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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    The Tulo injury hurt them badly too as he was very valuable defensively. Also losing Hawpe for a while has really hurt them.
  2. Ennder
    We don't have anywhere near a large enough sample now, baseball is a long season and jumping to conclusions over 150 PA is just not the way to handle a team.
  3. Ennder
    I'd rather keep Hardy on the team. His terrible first half of his rookie year is still suppressing those career stats somewhat and I think he has a shot to grow into an adequate OBP guy with high teen power. I also think he is a better fielder than Hall but it is a hard thing to judge. Hall makes more wow type players but Hardy is much more consistent defensively.
  4. Ennder
    Very nice post 1992casey, just had to comment on this. Groundball pitchers tend to have higher than normal BABIP, flyball pitchers have lower than normal. GB tend to lead to more hits, FB to more outs. FB tend to lead to more extra base hits, GB more singles. Being a GB pitcher will increase your BABIP and WHIP but will lower your ERA in the long run. Also the more runners a pitcher puts on base the more random ERA becomes. Defense, LOB% and BABIP fluctuate a lot more when hitters are getting on more and when they are putting more balls in play. This is why stud pitchers tend to have pretty stable ERA year to year but the Dave Bush, Jason Marquis types fluctuate a lot. GB pitchers also tend to be a little more consistent because extra base hits can really mess with ERA over small samples.
  5. Ennder
    Having a good hitter behind you probably cuts the BBs down some but your approach at the plate has a lot more to do with it than anything.
  6. Ennder
    Put me down for 14-12. I like that we get Arizona while they are scuffling a little bit and we get Colorado when half their team is hurt.
  7. Ennder
    I really do not understand today's lineup. We have some positive momentum going, probably going to be the biggest crowd of the year and we bench half of our starters all at the same time. Just makes no sense to me.
  8. Ennder
    Looks like we were all too optimistic, granted we didn't know Gallardo would be out. 13-16 was the months record. We scored fewer runs than in April and allowed more runs. Luckily we are 11-6 in 1 run games so far this year so we are still at .500 when we shouldn't be.
  9. Ennder
    On July 24th last year the Brewers were 56-44. Over the next 31 games the team went 9-22 putting them at 65-66. They then had a winning record over the rest of the season. The Brewers collapsed in late July and August and there really isn't any question about it. The Cubs didn't stay steady after their hot streak either. The Cubs went 19-5 in late June early July and that is really what pulled their season around. So if you are saying the Brewers were just good for one 34 game streak(which was really a 21 game streak as they were 7-6 for the first 13 games) then you really are saying the Cubs were only really good for one 24 game streak.
  10. Ennder
    He won't be great until he draws more walks, just like Carlos Lee is just good and not great.
  11. Ennder
    I think the argument goes one of the better defenses in the NL vs one of the worst defenses in the NL more than Maddux vs Rothschild.
  12. Ennder
    The Cubs have a bunch of overachieves and almost no underachievers so I'm not surprised by what they have done. I'm not a believer in things 'evening out' though so assuming the team plays to its talent level from here on out I doubt we have much of a chance to catch them. They have to go into a month long slump at some point for us to do it now. Basically what we did last year when we completely tanked August and gave the division to them.
  13. Ennder
    From a quick statistical standpoint we are 8 plays below average which is good for 4th worst in the NL. That number has been improving lately which agrees with my observations. We started out strong which I agree with because of all those early season double palys we got and then during our big losing streak we slid to 2nd worst in the NL and our defense really was bad during that. Now it is making a rebound just like it seems it should be. The stats seem to agree with my observations so far.
  14. Ennder
    Prince doesn't look any bigger to me either. I just can't bring myself to blame his diet over a 2 month power slump when every year a ton of players have them without any reason for it.
  15. Ennder
    I liked him when I watched ESPN regularily, but that was like 10 years ago so maybe things have changed.
  16. Ennder
    This is pretty much the cause of your issues. Vargas showed he can post below replacement level statistics and the team happened to score a ton of runs in his starts so he got double digit wins. He has not proven anything close to being able to consistently get double digit win totals. Wins are a heavily luck based stat that have almost no value when judging a pitcher.
  17. Ennder
    I'm not going to point fingers at Yost but the fact that our bullpen is in such a state that Mota was out there after going 2 IP and 26 pitches yesterday is going to be a big problem for this team.
  18. Ennder
    McClung = Dempster apparently.
  19. Ennder
    When Hardy struggles he tends to hit a lot of groundballs. The last two months of 2007 he was solid offensively so I don't think it is just the pitchers adjusted to him.
  20. Ennder
    Davis would have an ERA over 5 for us so not really. I'm not sure Eveland would ever have got his crap together without a move to another organization.
  21. Ennder
    It isn't that there is no correlation, it is the correlation isn't so strong that you can turn LD% into expected BABIP accurately. LD% is also not a very stable skill, it jumps all over from year to year.
  22. Ennder
    The Brewers as a team are -19 using plus/minus this year which is good for second worst in the NL. I was hoping the Hall/Braun/Cameron move would help more than it has so far. We are about on pace for the same defense as last year.
  23. Ennder
    Weeks will be 2nd on the team behind Fielder in OBP by the end othe year.
  24. Ennder
    Bush's K/9 is way down, his BB/9 is up, his FB% is up. Everyting about him points to him not pitching as well as he did in the past. I find it funny as heck that people are trying to use his current pitching to somehow justify past arguments regading him since our arguments agree that he should be doing worse now. I have no clue why it has happened but Bush is a much worse pitcher than he was just a year ago. It isnt' even close.
  25. Ennder
    Player slumps, go out of your way to find a reason regardless of whether or not it is true. Sums up this thread.
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