nate82

Nick Saban is retiring.

Bowden said this about a Red Sox trade for Burnes. “They touched base with the Brewers on Corbin Burnes and that went nowhere”. https://theathletic.com/5192108/2024/01/10/mlb-offseason-trades-free-agents-teams/?source=user_shared_article

Their lack of prospect capital.

No idea on the models being used but I think it is safe to say they are using a more conservative number for defense and bullpen when plugging it into the model.

No Wiemer and Turang wouldn’t get it done along with Burnes. The only way the Brewers get Lee is if it is for Peralta. The Twins wouldn’t trade for Turang either as he doesn’t fit their current team needs. They have enough players who can play SS/2B.

Vrabel fired by Titans. Weird that they would fire Vrabel when there were rumors of the Patriots possibly trading for him. Vrabel should be the next Patriots HC to replace Belichick.

One has already bowed out in the Braves for Cease and Burnes and went with Sale. The Dodgers still could go out and get Burnes but it would be on their terms and not the Brewers. So if it is the Dodgers expect something extremely light where the Brewers don't even consider the trade. I don't believe the Orioles have ever been in on or involved with a Burnes trade. Maybe for Peralta but I don't think they would give up the prospects to get someone like Peralta. Which comes to the Cease problem, the Orioles have been connected to Cease but it doesn't look like the Orioles are willing to part with any of their prospects even for Cease. If Cease or Burnes do get traded it is because the Brewers and White Sox GM's decide to take what they can get now than risk waiting for the trade deadline, which I don't believe will happen so no trade for either. It is either take a lesser offer from the Yankees, Orioles or Dodgers or wait it out until the deadline.

I don’t think this is a coaching problem. The team has just been lazy and not doing the little things they were doing last year. Maybe they are focusing on stopping the three ball too much and need to go back too dominating the paint defensively. Lopez is a bad defender the further away from the basket he gets. He just can’t move like he used to. Middleton also looks like he is no longer above average defensively. Beasley is probably the biggest problem defensively along with Portis. Portis just doesn’t look the same defensively or offensively as he did last year. I think this team is just getting old and are not elite defensively anymore other the Giannis and then Lopez as long as he doesn’t have to move away from the basket. I just don’t believe this team will get much better defensively. There just isn’t anywhere to improve or get improvement from a trade.

I didn’t think it was possible to look this bad on defense but somehow the Bucks are showing how bad they are.

It clearly shows it hits his arm and then bounces up. Nowhere in that video does it show it hitting the ground.

Well for one Hoskins has only hit above .250 in his career once and that was at .259 so the .260-.270 is not going to happen. He will be closer to .215 than he will ever be to .260 or above. If Black hits .290 with 15 bombs that is actually more valuable as he probably hits some more doubles than Hoskins does. If you can get .290 with 15 HR's with Black then why pay Hoskins? If Black can even get to 1/3 of the production that Hoskins does then Hoskins shouldn't be making $16mm+ a season he should be making closer to what Santana does. Unless Hoskins signs for $12mm or less per year which he won't then it is not worth signing Hoskins. Would you pay $300k for a regular Mustang or $300k for Lamborghini Huracan? Basically Hoskins is that $300k regular Mustang in this comparison. The price per performance is not worth it when you are paying a premium.

It didn’t hit the ground at all. Not sure what you are looking at.

It did not hit the ground please see the 2nd replay where it shows it clearly did not hit the ground.

Because the ball never hit the ground on the Bears catch. The ball started moving again when he rolled out of bounds so incomplete pass by the weird NFL rules on what is or isn’t a catch but is a catch but isn’t a catch.

The ball never touched the ground.

If he is hitting below .240 those bombs are going to be meaningless. I wouldn’t be surprised if Hoskins is more like Tellez going forward. You really wanna pay $16mm plus for Tellez like production?

The gushing over Belichick omg please make it stop! He wasn’t that great of a HC. He was basically awful without a franchise HOF QB. His coaching decisions both on the field and who he hired were horrible after Brady left. If he was that great of a HC he would have had a better record after Brady left. He didn’t and the game absolutely passed him by. He wouldn’t allow analytics and restricted how many coaches were on the team. He has done absolutely nothing since Brady left.

