DuWayne Steurer
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Everything posted by DuWayne Steurer
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Based on a small sample....maybe he can? I believe that's actually his first homerun vs LH in regular season in his career. Can confirm. http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=gennesc01&year=Career&t=b -
Based on a small sample....maybe he can? I believe that's actually his first homerun vs LH in regular season in his career.
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The results of Gennett's at bat here will either be proof that he now can or still can't hit lefties.
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Nice throw.
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We just started the free trial of PS Vue, and even though we don't get FSN, it's still a very good package for the price ($35 dollars a month for the core slim package). It's got all the channels and shows we watched before, including live ESPN programming and BTN. I watched Royals/Mets yesterday, and I'll be able to watch the NCAA championship tonight. The Slim plus package is 35 dollars, and the slim elite (100 or so channels) is like 45 dollars. Our old cable package was $195 dollars through Charter for Internet + Tv. Now we'll be paying 65 for internet, plus 35 for PS Vue.
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Record: 74 - 88 (4th) Team MVP: Braun. Stays healthy enough to play 140-ish games and posts another .850-ish OPS (nothing bold about this prediction) Home Runs: Carter and Santana both finish around 30 Wins: Nelson - 14/15 Bold predictions: Keon Broxton will struggle a bit, but I think he settles in as the every day CF and puts up an OPS around .725-.750 or thereabouts.
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Oops, don't know how I missed Walsh. Knebel probably replaces either Torres or Pena, and Smith replaces Capuano (if he makes it back this year, which I'm assuming he will).
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NY Times: The Endangered Species of Baseball
DuWayne Steurer replied to pacopete4's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yeah, the stolen base thing is cyclical. In the 40's and 50's players weren't stealing bases much at all. From '45 to '59, nobody stole 50 in a single season. In the 60's and 70's, as offense started to wane and players like Lou Brock, Ricky Henderson, Willie Wilson, Tim Raines, etc became valued, the stolen base became valued again. Offense is on a decline again. We'll see if it continues. The NL avg runs per game in 2015 was just a smidge over 4 runs per game last year. The AL was slightly higher. If that trend continues, teams will look for ways to manufacture runs again. FWIW, Billy Hamilton for all his speed needs to not get caught so much. 57/20 is not a great sb rate, especially when you're already OBP'ing a putrid .270-ish rate. Not making 20 outs on the bases is more important than being at 2nd base. -
NY Times: The Endangered Species of Baseball
DuWayne Steurer replied to pacopete4's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
That's kind of how I took it, just saying "the game has changed, and because of it, some of these former benchmarks will likely not be challenged" I didn't take it as saying it's a good or a bad thing, just a thing. -
No real surprises on the final 25 man C Lucroy, Maldonado IF Carter, Gennett, Villar, Hill, Rivera OF, Braun, Santana, Broxton, Flores, Niewenhuis SP Peralta, Garza, Anderson, Jungmann, Nelson RP Jeffress, Blazek, Boyer, Capuano, Pena, Thornburg, Torres. Probably about what everyone expected, tbh.
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That too. If Thornburg can keep the ball in the yard, I think he can be serviceable. Pena may be alright as well. I don't think this bullpen is a disaster (and will be better when Knebel is back), but it would certainly look better with Smith, and without Capuano. The flipside of that is Smith was likely to get traded for value anyways, so we could throw that out there as well.
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Smith and Knebel both being injured makes the entire bullpen worse (obviously) by bumping everyone else up two spots, and forcing two guys into the mix that otherwise wouldn't be here. Blazek had a good season last year, and Jeffress should be solid, and "if" we had Smith and Knebel, I'd like this bullpen a lot more. Ah well, injuries happen.
