LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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I think the point is that Gallardo wasn't a high velocity guy either - he usually sat around 92. As long as someone has a K rate >9, I don't particularly care how hard they throw. At 21 and in high A, there is some projection there even if he is only 6' tall.
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Yamamoto just keeps getting the job done. He isn't known for velocity, but his K rate is >9 which is very good for a 21-year-old in high A (and a 20-year-old in low A last year). Would love an updated scouting report on him.
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I know this is no longer the case, but I was looking at the lineups earlier today, and I noticed that the Brewers had a R/L alternating lineup all the way through to the pitcher. When is the last time the Brewers had a perfectly balanced LH/RH lineup? Edit: almost perfect, Villar is SH. But when is the last time the Brewers had more LH than RH in the lineup? -
I don't know that it is "babying"; there could be other things going on. I think there were two reasons for bringing him up: 1) the Brewers needed an effective lefty in the pen, and B) Colorado Springs was not doing Hader any favors in terms of development. The best thing was to have him in Milwaukee, even if it was in the bullpen. Where I'm going with this is that Hader might be getting extra work on the side with major league coaches to try to refine his mechanics and improve his control. He might be throwing more "pitches" than the box scores indicate, thus he might not be available as much. Plus, as others say, he was used to throwing every five days and now it's erratic. Still need to be careful with him, which was likely one reason behind acquiring Webb.
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Thornburg/Smith are apples to vegetables comparison - Thorny and Smith were both well under 30 and had multiple years of control left. Plus Thorny had closer experience and Smith is left-handed, neither of which Neshek has. Yea, Philly isn't going to want a fringe prospect... but that's much more like what they are going to get than a top 100 prospect. No way does someone give up a top 100 for 3 months of a 36-year-old making $6.5M. I still say the best comp is Torres last year. If there was a high upside arm, much less a top 100 prospect, available for Torres the Brewers would have taken it. But Torres didn't get dealt, so I think it's safe to assume there was none.
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Bad decision to take the bat out of Phillps' hands, considering he has the power to make it a 3-run game. Sometimes when they just skim you, like on the top of the foot or other sensitive area, it hurts more than if it hits you square. I remember catching and a foul tip went under my glove and just skimmed my asscheek. Boy did that sting.
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Orimoloye's OPS for June - .560 Orimoloye's OPS for July - .278 Oof.
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The Phillies are going to ask for a lot now because the trade deadline is still two weeks away. They don't have to trade him right now. But they haven't because the market wasn't set yet; it is now with what Oakland got. It's all about supply and demand; every trade reduces demand as well as supply and they don't want to get caught holding him with no demand; as they get closer to the deadline the price goes down. He's also not a closer and never has been; he has 8 career saves. We didn't see a market for 33-year-old Torres last year; Neshek is better but not that much better than Torres was last year. Over the offseason the Phillies acquired him for a PTBNL or cash; I don't see a PTBNL named so it must have been cash. He wasn't worth much then, he isn't worth a lot more now.
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Substitute Cordell for Phillips and I think it's spot on. Cordell is a CF - he's played there more than any other position, he just doesn't play there now because of Brinson. Davies + Ray has a lot of value. Shouldn't have to include Phillips with that.
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Neshek is 36, making $6.5M, and a free agent after the season. I don't think they would need to send a high upside arm to get him. For reference, Oakland got two A-ball players and a change of scenery reliever for Doolitle and Madsen, and Madsen is under contract for 2018 and Doolittle has team options through 2020. For a 3-month rental, you'd expect less than one of those players the Nats gave up. I don't think PHI would have any interest in the catchers as they have Knapp and their #3 prospect Alfaro is at AAA (but not doing that well). Their top pitching prospects are in A-ball; I think a ML-ready starter such as Wilkerson, maybe with a low-level lotto ticket (Pierre? Lujano?) would get it done.
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Trade Targets- Starting Pitchers
LouisEly replied to A Swing and A Drive's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I know I'm going to get roasted by a certain contingent of posters, but Jungmann has been pitching really well lately. Why not give him a couple of starts before the deadline to see if they really need to unload prospects for Gray/Happ/Verlander/whoever. Or maybe he is a part of that trade package that allows the Brewers to keep their big 5 pitching prospects. Jungmann and Wilkerson can step into a major league rotation right away. -
And the Brewers have to wait 8 more days before calling him back up, unless someone goes on the DL. Other option is Jungmann, but he pitched today (and very well for that matter) so he's not available for a few days. Espino and Lopez would basically be treading water. Taylor Williams would be a real interesting option, but you have to take the long view there and let him build up arm strength in a relatively low-pressure environment. I get that Wang doesn't throw hard and doesn't strike out a lot of guys but he's been getting the job done in a tough environment and was a decent starter last year. Webb is better than Wang, but Wang might be better than Scahill.
