nate82
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Everything posted by nate82
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Trade Deadline: What Would You Do?
nate82 replied to wallus's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I believe the Blue Jays will be out of it by mid July and should start selling. While they won't be selling Bichette or Vlad I think the Brewers could get someone like Kikuchi who would be a solid add to the rotation. Kikuchi is only signed for this season so the Brewers wouldn't have to trade any of their top prospects. Something like Brown and Blalock for Kikuchi could work. Kikuchi would fit in nicely behind Peralta in the rotation. Another rotation option could be Tyler Anderson and he has another year of control yet at a fairly reasonable price of $13mm. His ERA is deceiving at 2.37 right now as his FIP 4.67 and xFIP 5.07 suggest he is getting a bit lucky and he has a .210 BABIP right now with a very low K/9 at 5.92. With an almost 90% LOB% also. I don't think it would take much to get him from the Angels. I would prefer Kikuchi over Anderson. If the Dbacks are out of it I think either Joc Pederson or Christian Walker would be good targets. This is what I would do. Trade #1: Kikuchi to the Brewers for Brown and Blalock Trade #2: Severino to the Brewers for Bauers and the Brewers comp B pick. Trade #3: Walker to the Brewers for Adams and Juan Baez This gives the Brewers two good starting pitchers to put behind Peralta and a better defensive 1B in Walker over Hoskins. Hoskins moves permanently to DH. You could change Pederson for Walker but then you will have to live with the poor defense from Hoskins at 1B. I don't think Pederson can play 1B. -
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He has a career 124 wRC+. When he is on the field he has lived up to his hype.
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Bad news today for anyone who was holding out hope for 2+ rate reductions this year. Currently the market only has about a 10% chance for a rate cut in July and only a 50% chance in September. July was closer to 30% only a few months ago and September was around 70%. I still don't expect a rate decrease this year or at least not until after the election.
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Yes financials matter. Crypto is far more complicated and are more like fiat currencies. Also looking at the future GameStop is in a dying industry. Majority of video games are going digital. Which cuts into GameStop’s profits. A lot of their profits come from the reselling of games. Since these are going from a disk to digital this is going to cut their profits. They were making something around 200% on their used games. This has been drying up and their sales have been dropping because of this.
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I would do this trade as quickly as possible if that is what the White Sox wanted. The only pain would be losing Boeve but I fine with that though I would maybe flip Wilken instead of Boeve. Wilken hasn't looked all that good in AA so far and that is the biggest test for a prospect and Boeve has looked really good in AA so far. I would prefer to trade Brown over all of them but he may not have the value or what the White Sox are looking for. I think Misio and Quero wouldn't be on the table for a Robert trade. If they are then I think that is all the White Sox would get other than some lower level prospects like Adams or O'Rae.
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No, it would take too many good prospects and I don't want to get in a bidding war with the Padres who will just dump all of their prospects and won't care about it. I am also not sure Crochet will even make it to the end of the season as a starter. He could have a serious arm or shoulder issue if he stays on the pace he is at.
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I put Alonso as far better as I believe he will be able to stay healthy and you know actually play 1B unlike Hoskins. Health to me gives Alonso a notch above Hoskins thus being far better.
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Your buckets don't make any logical sense that is why. This is not to pick on you just that your hypothesis is faulty because of your buckets. You are making them lean to where you want them to lean. To make it more logical if you move the buckets it actually makes your hypothesis a bit stronger. Though what you are suggesting basically puts you at the same conclusion as sveumrules. Regardless of the highs and lows the middle numbers are about on par with the others you are comparing them to. Only two teams in your list out rank them and the others are within the margin of error.
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and you would be completely wrong.
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-72.3 career total Def for Hoskins and -65.2 for Alonso. Both suck but Hoskins sucks more.
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LOL not surprised Ham was canned. He was never going to be able to get a team that fit him with Lebron in LA.
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Same with Hoskins but he is much worse.
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If you are going to do that then you need to change the middle to 4-5 and high be 6+ otherwise your curve is not going to match your high and low.
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Not sure what resigning anyone the Brewers trade for even matters. Hoskins is a horrible 1B and probably will go in the IL again at some point this season. Hoskins is basically the DH for the Brewers when Yelich or Contreras don't need a day off. Alonso is also a far better 1B than Hoskins is right now and you don't have the injury concern with Alonso like you have with Hoskins. Hoskins is a DH not a 1B. The money is not a problem. Mark A has said he would increase the payroll if needed in the past. So I don't see that as being a problem.
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That one has rallied also recently. Yes I know it was a good meme stock in 2020 but now not so much. It is so over priced right now compared to its financials. If anyone is in it I would suggest to get out and take your gains or minimize your losses as soon as possible. That stock should be trading below $5 a share. It's revenue just doesn't support the $40 it is currently at.
