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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    This early in the season? Look at the players who are at the top of FG% this season. McLaughlin (100%) - 7th team, 71% in 2021, 78% in 2019, waived or released eight times. Grupe - 2nd year, 81% last year. Bates - kicks in a dome, had to go to the UFL/XFL/whatever first. Reichard - rookie who kicks in a dome. Folk - 78% in 2012, 77% in 2011, 77% in 2010, 64% in 2009. Prater - 74% in 2008, 76% in 2011, 75% in 2020. Boswell (94%) - 65% in 2018, 75% in 2022. Seibert (94%) - fifth team, 67% (released after going 6 of 9) in 2020, 60% (waived after going 3 of 5) in 2022. It's almost like there's some variance or randomness to FG%.
  2. LouisEly
    You also can't judge kickers on a game-by-game basis, or all of them will eventually fail.
  3. LouisEly
    Go Cleveland!!
  4. LouisEly
    Did people miss the part where McCalvy said, "Doesn't guarantee he'll play a lot there"? If he takes Monasterio's spot as the backup 3B, then isn't that an offensive upgrade?
  5. LouisEly
    Lindor had his 2nd and 3rd highest WAR seasons the last two years at ages 29 and 30. Betts had his 3rd highest WAR season last year at age 30. Seager had his highest WAR season last year at age 29 and his 4th highest this year at age 30. Swanson had his three highest WAR seasons the last three years at age 28, 29, and 30. 27-28 is a human being's physical peak, but not necessarily their production peak with respect to baseball.
  6. LouisEly
    28-year-olds have their best games behind them?
  7. LouisEly
    Yes and no. The super long-standing teams played during an era when there were only 8 teams in each league, not much different than the Brewers playing in a 7-team division in the late 70's, 80's, and early 90's. The only really disadvantageous period was 1961-1968 when there were 10 teams in each league. But the super long-standing teams also got to play in 6-team divisions from 1969-1976 and also got to beat up on expansion clubs in the early/late 60's and late 70's. Among the 16 super long-standing teams, eight have a higher playoff % than the Brewers, 8 have a lower %.
  8. LouisEly
    Would you have put the Brewers in the top half of teams? https://x.com/Brooks_Gate/status/1779225854028947806 (Edit: someone help me with imbedding tweets. I clicked on "Share", then "Copy link", then pasted it here.)
  9. LouisEly
    The key word is "pencil". It's erasable. You "pencil" him in but have contingency plans in place. 1) Peralta 2) Civale 3) Myers 4) Woodruff (written in pencil) 5-7) Rea/Hall/Ashby Primary Depth: 8) Misiorowski 9) C-Rod In case of emergency: 10) Gasser (if ready) 11) Henderson (have to add him after the 2025 season anyway) 12) Patrick 13) Shane Smith (have to add him after 2025 as well) 14) Hunt 15) Wichrowski Also, the Brewers have until four days after the World Series ends to extend Montas and tear up the option year if they feel like Woody isn't progressing. I would not be surprised at all if they do that. I think Montas knows that he isn't getting $20M (from the Brewers or anyone), but might be open to $20M guaranteed over a two-year extension and he really enjoyed being on the team. Depending on what they think of Henderson, Smith, Hunt, and Wichrowski, they have some young pitching talent to package to pick up an established starter if they need one (but I think they try to extend Montas first).
  10. LouisEly
    He absolutely has played his last game as a Brewer. He's not the locker room leader that Adames is which is why they didn't trade Adames. Add that to the baggage from blowing the save at home in the playoffs and he's gone. One year of one of the best relievers in the game plus a likely comp pick will bring back decent value.
  11. LouisEly
    It's one season of a great reliever plus a comp pick if he leaves in free agency.
  12. LouisEly
    Seven points.
  13. LouisEly
    Why? Hopefully not because he gave up a HR in the playoffs to a four-time All Star who's hit 120 HRs over the last 3 seasons.
  14. LouisEly
    Exactly how many times has that happened this year? None got tipped last week or the week before. I've seen it maybe once. Jordan Love had balls tipped today; happens to every QB if the DL does their job and gets their hands up. No, one was off of Pauling's hands. It was a well-located ball low and away from the defender where only the receiver could get it and Pauling yipped it. How many college QBs are (who are redshirt sophomores)? Every game I've watched I've seen QBs on other teams make bad throws and bad decisions. Bo Nix and J.J. McCarthy were top 15 picks. Stetson Bennett and Aidan O'Connell were 4th round picks. That tells you how many great QBs there are in college. For his career Locke has 10 TDs to 4 INTs. I can think of a lot of UW QBs with worse numbers than that. He just threw for the 7th most yards in a game ever in the history of Wisconsin Football. So, no, he is not the worst Badgers QB ever.
  15. LouisEly
    This aged well
  16. LouisEly
    The Brewers are not trading for a player with a career 27% K rate, especially when his K% has been higher than his career average K% each of the last six seasons.
  17. LouisEly
    I think Arnold would laugh you off the phone for asking for one of the best pitching prospects in the game for Westburg, nevermind adding one of the best closers and one of the best SS prospects.
  18. LouisEly
    No way, Suarez strikes out way too much for the Brewers taste. Best option is for the Brewers to go back to the Orioles. They need to make room for Holliday, leaving Westburg and Urias for one spot. Urias is the cheaper option. He's under control for two more seasons and was a 1 fWAR/1.5 bWAR player in only 300 PA's last year. Struck out less than 20% of the time last season, average walk rate, average defensively. But the Orioles need a closer. Devin Williams headlining a package for Westburg is the best option..
  19. LouisEly
    Baltimore needs a closer. Brewers likely need an IF to replace Adames. Williams + Peguero + Black + Lara for Jordan Westburg.
  20. LouisEly
    Can we all agree that this form of Wild Card series is complete horse****?
  21. LouisEly
    I think you know that there's a big difference between breaking a rule and breaking the law.
  22. LouisEly
    The Red Sox had Bucky ******* Dent. The Brewers have Devin ******* Williams.
  23. LouisEly
    Mets had the best record in the majors after June 1st. We just saw why.
  24. LouisEly
    Keep it up!
  25. LouisEly
    Cue the trade proposal thread in 3, 2, 1...
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