endaround
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Everything posted by endaround
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Game 2: Commanders at Packers - Thursday, Sept 11 7:15 PM
endaround replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Other Sports
Rookie WRs just don't really do much, even 1st round picks, even ones that end up great. Its why you need to have some ready to step up over time and not go 8 years without investing in the position. -
I am expecting a large payroll decline next year without any large signings as Woodruff, Cortes, Quintana, and Hoskins leave. It's why I am only 75% sure they will tender Vaughn since they likely thought his salary will be off the books next year. The reason I am expecting such a decline is: 1) Continued fallout from the regional sports cable channel collapse. Local broadcast revenue is shared so that money is shrinking even if the Brewers themselves have a current contract. 2) Belief that there will be a work stoppage in 2027 leading to a canceling of games and a loss of revenue. So they will want to build up reserves/extract profit from 2026 as much as possible. Given that there are no huge holes on the roster and that they have internal promotion candidates they don't want to block I don't see any major additions occurring. A 1 year deal for a starter similar to Quintana might happen for depth and bullpen signings may occur but not much else.
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An ISO of .114 is a very loose definition of "hitting for power". That's closer to "just enough power to stay a MLB player".
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Hoskins had a wRC+ 113 this year. Disappointing for Hoskins but OK while representing the best full season Vaughn has ever put up. My guess is Vaughn is back at a similar salary to this year with the hope something clicked but easy to move to the bench when/if Adams forces it.
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Not even close. Ashby is likely to finish 5th in IP and only because of the McGill injury. Uribe is a guy who is likely to feel some effects.
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The Cowboys alone are enough for the rumor mill, adding Green Bay does nothing. Now the most likely outcome still is the Cowboys paying for Parsons after alienating him some more. However, unlike Hendrickson and Garrett, Parsons is young enough to be a full on Gute target. Add in the Packers have a ton of cap space right now, and have a huge need and there actually maybe something here.
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But he doesn't? I mean in the abstract the fact he can get a walk at all with an ISO of .000 is neat but really not something to garner playing time.
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Peralta is 12th in WAR in the NL. It's not really close. Even ignoring Skenes, try to find one way to have him better than Sanchez. Sanchez has a better ERA, better FIP, better xERA, and has pitched 15 more innings in 1 fewer start. Being a solid #1 is enough, we don't have to pretend Peralta is the best pitcher in the league when he would be the #4 on the Phillies.
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Megill may not be being overused but he will soon surpass his MLB maximum number of innings. He never had the workload that Hader or Williams had. It is a question on how much they should look to rest him given that.
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Being informed by posters on Brewerfanatic that the Brewers had no chance at winning to day, I bet all my retirement savings on a Cubs win. Now to drink a big glass of water while checking to see how much money I made.....
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Don't look now, but Henderson has outpitched Misiorowski in MLB. OK, they are very close with the same Fangraphs WAR with Henderson in fewer innings. Of course neither are in the realm of Patrick who has had a great season when allowed to pitch. Hard to say its a down year in rookies with Kurtz out there, but in the NL it really should be Collins or Baldwin unless Patrick get some more innings.
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Well at least Vaughn has neve ever had a huge month like this before right? What that's? June 2024 he hit .337/.371/.561? Well nonetheless he's clearly is just happy to be away from Chicago and he will continue hitting.
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Yep. And my guess is the Brewers are going to cut costs so much next year that even offering a healthy Woodruff a qualifying offer is going to be a lengthy debate.
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I think it was they saw a way to get Miller and needed to free up salary space quickly, so were willing to overpay to do so. If Cortes was able to make at least some post rehab MLB starts I think they probably wouldn't have had to do anything but alas.
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Yeah but cash transactions need commissioner office approval. Teams are not supposed to sell players. But taking on dead salary is OK.
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GMs may be acting on the fact that there won't be a 2027 season, so prospects with 2027 etas are going to valued weirdly.
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Naylor, Suarez to a lesser extent, Urias, Rosario.
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They don't want to ruin the 50th anniversary of 1982 by actually winning something. Just have to hold on a few more years!
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No they still have the same requirements for service time. They just often sign initial contracts in which the team renounces all rights at its conclusion.
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If healthy, he's a 3 win player. Now unless there is something in this new contract (which would be weird as a second contract but could be) he doesn't have enough service time for free agency. So while he could opt out he still maybe subject to arbitration. Anyway $16 million is providing excess value if Kim is actually healthy.
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It really isn't. The value for higher prospects is not linear. Made is a FV 60 prospect worth about $55 million which is about twice what what a FV 50 prospect is worth at about $28 million. Now some people have DeVries higher but I tend to trust fangraphs more conservative estimates on prospects than some of places that seems to be more into hyping players than evaluation.
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Now this is an extreme example, but this is why comparing cardinal rankings of prospects across teams doesn't work. Multiple FV 40+ are in the Padre's top 10 starting at number 6. The first FV 40+ prospect for the Brewers is #13.
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Their Henderson value was way low when someone pasted it here, likely based upon older rankings. Right now Henderson has a FV 50 grade, even ignoring his major league work which is worth about $20m. Suarez projects for 1.2 wins for the remaining season. If you think he is having a special season, you can maybe say 2.5 wins. That is like $24m at high valuation. He is owed like $7 million, so you are at $17m. So even with a really, really high projection of Suarez at $9m per win Henderson is an overpay. Payne, Gasser, Yoho, Crow would be in line with an overpay but not crazy.
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Well Peralta is back next year. Myers is about to turn 27, Patrick is about to turn 27, Gasser turns 27 next spring. Crow turns 25 this winter. Then the there a lots of younger pitching prospects. CRod has one more option year to be a an emergency 7/8 starter. The issue is the Brewers do have a log jam even if they keep somebody who should be in MLB in AAA and that might not be the best use of resources doing that. Now everyone throwing Henderson into trade deals is insane, but the Brewers need to thin some of the backend rotation pieces. That of course doesn't need to be in deadline deals.
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Ortiz since June 1 last season: .213/.282/.326 wRC+ 73. He started his career with two on fire months and has been bad since.