Unlikely as Hoskins isn't all that great after you take the HR's away. He is not a good hitter as he is only a career .242 / .353 / .492 hitter. His slugging in his last full year was only .462 and his OBP also dipped to a career low of .332. Would you rather pay $8mm for .242 / .356 / .432 production or $18mm for .242 / .353/ .460 production? The first is Santana and the second is Hoskins. Hoskins just won't outproduce Santana by $10mm. It would be dumb to sign Hoskins at $16mm+ for multiple seasons when you can get nearly the same production and better defense from Santana for far less. This is not being cheap either the production just doesn't justify the price difference. If it were Ohtani at $18mm versus Santana at $8mm then yes you take Ohtani at $18mm over Santana but not Hoskins. You are basically paying double for what Santana costs compared to Hoskins when you are not getting double the production or even better production. I think Hoskins will do something closer to what Bell did last year which was .247 / .325 / .419. You really want to pay Hoskins $16mm+ a season to get that kind of production? Or how about Conforto last year who hit .239 / .334 / .384 is that what you want to pay $16mm+ a season for? Black is projected for a .240 / .342 / .401 season which if he hits that would be equal to what Hoskins is likely to put up in 2024. Santana is also projected for about the same. Hoskins is not someone I want the Brewers to spend $16mm+ a season for and neither is Chapman. These players you keep bringing up are just not worth $16mm+ a season. Let some other idiot sign them for that and only get production out of them that should cost $8mm a season or less. Chapman and Hoskins are just not players teams should be investing $16mm+ a season in especially more than one season. I would rather sign JD Martinez to a one or two year deal at $14-16mm per season than go anywhere north of $8mm a season for Hoskins or Chapman. There is a reason why neither of these players have signed a contract so far. No team is willing to meet their asking price and rightfully so.

Stats wise the Packers and Bears are about even. The Bears score 1 point less per game and allow about 1.3 more than the Packers. The biggest difference is the Bears passing game which comes in at 26th versus the Packers coming in at 17th. Same thing on defense where the Bears are ranked 22nd and the Packers 11th. Sweat has helped bring some pressure but the Bears pass defense especially at safety is still really poor. The pass rush is still not all that great even with Sweat added in. Getsy is basically the Bears Berry. Getsy is an absolutely horrible OC.

Whoever has only the Jets and Patriots as an option to watch I feel bad for you. That is one boring game.

Poor QB play and poor offensive play calling?

Starting to sound like Giannis is getting annoyed with the defensive effort on this team.

I see the issues from last year where the team just goes absolutely cold for no reason is still here.

For Hoskins his minimum contract would be what Conforto signed last off season. So that is your starting point and I don't believe teams are willing to give that contract out again which is why Hoskins hasn't signed with anyone yet and there really hasn't been anything on him signing with any team right now. I think Hoskins is waiting it out until a team comes up with the AAV at or above what Conforto got currently waiting on above. The closer we get to spring training he will probably sign a 1-year deal close to what Conforto got in his AAV. That doesn't rule the Brewers out as they have done this before with Grandal but I wouldn't expect this to happen. I am not even sure Hoskins would be worth a 1-year $16-18mm contract.

But is it the QB that they want? From some scouts that I know they talk about Williams and Maye as generational QB talent and the others while good QB's are just not on the same level as them. Right now Washington is probably sitting there tanking the rest of the way to keep that #2 pick so they don't have to trade up to get one of the two QB's. Though I have heard Washington prefers Williams over Maye and the Patriots also prefer Williams though the scouts have to convince Belichick to actually take him but it is sounding like Belichick might be on his way out. If that happens I think Kraft will want the new GM and HC to draft a franchise QB putting pressure on them to get that #1 pick. If the Patriots win against the Jets I think this may save Belichick as a HC but he won't be the GM anymore at least. I think that is what the meeting was about today between Kraft and Belichick he can stay as the HC but he needs to relinquish the GM role. I don't think Belichick will accept this and the Patriots will let him go because of this. In the end I think the Bears trade Fields to the Falcons for a 3rd round pick though I have read they could get a 2nd round pick but nothing higher than a 2nd. If they do that I think they should still trade that #1 pick for multiple picks and try to get a 1st this year in the 4-8 range and a flurry of 2nd and 3rd picks either in the 2024 draft or in the 2025 draft.