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http://m.mlb.com/news/article/242442972/nationals-acquire-doolittle-madson-from-as/ A's get two A-ball prospects and 29-year-old Blake Treinen. Not sure what the comps are; according to MLB Pipeline, Neuse has a 50 grade and Luzardo a 45 grade so it might be someone like Erceg/Nottingham/Cordell (Neuse - 50 grade) and Medeiros (45 grade) with Oliver Drake as a throw-in. For one of Nottingham/Cordell plus Medeiros, I would have made the deal. For Erceg plus Medeiros, I would not have made the deal. The market is starting to be set.
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To add to your list Geezy, if the Brewers swing a deal for Gray the rotation for the next 2-4 weeks will look like this: Nelson/Gray/Garza and two of Davies/Suter/Guerra Once Anderson (early/mid August) and Woodruff (late July/early August) are healthy it could look like this: Nelson/Gray/Anderson/Garza and one of Suter/Davies/Guerra/Woodruff That's a pretty good rotation. Which leads me to another thought - what if the Brewers included Davies in the package for Gray instead of a top pitching prospect? What would the Brewers have to add to Davies to pull in Gray?
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I don't know that you'd need to give up one of the big five pitching prospects (Hader, Woodruff, Burnes, Ortiz, Peralta) because the A's really need OF at all levels of the org. They only have two OFs in their top 20 prospects and one of them started the year in the DSL. The A's also need a middle infielder for 2018. People forget that Cordell is a CF - he's played CF more than any other position in the minors, but doesn't play there now because of Brinson. He's very athletic. I would much rather give up Ray than any of the big five pitching prospects. Ray + Dubon + Cordell + a fourth piece (Coulter? Supak? Zack Brown? Kirby?) is a lot to give up, but it means they keep their top pitching prospects. I'd like to keep Phillips with the plan being to trade Broxton in the offseason, and then platoon Brinson/Phillips next year to help them make the adjustment to the majors.
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Trade Targets- Starting Pitchers
LouisEly replied to A Swing and A Drive's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I personally think the best bets are Samardzjia and Verlander, because the Brewers have the ability to take on significant salary which will lower the price in prospects, and both are signed for multiple seasons so the Brewers could trade either this offseason or next deadline and get most of what they paid back. Verlander is 34 and owed $28M for each of next two seasons plus remainder of 2017 (~$13M) so it won't take that much to acquire him. Verlander + cash to cover most of Verlander's remaining 2017 salary ($10M) for Ray + Dubon + two of Wilkerson/Lopez/Derby I think is a good starting point. Kinsler is 35 and has a $5M buyout after this season (or one season at $12M left) and Iglesias hasn't been anything special and is a FA in 2019, so Dubon has value to them. Wilkerson can move right into the ML rotation. Change of scenery might do Lopez good. -
Unless Gray has some type of no-trade clause, which is highly unlikely, it likely has no effect on anything. The exception being a very indirect effect, where Gray agrees to an extension if he is traded to the Brewers.
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Game Scores: Kopech 60; Perrin 59. [sarcasm]We got our blue chip prospect.[/sarcasm]
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Sonny Gray scratched from his start tonight...
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Gray scratched from his start tonight...
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Ho. Lee. Crap.
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I was starting to wonder why Pivetta had a high FIP.
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Brewers Acquire LHP Tyler Webb for Garrett Cooper
LouisEly replied to bill hAll Star's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Happy to see it work out for both guys. Just hope Cooper isn't the next Brian Dozier who makes a mechanical adjustment and finds power at age 26. -
Trade Targets- Starting Pitchers
LouisEly replied to A Swing and A Drive's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
The most I'd be willing to pay for Fulmer is Brinson, Ortiz, Ray, and maybe a throw-in 25-35 system-ranked low level prospect (Orimoloye/Supak/Zack Brown/Zach Clark/Lara/etc.). Woodruff/Hader/Burnes are off the table. Trade with someone who needs OFs, they'll value the Brewers prospects more. The thing going for the Brewers is that there is potentially a big supply of starters available. Look at the first post in the topic. Econ 101 - increasing supply decreases price. Someone asks too much, move on to someone else. As I've mentioned before, there are only three ways to acquire starting pitching: 1) Draft (draft is for building your team 6 years out) 2) Give up talent 3) Take on age/injury/salary/performance risk Draft isn't an option for now, so it's either #2 or #3. -
They need a 2B and 3B with Plouffe gone now. They either need a 3B with Semien at SS and Barreto at 2B, or they need a 2B with Semien moving to 3B and Barreto at SS. Barreto has been playing SS at AAA this year, so the latter might be the plan.
