nate82

Keith Law has his latest mock out and he has the Brewers taking: https://theathletic.com/3413419/2022/07/11/mlb-mock-draft-2022-orioles/

I think he is an interesting prospect but he looks to be a late round pick somewhere around 8th-10th round.

Another name to watch is Vanderbilt’s Spencer Jones. He is flying up teams draft boards comps to Judge when he was drafted by the Yankees.

Also new this year the draft-and-follow is returning for any player drafted after the 10th round. A player who is drafted after the 10th round and they go to a JUCO they can be designated as a draft-and-follow player. The team will also have to sign the player before the 2023 draft. If the team doesn't sign the player before the 2023 draft that pick is then forfeited so if a player does well in JUCO they can refuse to sign and reenter the draft. The amount the player signs for will still count against the $225k slot. I believe this would count against the draft that they were drafted in so for teams that do draft-and-follow may not spend all of their draft pool. But then again if the player is going to significantly go over the $225k slot value then they are probably going to re-enter the draft.

Very weak for college pitchers. Seems to be a top heavy draft where most of the talent is but this is true for nearly every MLB draft. This draft seems to be very hitter heavy but that isn't really out of the norm for most drafts for MLB. There is a lot of value from the 2nd-5th round in this draft. High School players are ranked higher in this draft but there are a lot of tough signs so a team would have to be willing to go over slot to get some. Overall I think this is just an average draft class for MLB though Druw Jones and Elijah Green look to be good superstar like talent. There is also a lot of former MLB players kids in this draft which is weird and also making me feel old as CC Sabathia's son is also in this draft though he is currently unranked and is committed to Georgia Tech as a 1B/3B. I think I am going to change my pick to Sterlin Thompson 3B (Florida). He has a lot of power in his bat but it hasn't shown up during games. I think this is someone that the Brewers will pick to see if they can fix his timing issues and tap into that raw power. Thompson is also someone who can play all over the field which is the type of player that the Brewers have been targeting as of late in trades.

Beck has a problem with being impatient and will take overly aggressive hacks. Basically he is a clone of Hunter Renfroe. Beck has less holes in his swing compared to Melendez. Melendez’s issue with his swing is that it is a bit slow. Both have K issues but I would be less concerned with Beck’s than I would be with Melendez’s.

You haven't read what the author is talking about. He is not talking about trickle down theory in fact it doesn't even exist. From Thomas Sowell's book Basic Economics: “’Trickle down’ has been a characterization and rejection of what somebody else supposedly believed.” But “no recognized economist of any school of thought has ever had any such theory or made any such proposal. It is a straw man. It cannot be found in even the most voluminous and learned histories of economic theories.”

Neither of those links prove it to be wrong. They are just talking about the estimates and are talking about the deficit. You actually have to decrease spending in order to decrease the deficit which apparently our government officials don't understand. The basis behind cutting tax rates is to discourage people from investing in tax havens. If you lower the rate enough to where the tax havens are not as profitable there is more revenue coming in as people will tend to pay the taxes because the other investment opportunities pay more. When you get more people paying taxes you will get a higher revenue stream. Please read "Trickle Down" Theory and "Tax Cuts for the Rich" by Thomas Sowell. https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/uploads/documents/Sowell_TrickleDown_FINAL.pdf

Thomas Sowell proved this in one of his books. https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/thomas-sowell-on-the-relationship-between-tax-rates-and-tax-revenues/

That doesn't matter if it is in the same area as other countries it is still way to high. The US needs to get inflation back down to the 4-6% marks. Preferably 4 or below is the perfect spot to be sitting at. The rate of inflation needs to drop by about 3-5% otherwise it is going to be a huge problem that no one wants to see or experience.

Some scouting reports: MLB: Keith Law: If anything he is probably somewhere around a 3rd or 4th round pick and will probably be someone's senior sign. The power is there but with his swing he is going to strike out a lot. He did cut down his strikeout rate by 10% this year which is good but once he starts seeing better pitchers that strikeout rate is more than likely going to be at 40%+. The power is there and he will hit a lot of home runs but the biggest question mark for him offensively is if he will be able to keep his strikeout rate down enough. He would be fine as a 3rd or 4th round pick but any higher than that it would be a waste of a pick.

