nate82

Well for one Hoskins has only hit above .250 in his career once and that was at .259 so the .260-.270 is not going to happen. He will be closer to .215 than he will ever be to .260 or above. If Black hits .290 with 15 bombs that is actually more valuable as he probably hits some more doubles than Hoskins does. If you can get .290 with 15 HR's with Black then why pay Hoskins? If Black can even get to 1/3 of the production that Hoskins does then Hoskins shouldn't be making $16mm+ a season he should be making closer to what Santana does. Unless Hoskins signs for $12mm or less per year which he won't then it is not worth signing Hoskins. Would you pay $300k for a regular Mustang or $300k for Lamborghini Huracan? Basically Hoskins is that $300k regular Mustang in this comparison. The price per performance is not worth it when you are paying a premium.

It didn’t hit the ground at all. Not sure what you are looking at.

It did not hit the ground please see the 2nd replay where it shows it clearly did not hit the ground.

Because the ball never hit the ground on the Bears catch. The ball started moving again when he rolled out of bounds so incomplete pass by the weird NFL rules on what is or isn’t a catch but is a catch but isn’t a catch.

The ball never touched the ground.

If he is hitting below .240 those bombs are going to be meaningless. I wouldn’t be surprised if Hoskins is more like Tellez going forward. You really wanna pay $16mm plus for Tellez like production?

The gushing over Belichick omg please make it stop! He wasn’t that great of a HC. He was basically awful without a franchise HOF QB. His coaching decisions both on the field and who he hired were horrible after Brady left. If he was that great of a HC he would have had a better record after Brady left. He didn’t and the game absolutely passed him by. He wouldn’t allow analytics and restricted how many coaches were on the team. He has done absolutely nothing since Brady left.

Unlikely as Hoskins isn't all that great after you take the HR's away. He is not a good hitter as he is only a career .242 / .353 / .492 hitter. His slugging in his last full year was only .462 and his OBP also dipped to a career low of .332. Would you rather pay $8mm for .242 / .356 / .432 production or $18mm for .242 / .353/ .460 production? The first is Santana and the second is Hoskins. Hoskins just won't outproduce Santana by $10mm. It would be dumb to sign Hoskins at $16mm+ for multiple seasons when you can get nearly the same production and better defense from Santana for far less. This is not being cheap either the production just doesn't justify the price difference. If it were Ohtani at $18mm versus Santana at $8mm then yes you take Ohtani at $18mm over Santana but not Hoskins. You are basically paying double for what Santana costs compared to Hoskins when you are not getting double the production or even better production. I think Hoskins will do something closer to what Bell did last year which was .247 / .325 / .419. You really want to pay Hoskins $16mm+ a season to get that kind of production? Or how about Conforto last year who hit .239 / .334 / .384 is that what you want to pay $16mm+ a season for? Black is projected for a .240 / .342 / .401 season which if he hits that would be equal to what Hoskins is likely to put up in 2024. Santana is also projected for about the same. Hoskins is not someone I want the Brewers to spend $16mm+ a season for and neither is Chapman. These players you keep bringing up are just not worth $16mm+ a season. Let some other idiot sign them for that and only get production out of them that should cost $8mm a season or less. Chapman and Hoskins are just not players teams should be investing $16mm+ a season in especially more than one season. I would rather sign JD Martinez to a one or two year deal at $14-16mm per season than go anywhere north of $8mm a season for Hoskins or Chapman. There is a reason why neither of these players have signed a contract so far. No team is willing to meet their asking price and rightfully so.

Stats wise the Packers and Bears are about even. The Bears score 1 point less per game and allow about 1.3 more than the Packers. The biggest difference is the Bears passing game which comes in at 26th versus the Packers coming in at 17th. Same thing on defense where the Bears are ranked 22nd and the Packers 11th. Sweat has helped bring some pressure but the Bears pass defense especially at safety is still really poor. The pass rush is still not all that great even with Sweat added in. Getsy is basically the Bears Berry. Getsy is an absolutely horrible OC.

Whoever has only the Jets and Patriots as an option to watch I feel bad for you. That is one boring game.

Poor QB play and poor offensive play calling?

Starting to sound like Giannis is getting annoyed with the defensive effort on this team.

I see the issues from last year where the team just goes absolutely cold for no reason is still here.