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Brewers invite Franklin Morales to camp
DuWayne Steurer replied to StearnsFTW's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'm not all that upset about not having Morales. He had pedestrian K/9 numbers the last 2 years, and he's had a few good years scattered around a bunch of mediocre and a few really bad years. He's at best a decent lefty with not a lot of real upside. The head scratcher is keeping Capuano. He's been bad for 3 years, and was extra bad last year. I hate the "he's a good teammate/extra coach" reasoning. Isn't that what the actual coaches are for? To be the coaches? I just feel like this move has the feel of "nostalgia" on it, and I really hope that nostalgia doesn't have any bearing at all into the roster making decisions are made with this new regime. I didn't think Stearns had that in him, so I kind of want to give him the benefit of the doubt.... but that's just what this feels like given the situation. -
If the goal was winning the WS this year, I would agree. But it's not, so I don't see the downside in letting Scooter have plenty of ABs vs LHP. Downside is zero, upside is his value goes up significantly if he can prove he can play full time at 2B. Scoot is 14 for 113 vs LHP with 2 XBH, 1 walk, and 34 strikeouts vs. LHP. 113 AB's is not a HUGE sample size, but at the same time, this is like putting another bad hitting pitcher in your lineup.
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Lucroy Trades/Proposals (part 2)
DuWayne Steurer replied to Austin Tatious's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Lucroy is one season removed from being a (very deserving) top 4 MVP finisher. He started slow last year, had a bit of a dip in his power numbers, and finished the year strong. Is he the 4th best player in the league? Nah. But he's definitely worth more than what he did last year, as long as he's healthy. -
Phew. Dodged a bullet on that one.
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It's weird how pro athletes can incur serious injuries doing seemingly innocuous things. I'm sure weird stuff like this happens to normal people every day, but the proportional percentage of "really weird injuries" that seem to strike the Brewers players seems (at least to me) extraordinarily high and coincidental. Of course pro athletes with clauses in their contracts have reason to lie about what they may or may not have been doing during their off-time, so there's always that to consider.
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Definitely agree that park factor is not just "how far away are the walls?" it's not going to neuter Davis to go play in Oakland but it will have some effect. How much? We'll find out.
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The Phillies last year were atrociously bad. Next to last in the NL in ERA, and 3rd to last in runs scored, and they still couldn't manage to lose 100 games (63 - 99). As others have said, losing 100 games is just hard to do.
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I predict that they will go 72 - 90, which puts them exactly the same distance from 82 wins as it does from 100 losses. :D
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On average, about 1 team per year will lose 100 games. But there isn't a 100 loss team every year. The Brewers would have to have down years from key players, have a fairly bad luck run with injuries, and have really none of the new additions play a key role. They still have some premier offensive players in Braun and Lucroy. Gennett is a top 10 2B if he only plays against RH pitchers ( so 400 - 450 PA's worth). Santana can and should be an 800 OPS RFer. The offense should be right around average. THe pitching is going to be suspect because of the rotation, but the bullpen can be at least average. It would take a lot of things going wrong for this to be a 100 loss team. I'm not saying they won't or can't lose 100, but I don't see that as even a close to likely scenario. I'd say there's less than a 10% chance of that happening. Winning 82 games? I don't know. Hard to put a number on that. Too many lottery tickets out there right now. Villar, Broxton, hoping on a resurgent Hill, etc, etc, etc. If a few of these guys pan out......it's a possibility. If Broxton keeps drawing walks and puts up a .725 or 750 OPS and plays good D.....if SOMEONE can man third base. If Carter can hit .230 and hit 25 - 30 homeruns , it's not out of the realm of possibility, as long as the team maintains relative health. But that's a lot of "if's"
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Maybe it's my own perception, but it often seems to me that prospects coming up the Boston pipeline often get extra "hype". Interesting that others have noticed this as well. Middlebrooks looked like the real deal at first, but his inability to be selective ruined him.
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They might, but I don't see the value in them, because they're more or less meaningless.
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I know much should not be made off of spring training samples, but at this point it's really hard to ignore what we are seeing with Broxton. Also, it was made very clear that this spring training was a competition for CF amongst the many guys thrown out there. If that's the case, it has to be evident that Broxton is one of, if not the leading candidate to start the season getting the lion's share of PT out there. He takes a good amount of walks, so I like him in the leadoff spot. I know Counsell has said he's going to try Santana there as well, but I don't see Broxton providing the same kind of power as Santana. I'm still kind of high on Liriano and Flores, and want to see both of them get at least 200 - 250 PA's as well. Lots of young guys to try to spread PA's around to. 1) Broxton CF 2) Lucroy C 3) Braun LF 4) Santana RF 5) Carter 1B 6) Hill 3B 7) Villar SS 8) Gennett 2b
