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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. For Miller it likely is using this year as a basis. So like 1 to 1.5 wins. Now he likely won't reach that, but that aside that gives him like $4 million in excess value the rest of this year, $8 million next year if they deduct half a win, and like $1-3m in first year of arby. Now is that reasonable for Miller? Not really. But that is because valuation isn't really linear and breaks for bench players who receive less than $8 million per expected win.
  2. For prospects it comes from the FV score. You can see the value here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/farm-system-rankings So for Lara and Black that would mean they would be like FV 45+ which seems reasonable given where they were at season's beginning.
  3. McMahon just seems like a copy of a healthy Urias. Urias better offensively, McMahon better defensively.
  4. Based on what? Hindsight? Hiura as a 22 year old destroyed AAA pitching.
  5. Since rushing a prospect with no defensive home to the majors worked so well with Hiura the Brewers should definitely do it with Black.
  6. Noda and Rooker. Now if there can be agreement on their value is a whole other issue.
  7. Miller by month: April wRC+ 82 May wRC+ 167 June wRC+ 61 July wRC+ 49 So if you think Miller has not been good recently, its because he has not been good outside of May when he hit his 4 HRs on the season.
  8. Why is there this belief that Wiemer is a bad CFer? He's has been arguably the best CFer in baseball this season. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/fielding-run-value?year=2023&team=&min=0.1&pos=8
  9. Why? Gasser is a 24 year old with a near 4 ERA in AAA. That points to backend rotation piece at best. It looks like he has trouble making even twice through an AAA order at this point. I mean he's fine for what he is but he shouldn't really influence any decision making.
  10. Well when half of your lineup hits around .200...
  11. Chapman has a lot of baggage in addition to not being good in 2022 and just OK in 2021. He has been walking a ton ever since 2020 and that is not any different this year.
  12. I'm going to go with a BABIP of .400 and not some magic solution.
  13. I don't get the question. The Brewers were projected for 85-88 wins. Why would you tear that team apart? I feel like there is a contingent here that thinks that all players should be traded for prospects unless the Brewers have a 95 win team made up of players with less than 4 years of service time,
  14. A 280/.370/.400 line is an above average hitter. I's just not sure Frelick does that since that ISO of .120 is better than he has done. With less power he's more of a .280/.320/.370 hitter which is not more than 4/5 OFer.
  15. Sounds like a lot of the technical crew are contractors and not employees with on air talent sometimes being employed by the teams themselves. The actual equipment maybe leased.
  16. Because he played in 67 games in 2021 and 98 games in 2022. So yes he'll be available for $5 million if he has a season ending injury this year in the next month.
  17. $5 million per year? Anderson is an above average 3B or an above average RF if healthy. Anderson should get at least 2 years $22 million with a 3rd year option.
  18. Hicks is not better than Weimer in the OF. Now given that the Brewers have no depth in the OF right now Hicks would make some sense but its more of a stop gap thing.
  19. Yeah it has almost been 3 weeks since we had snow in May
  20. Owen Miller 1st 104 PAs in 2022: .311/.375/.533 wRC+155 Owen Miller after 472 PAs in 2022: .243/.301/.351 wRC+ 85 Owen Miller after 109 PAs in 2023: .346/.367/.548 wRC+147
  21. Miller has a BABIP of .391. His xwOBA is .292 compared to his OBA of .373. His ROS ZIP is a WRC+ of 82. He's Hernan Perez with worse defense.
  22. The Brewers were even in better shape on July 30, 2022.
  23. The Eagles are going to get Branch aren't they?
  24. You would think someone would to get the 5th year option on him. SEA makes a lot of sense to move up
  25. The Giants were really worried about being snipped for Deonte Banks? I swear teams get tunnel vision.
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