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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. nate82
    The other person I was replying to.
  2. nate82
    Yes but that is still not a zero percent chance. It is possible the Brewers go against what they have done previously and move Wilken up. It is impossible to say for certain what the Brewers plans are for Wilken.
  3. nate82
    If everything goes right it is possible he makes it up to the Brewers. Probably as a September call up. I wouldn’t say he won’t be up for another year. Prospects don’t tend to be on a linear path.
  4. nate82
    I think I just heard more about a kicker in a game since Madden going on a bumbling rant about Summerall.
  5. nate82
    Watching Ferguson lineup off the offensive line just reminds me how bad of a HC PC was. How do you have someone like that and very rarely if ever line him up in the slot or off of the offensive line? He was an absolute bumbling idiot when it came to taking advantage of the players he had and calling good plays and being more creative than a crayon.
  6. nate82
    If you go from 1% to 2% that is still an increase in sales. It maybe a small amount but it is still an increase. Even if the Dodgers current out of market sales is 3% if Ohtani increases that to 5% that is still a win for the Dodgers and will be an improvement over what they are doing now. So the Dodgers bottom line will improve how much it improves no idea but it will improve but probably just at a smaller rate. The out of market sales is what is going to improve here not the in market maybe for a season it improves for in market but out of market sales is what the Dodgers will see an increase in.
  7. nate82
    I think the Dodgers will. Ohtani is the closest thing to an NBA superstar where fans regardless if they are Dodgers fans or not will buy his jersey or merchandise. The last player who had a following like this was Trout and before that it was Griffey. MLB typically doesn't have these types of players because it is more of a local market only unlike the NBA where it is mostly a player driven market. The NFL also doesn't have an Ohtani or a LeBron like phenom where consumers will buy a players jersey and don't really follow the team the player is playing for. MLB, NFL and the NHL are all local market driven as there are very few to none where you will have someone or multiple players be their own market. So I believe the Dodgers will definitely make a lot more off of Ohtani than they will of Freeman and Betts. It is possible Ohtani could reach just general Dodgers merchandise levels. You can't look at it as just Dodgers fans buying Ohtani merchandise but also non Dodgers fans which as I have stated previously is usually not the case for MLB teams. Ohtani is just in a different class than any other player in MLB right now. The only one who rivals him is Trout and he isn't even close to being on the same level as Ohtani is.
  8. nate82
    I don't think Lux is a great player. He has had one good year so far. I think he is limited to 2B only and is not a SS. I think counting on him being a SS will be a big mistake. Also counting on him replicating his 2022 season is also foolish. He is also only just an above average base runner though he is in the top 89 percentile in sprint speed. With the torn ACL, LCL and a hamstring tear that could sap a lot of his speed. If he drops to lets say the 70th percentile in sprint speed and with his base running at 69th percentile how far will he drop there? If he drops to about average around 50th percentile then he starts losing value. That 3.0 fWAR is going to drop to around a 2.0 fWAR. He does have a lot of range in fielding but I am wondering if this is more shift based. With the current rules of no shifting is Lux really that great of a fielder without the shift? There are way too many question marks on Lux for him to be in a Burnes deal. Maybe if he is a throw in but I doubt the Dodgers do that. Lux has very little value right now on the trade market because of the injuries and the question marks of how he will perform after these injuries.
  9. nate82
    If a cap comes with a floor the players union will be somewhat in favor of it. The problem is the owners won't agree to a floor. Also some type of revenue sharing with the MLBPA would need to be agreed on and the owners have not shown any interest in sharing any revenue.
  10. nate82
    Ummm Wilken finished the year in AA. It is also his most likely starting point in ‘24.
  11. nate82
    Why Gavin Lux? Is it because he is from WI?
  12. nate82
    Braves-Angels trade:
  13. nate82
    The Red Sox basically gave up a couple of nobodies for a questionable bat. O'Neill is good if he is healthy but that is a big IF. The Cardinals got a AAAA bounce me around pitcher and a 7th or 8th man out of the bullpen piece. Definitely sold low on O'Neill there.
  14. nate82
    And also commit a lot of war crimes. Do not anger the nice Canadians....... Please note the war crimes thing is a running joke about Canadians in the military.
  15. nate82
    Fairly accurate for player values. Not perfect but it is the best that we have.
  16. nate82
    Jasson Dominguez isn't really a buy low candidate especially with how he finished playing in NY to end the season. From the Yankess perspective Dominguez would be the main piece going out with one or two other lower end prospects. Jones and Hampton would be close to what Burnes value is. If you get a bidding war you could probably up that to someone like Gleyber Torres. So Jones, Hampton and Torres or someone like Torres for Burnes. I am not that familiar with the Yankees farm system to find someone like Torres to include so Torres it is. I don't believe the Brewers would have all that much interest in Torres and I am not sure the Yankees really match up all that well with the Brewers either.
  17. nate82
    If Ohtani signs with the Blue Jays or someone else that will make it two years in a row where the Giants have offered large contracts to the #1 FA. Supposedly the Giants offer to Judge last year was more than what the Yankees offered I believe? I could be wrong on this. But if Ohtani also forgoes the Giants is this something that is telling about the Giants or just some white noise?
  18. nate82
    That would be good for the Brewers at least for a Burnes trade. That leaves the Braves, Rangers, Dodgers and Giants all looking for starters.
  19. nate82
    January 12th is the date this time. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-offseason-key-dates-free-agency-start-awards-winter-meetings-hall-of-fame-spring-training-and-more/amp/
  20. nate82
    This is an awesome read on the Bucks pick and roll issues and success. https://theathletic.com/5100682/2023/12/07/giannis-dame-bucks-pick-and-roll/?source=user_shared_article Antetokounmpo-Lillard pick-and-roll is a work in progress but showing signs of awesome potential
  21. nate82
    I think it will be Santana as he is another strong clubhouse guy. Having Adames and Santana in the clubhouse to help Chourio and the other younger players navigate a MLB season is a huge positive.
  22. nate82
    Loki was good and far better than any of their recent movies.
  23. nate82
    Probably not with the minor league catchers at least not after spring training. The Brewers do like to spread out the responsibilities so he still maybe leading that instead of being the one doing the instructing. It is impossible to tell without one of the beat writers asking this question.
  24. nate82
    I think Turang will get closer to what Cronenworth did last year with a full season. So I don't see it being that much of a difference. I also believe that Cronenworth is going to continue to decline. Also taking contracts involved is 46 points of OBP and 105 points of slugging significantly better when comparing what you are paying for each?
  25. nate82
    Recently he hasn't been all that much better than Turang. 2023 Cronenworth: .229/.331/.405 2023 Turang: .218/.285/.300 Other than slugging there really isn't much of a difference between '23 Turang and '23 Cronenworth. If it only takes Bauers for Cronenworth with the Padres paying about 15% of Cronenworth's salary sure that would be fine. I don't think the Padres would be interested in that.
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