We don't have a free market and one of the key contributors to inflation is government spending. Increasing taxes would not be a good idea at this time or any time in the future. There are only two countries that follow a free market and that is Switzerland and Singapore. Switzerland currently has an inflation rate of 2.9 and Singapore has an inflation rate of 5.4. So free markets do tend to regulate inflation fairly well. Studies have found that lowering taxes actually increases revenue for the government while increasing taxes lowers revenue. There are less people who pay the higher taxes and normally just avoid them through loopholes. The only way you can increase revenue on taxes is by taxing the middle and lower class more. This has been proven in every European state. The majority of the taxes that the European countries get their revenue from are the lower and middle class. While the European countries have higher upper class taxes the revenue from those is lower than that of what the lower and middle class provide even at a 90% tax rate. The higher the tax rate goes the less and less people you will have to tax thus the lower and middle class also see an increase in their taxes to replace those loses in revenue. The best option to lower inflation would be to lower government spending. By that I mean slashing the budget by nearly 75% of what it is now would be a good start. If you are serious about getting inflation under control you have to make cuts in the current government spending. This is not going to happen so we are going to be stuck with 6-8% inflation until our government wakes up and actually does the right thing.

Ivan Melendez is basically a Chris Carter or Joey Gallo type of a player more so Carter than Gallo because he is limited to DH or 1B only. He should put up 35+ HR's a year but he is also going to strikeout 150+ times a year. That should put him in the 3rd or 4th round. If the Brewers think they can sign him for below slot then the comp B pick would be fine also. For example if you think someone like Loftin will be available with the 3rd pick then take Mendez and sign him for below slot and try and overspend on the 3rd round pick.

If you say what are you looking for after saying you read the resume you obviously did not read the resume. Kind of a rant here sorry but this is a pet peeve of mine. If you say you read something then you shouldn't be asking what are you looking for. The resume tells you what the person is doing. The question should be are you willing to work in a different industry or profession. Not what are you looking for. It just makes you sound lazy and that you didn't even look at the resume. I know the recruiters can't possibly look at every resume but please do not say you looked at it when you didn't. It comes off as shady and makes you sound lazy and sleazy.

Keith Law has a new mock up: https://theathletic.com/3374301/2022/06/21/mlb-mock-draft-druw-jones/ He has the Brewers taking Adam Mazur, RHP, Iowa. This would be a good pick if the Brewers go with Mazur he is a 92-95 MPH pitcher who can go deep into games with that velocity. He has a good fastball and can locate it consistently. He does have an out pitch with a slider though his other offerings are just average to above average. He will probably struggle with left handed hitters so he is probably more of #3 pitcher if everything goes right but more than likely will be a #4 or #5 type pitcher. Where the Brewers are drafting this is basically what you can expect unless someone drops like Rocker and even Rocker has some issues where he may only be a reliever because of his control issues. This draft is a weird one where there really isn't a college pitcher who is a dominant must draft pitcher. If the Brewers go pitcher it will be with a college pitcher and I think Mazur would be one of the pitchers the Brewers would be looking at. If one of the college bats drop like Beck that maybe the pick also. I am hoping for Williams to drop as that would be an awesome pick as he has been mocked in the 12-17 range.

Tampa looking really bad.

I mentioned Beck in a previous post that I think he would be a target for the Brewers I am just not sure he drops to the Brewers. An OF of Beck, Mitchell/Frelick and Wiemer would be rather exciting. Lots of power and speed in the OF.

