And River Ryan made the majors at age 25 despite being drafted at age 22, then he got hurt. It's not like it took him until age 28 to knock on the major league door. Pena is still in high-A. He hasn't proven that he can make the jump to AA yet, and he has some health concerns as well. Those have to discount his value. Meanwhile, Hope has a .899 OPS in AA. Pull out any A-ball SP comp you want. Smith is averaging 13.7 K/9 to only 3.6 BB/9 this year, mostly at low-A. I'm struggling to find a Brewers SP prospect who at 21 years old averaged >11 K/9 and less than 4 BB/9 in any meaningful sample of innings. Smith was a 3rd round pick who got $700K. It's a much better comp than people think.
  22. LouisEly
    Of course it's enormous right now. It's going to be enormous until 4:45PM CT Monday. In other news, grass is green.
  23. LouisEly
    That's what I've been wondering. Not from a PED standpoint, but from a "are Midwest League/Southern League pitchers this bad" causing us irrational exuberance standpoint.
  24. LouisEly
    Based on the reaction from some, it needs to be brought to you by North Shore Adult Diapers.
  25. LouisEly
    Quero hasn't caught in over a month. No other catchers on the 40-man in case of injury to Contreras or Sanchez. I don't think it's anything more than needing a 3rd catcher in case of emergency.
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