For Hoskins his minimum contract would be what Conforto signed last off season. So that is your starting point and I don't believe teams are willing to give that contract out again which is why Hoskins hasn't signed with anyone yet and there really hasn't been anything on him signing with any team right now. I think Hoskins is waiting it out until a team comes up with the AAV at or above what Conforto got currently waiting on above. The closer we get to spring training he will probably sign a 1-year deal close to what Conforto got in his AAV. That doesn't rule the Brewers out as they have done this before with Grandal but I wouldn't expect this to happen. I am not even sure Hoskins would be worth a 1-year $16-18mm contract.

But is it the QB that they want? From some scouts that I know they talk about Williams and Maye as generational QB talent and the others while good QB's are just not on the same level as them. Right now Washington is probably sitting there tanking the rest of the way to keep that #2 pick so they don't have to trade up to get one of the two QB's. Though I have heard Washington prefers Williams over Maye and the Patriots also prefer Williams though the scouts have to convince Belichick to actually take him but it is sounding like Belichick might be on his way out. If that happens I think Kraft will want the new GM and HC to draft a franchise QB putting pressure on them to get that #1 pick. If the Patriots win against the Jets I think this may save Belichick as a HC but he won't be the GM anymore at least. I think that is what the meeting was about today between Kraft and Belichick he can stay as the HC but he needs to relinquish the GM role. I don't think Belichick will accept this and the Patriots will let him go because of this. In the end I think the Bears trade Fields to the Falcons for a 3rd round pick though I have read they could get a 2nd round pick but nothing higher than a 2nd. If they do that I think they should still trade that #1 pick for multiple picks and try to get a 1st this year in the 4-8 range and a flurry of 2nd and 3rd picks either in the 2024 draft or in the 2025 draft.

So the Bears essentially have the #1 and #10 pick in the draft. I still don't like Fields but it looks like they are going to keep him and trade out of the #1 pick. There are some rumors that the Bears could receive up to 3 1st round picks plus a 2nd round or a veteran player for that #1 pick. I prefer to trade Fields and get a 3rd-5th round pick for him and then reset the cap situation at the QB spot with a rookie QB deal. But multiple 1sts and a 2nd round pick for that #1 pick is tempting especially if it is from the Patriots.

The ETF's will solve this and I am almost 100% confident the SEC is going to pass these. There are too many big name financial banks that are supporting these ETF's for the SEC to deny them.

Majority of HS players who play the IF are also labeled as SS. Usually your best and most athletic are either playing SS or CF. So nearly every OF in HS and internationally are labeled either as SS or CF even if they will never play a single inning at SS or CF in their baseball careers. It is also the same with pitchers everyone is a SP there are very few who are labeled as RP.

Kind of like the Heat in the past few years where the Bucks just couldn't find a way to win against them especially in the playoffs.

This is a mistake. If the ETF bitcoins are approved by the SEC then Bitcoin will start to stabilize. Even if you drop bitcoin to just 0.5% you should be fine. One of the biggest mistakes by retirees is getting out of high risk investments. You are losing out on potential gains by doing this and putting you at risk on relying solely on your low risk assets which may not keep up with inflation.

Good mix but I would add bitcoin to the real-estate fund/gold. Maybe do something like 1.5% bitcoin, 1.5% gold and 2% REIT.

Salaries are not tied to income as income is everything after expenses. If you mean revenue then also no. It is not until you get to budgeting where salaries are determined. This is the bottom line that a company wants to make. It then allocates the expense amount compared to the income the company wants to make. Income doesn’t drive salaries as that is already included in the income stage. If you want to compare the percentage the players get based on revenue sure that maybe an outlier but CEO’s and other executive types also fall under this. So not really an outlier. As sales people also receive a higher percentage when compared to revenue. Sports are also not an outlier in economics as they follow the same economic rules as any other entertainment industry does. Not an outlier unless you can find an economics paper saying otherwise.

Tell me you know nothing about economics without saying you know nothing about economics.

If you read my full post and didn't stop at the first part it is fairly obvious I am talking about today's dollars compared to 1989.

That same contract today would be about $8mm a season. So 3 years $24mm is what it would cost you for that contract today. There is no way you are getting someone like Yount for that. Actual contract is probably closer to 3 years $48mm taking his age into consideration in 1989. So you need to double the amount given out to those players after taking inflation into consideration. Even Reggie Jackson in 1976 would only cost about $4mm today per season. Definitely not signing anyone like Reggie for about $4mm today. If Reggie were a FA now he would be getting something closer to $20-$25mm a season. You are looking at about a 900% increase in FA cost from the 70’s-90’s. It is not until about 2000 where FA deals start to normalize and there isn’t as wide of a gap between the top players and now. That is only about a 20-year gap now.