Here are my picks for the Brewers: 27: Kumar Rocker RHP. I think the Brewers go the risky route here with Rocker available at 27 and place him aggressively at Wisconsin to start his minor league career. Rocker should be a fast mover if he is able to command his pitches. 63: Sonny DiChiara 1B. Probably more of a DH than a 1B but he has a lot of power and can get on base and won't strike out a lot. The big question mark for DiChiara is if he can hit a breaking ball. If he can adjust and hit breaking balls then this will be more than a senior signing. This pick is mostly just a senior signing to sign someone else. 72: Bradley Loftin LHP. This is where the Sonny drafting comes in to help the Brewers. Loftin has a strong commit to Mississippi State but with the savings from pick 63 the Brewers take Loftin and give him a $2m bonus to sign. This is a dream signing if the Brewers can do this. I would even look at Loftin earlier even at 27. I think Loftin in 3-years is a top 5 draft prospect. 102: Jacob Misiorowski RHP. 100 MPH fastball with a wipeout slider. Jacob looks to be what the Brewers used to look for in pitchers in the Doug Melvin era. I think the Brewers take him here if he is available and he would be a very tantalizing bullpen piece if not a possible closer. With this draft the Brewers go pitching heavy with their first 4 picks. Biggest wildcard is Rocker who could be a complete dud if he is not able to figure out his control problems.

With the raising of the rates today the FED believes the economy will grow at 1.7% for this year and next year. Hello recession!!! Also inflation should increase by 4.3% this year. The CPI grew to 8.6% in May. I don’t see the CPI going down anytime soon so probably for June another 8-9% rate continuing until at least the fall. The FED also expects to raise the rates by .75 for the rest of the year.

The lower end doesn't drive the economy but they are a high percentage of the economy. There is no denying it right now but the economy is heading towards a recession and it is unavoidable. The time to address this has passed. Gas prices are going to increase and should hit about $6 per gallon on average in the US. Once this hits it will be the start of the recession but I don't see the price per gallon of gas on average going above $6. California will see $10 on average within the next month or so. Even during the fall period when travel goes down don't expect gas prices to fall all that much. They may drop by a $1 which should put the national average around $5 per gallon but that is where they will stay for the foreseeable future. Now the scariest part won't even hit the US all that much this will have the biggest impact on Africa and the Middle East. The grain shortage if the war in Ukraine continues to the next harvest is going to be a huge problem for Africa and the Middle East. There will not be enough grain to supply Africa and the Middle East if the war in Ukraine continues to the next harvest. This is where things start to get in the grim area as there will be famines in Africa and the Middle East. The African continent is already a tinder box waiting to explode along with the Middle East but less so. War is a strong possibility in Africa and the Middle East if there is a severe famine. This also means a lot of refugees heading to Europe which is already dealing with a refugee crisis with Ukraine and Syria. This is only going to make things worse in Europe. This could turn into the 1930-40's all over again. There are also signs of India being hit with huge storms this summer which will really impact the supply chain. This could be a very bumpy summer if all of the dominoes start falling. Hopefully it doesn't happen but it is very possible that we are looking at a 1930's global crisis.

If a GM drafts a 1B who is not at the level of Fielder or better in the 1st round they deserve to be fired on the spot. There isn't really a 1B prospect in the top 100 but I will try and answer your question more seriously now. At #27 probably the only 1B option would be either Cayden Wallace or Tucker Toman. For the 2nd round if they are available either Xavier Isaac or Ivan Melendez would be good options. If the Brewers go for 1B I would prefer Xavier Isaac. Isaac has elite power which is what you want from a 1B but he does use the whole field so he has gap to gap power and not just a pure pull hitter.

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Not really unless you are referring to the beginning of the year for that draft. Pre 2018 season Turang was looked at as the #1 pick but as the year went on he dropped further and further. Majority of the mocks didn’t even have him in the first round. Consensus on Turang was someone on the outside of the 1st round by the time the draft rolled around.

Mancini is a really good target as he hits right handed pitching as good as he does left handed pitching. Defensively he really shouldn’t see the OF at all. He would be a good platoon with McCutcheon at DH. When Tellez needs to take a day off or when facing a tough lefty matchup Mancini could fill in there also. Bell would be another good option but he would be a strict platoon with McCutcheon and only seeing right handed pitchers for Bell. Another option could be Benintendi but again that is a strict platoon with McCutcheon.

Mancini is a really good target as he hits right handed pitching as good as he does left handed pitching. Defensively he really shouldn’t see the OF at all. He would be a good platoon with McCutcheon at DH. When Tellez needs to take a day off or when facing a tough lefty matchup Mancini could fill in there also. Bell would be another good option but he would be a strict platoon with McCutcheon and only seeing right handed pitchers for Bell. Another option could be Benintendi but again that is a strict platoon with McCutcheon.