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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. nate82
    Frelick is looking over matched the last few games. Probably best to send him back to AAA once Canha arrives.
  2. nate82
    Baseball savant is basically MLB. The strike zone on that site is about 90% accurate. It is not exactly the same as the one umpires are graded on but it is the closest one we have. The strike zone on baseball savant can be off a bit depending on where the teams have their cameras setup at their stadiums.
  3. nate82
    Not sure what you mean by this. The last pitch was too close to take.
  4. nate82
    Burger is closer to Hiura than he is to Adames offensively, both K way too much to be anything but boom or a lot of bust well mostly bust 60% of the time.
  5. nate82
    I think the plan for Chourio is to finish out the season in AA. It was extremely aggressive putting him at AA to start the year. I think he stays there for the whole year and the Brewers will assess if he should be in AA or AAA to start next year. Now Black I could definitely see getting to AAA after the deadline and I wouldn't be surprised if Black is starting the year with the Brewers and skipping AAA completely next year.
  6. nate82
    Scott Barlow is probably my #1 target for the Brewers. He has had a really bad July in giving up runs and walks but all of his other underlying stats say he should be pitching better. He would also be under control for 2024 so not a 1-year rental. I think Barlow would solidify the Brewers bullpen giving them another 7th or 8th inning option. I am intrigued with Dylan Carlson but I don't think the Cardinals would trade him within the division. Tommy Pham is another bat I would like to see the Brewers add. I would really like to see the Brewers go '21 Braves and add 2-3 more bats along with a reliever or starter at the deadline. Another name to watch is Laureano though he hasn't hit all that much this year but he has hit lefties ok. It wouldn't cost all that much to get Laureano from the A's probably one or two lottery tickets at most.
  7. nate82
    Do you have a source for this because everywhere I look their active total payroll is around $140mm and not $105mm.
  8. nate82
    Hiura is probably just going through his normal boom or bust phase like he did last year in Sept/Oct when he got the most PA's the whole year. Hiura's 2022 Sept/Oct splits: 20 games played with 66 PA's .167/.227/.283
  9. nate82
    Because he is a DH and they have a cheaper version with Burger who they are trying to fit into the lineup everyday. The problem with the White Sox is that they have a bunch of DH/1B playing the field in Burger, Jimenez, Vaughn and Sheets. At some point you have to get better defensively otherwise all that offense is wasted. They have Burger for two more years under pre arbitration and he doesn't hit arbitration until 2026. If the White Sox can get some pitching and a better defender back in return for Jimenez for '24 it makes sense to trade Jimenez who would bring back a good pitching prospect along with a good positional prospect.
  10. nate82
    You won't be able to just salary dump Yelich. You will have to take on a portion of Yelich's contract. Somewhere around 10-15% of his contract depending on the team you are trading him to. Even large market teams are going to require the Brewers to eat some of that contract especially if they are over the cap or will be going over the cap.
  11. nate82
    Its because their main target Adames is not available. I am wondering if the Dodgers checked in on Anderson and found the price to be not to their liking.
  12. nate82
    Within the last couple of years they have been focusing more on development and getting players that they can develop. The people doing the drafting have also changed so Johnson and company have only been doing this for the last few years so Hiura wouldn't count towards this.
  13. nate82
    I think the Brewers go after a reliever and one that fits their mold is Barlow from the Royals. While he is not all that great this year he would be an improvement as the 4th or 5th option in the bullpen. He also shouldn't cost all that much to acquire.
  14. nate82
    Right but that has only been recently. The Brewers past track record has not been as good.
  15. nate82
    It is not mostly luck it is all about development. The Brewers haven't even been that great at developing players until recently. The Angels have been far worse at developing the players they have drafted.
  16. nate82
    I still believe methane is probably the best option at least for heavy equipment. Methane when mixed correctly can have lower emissions than diesel. The diesel engines would also be a lot easier and cheaper to upgrade and adapt to accept methane. The US also has a lot of methane either naturally or from our large landfills. It is also a good renewable when mixed correctly to emit lower green house gases. I don't think methane is a good source for consumers but for heavy construction equipment and even semi trucks this would be an improvement over diesel without sacrificing efficiency. I think for hydrogen the biggest improvement for that will be with airplanes especially commercial jet airplanes.
  17. nate82
    Because 1st round picks are extremely volatile in the MLB draft. It has more to do with a draft as a whole plus international players. Which the Angels have mostly ignored except for recently and other than Shohei they have all been busts so far. You need to be able to draft and develop players in all of the rounds which the Brewers have been able to do with Burnes, Woodruff, Ashby and others. Garrett Mitchell also has 1.3 WAR in only 44 games. Frelick has also put up 0.4 WAR in only 4 games so far. Wiemer has put up 1.3 WAR in 99 games so far but is not a 1st round pick. First round picks can be very volatile just take the 2017 draft as an example the Brewers took Hiura 9th overall and he has a fwar of 2.9 while the Angels took Jo Adell with the 10th pick for a -1.5 fWAR. If you go by just WAR the Angels haven't really out performed the Brewers by much and if you take all of their 1st round picks into consideration the Brewers are actually better and that is mostly due to Adell and his negative fWAR.
  18. nate82
    Could also move Peralta to the bullpen if the Brewers acquire another starter.
  19. nate82
    If the Cardinals decide to trade Arenado it will be for pitching and unfortunately the Brewers just don't have the prospects to outbid anyone other than a few teams who wouldn't be trading for Arenado. The Dodgers would easily be able to match and beat any offer the Brewers put out there for Arenado even if the Brewers included Chourio in the deal.
  20. nate82
    I doubt there will be much out there to target. Maybe you can get the White Sox to listen on Jimenez or maybe you can get the A's to listen on Soderstrom. I think the A's and the Brewers lineup fairly well for an off season trade either Wiemer/Mitchell to the A's for Soderstrom. That could be a possibility for a deadline deal also. Though I don't think the Brewers would trade Wiemer now but in the off season that could be a possibility.
  21. nate82
    The Braves replaced Acuna's production in 2021 when he went down with multiple band aids. Acquiring all star talent is not needed. You can acquire players that improve your situation moderately and have it be a better move. In 2021 which trades would you have done if you were the Braves acquiring 4 OF's (Pederson, Soler, Duval and Rosario) versus Bryant or Turner and Scherzer? The acquiring of Pederson, Soler, Duval and Rosario basically won the WS for the Braves in 2021. The Giants acquiring Bryant got them a divisional title but were beat out by the Dodgers. The Dodgers then get killed by the Braves in 6 games. Sometimes giving up premium talent for all stars is just not worth it. The return on investment for the Braves was far better than what the Dodgers and Giants got in return.
  22. nate82
    The Dodgers do have what the Cardinals would be looking for and that is pitching something the Brewers farm system is lacking.
  23. nate82
    That would be a good get but it is hard to nail down a price for him. Will probably have to overpay to get him and I am not sure it would be worth it.
  24. nate82
    Not to mention you don't need to acquire all star talent to get an improvement. The Braves did this in 2021 by acquiring 0 All Star talent and yet won the WS. The biggest trade Sherzer and Turner didn't improve the Dodgers all that much and they didn't make it to the WS and lost to the team that didn't get an All Star type of talent at the deadline. There are other examples of this also.
  25. nate82
    I am assuming this means either Winker will be DFA'd after he returns from the IL or Tellez is going to take longer to return.
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