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It is probably another year where the Brewers are rumored to be interested in Joc Pederson just saying. He is having a really good year with the Dbacks though he is mostly a DH now. I would put Tyler O'Neill as another possibility but he is always injured and is currently on and off the IL nearly every month. I have mentioned Kikuchi before and I still think he would be a solid target if Toronto makes him available which they should. Another Dback that I am not really fond of is Christian Walker who maybe available if the Dbacks continue to flounder. I have mentioned Alonso before. If the Brewers get aggressive I think they could get him early before anyone else gets on him. I would do a Frelick, Bauers and a minor prospect for him or something like Brown/Lara, Bauers and a lower end prospect. I think Alonso would allow the Brewers to put Adames at 5 and then Hoskins at 6. Turang, Contreras, Yelich, Alonso, Adames and then Hoskins would be a really good 1-6. You could even substitute Ortiz in for Turang.
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What is more alarming the Brewers only scoring 2 runs against the Phillies best pitchers or the Phillies only scoring 7 runs against the Brewers worst starting pitchers? I think it is the Phillies being the biggest worry here. They only scored 4 runs against some really poor starting pitching. The other 3 runs were scored off the Brewers bullpen. The Phillies offense scored 0 runs off of Rea and only scored 2 runs off of Ashby and Wilson each. The Phillies offense looked just as bad if not worse than the Brewers offense in this 3-game series against worse pitching.
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I believe they will be having a stock split on Friday for 10-1. But I don't think that is what is driving the price going up. Well it is driving it just not the primary reason.
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I don’t see the Marlins having any interest in Turang or Ortiz. This also doesn’t make any sense for the Brewers. This is just digging in the hole you are to fill in the hole you are in.
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No. I don’t see the Marlins accepting that. Wiemer and Mitchell have very little value they are basically throw in players right now. I am not sure the Marlins would want Crod either. Black is interesting but I think they would want Wilken or Quero over Black. If you want Luzardo you are going to have to give up one of Quero, Misio or Wilken and then a couple of other pieces and no Wiemer or Mitchell are not one of those other pieces.
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White Sox (Fedde) vs Brewers (Myers): 5/31/24, 7:10pm
nate82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
There were some on this board who were calling for the Brewers to sign him and then calling the Brewers cheap because they didn't sign him. There were plenty of predictions about him not living up to the contract. The Mets and White Sox both gave out huge contracts like candy on Halloween and neither team is all that competitive now. Unless you have a generational player (Judge, Ohtani, Harper, etc.) then spending a lot in FA and for a long term contract is not a wise decision. It is like signing an aging RB in NFL FA you may get something nice once in a hundred times but ninety nine times out of a hundred you are getting a flaming bag of poo. I bet the majority of long term contracts for non star players and even some star players (Pujols, Rendon) are just absolutely horrible and not worth the trouble of even signing these players to long term contracts. -
I wouldn’t be surprised if it is the Brewers trading for Alonso and I don’t think they will have to give up anyone in their top 5 to do so. Bauers also sounds like someone Stearns would target in return. He wouldn’t be the headliner but someone who would be coming back to fill in at 1B for the rest of the year. Something like Brown, Bauers and O’Rae for Alonso. Probably have to replace Brown with someone better like Pratt/Lara/Yophery Rodriguez.
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Luzardo would be the best but you are right he would cost a lot in prospect capital and I am not willing to give that up for 2.5 years of control. Another option if you want to go down the just for this season route would be Yusei Kikuchi from Toronto. If you want to go big Braxton Garrett has also been rumored to be available though I think I would wait on the Marlins and possibly talk with them in the off season and see if they would be willing to deal Alcantara in the off season. He won't have as much value in the off season so the Marlins may hold on him to get a better return or just keep him going forward. If I were to deal with the Rays I would see if they would include Arozarena in the Littel deal. Arozarena has been bad this year offensively but the Brewers have picked someone up from the Rays who was playing poorly before and it worked out (Adames). Maybe something like Wiemer/Lara, Wichrowski and a DSL player for Littel and Arozarena could be close? If you want Luzardo I think the Marlins would ask for a Quero/Black/Misio/Wilken + deal. I don't think you will need to give up more than one of the Brewers top 10 prospects and I think the Marlins would be more interested in a bat than pitching. I know the bullpen has been great so far but I wouldn't mind picking up Puk. I think the Royals will splurge on Luzardo and I wouldn't want to get in a bidding war for that. The Cubs or Cardinals may also get in on Luzardo. I would rather get Kikuchi or Verlander if the Astros falter but it looks like they are playing like expected recently.
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Cubs (Brown) vs Brewers (Peralta): 5/28/24, 6:40pm
nate82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Nightengale is wrong. The Mets never offered CC anything.
