2022 draft is certainly on the TBD list before inclusion to this list, but it certainly has a boom or bust feel to it. Athletes are great, but many teams have proven that athletes that aren't football players don't make good teams. And Gute is showing a history of doing this already (giving me a little bit of 1980s Al Davis vibes) and busting on "athletes" without instincts.
2018: Basically, you get an A on Jaire. MVS was a nice find in the 5th round, but not a big impact guy. EQS another good find as a 6th rounder, but is a 4th WR at best. Big misses on Josh Jackson, Owen Burkes, JK Scott (punter!), J'mon Moore, Cole Madison.
2019: Irony here is that the pundants loved Savage and hated Gary picks. But obviously that was backward here. Jenkins was also a great draft move here. Kdar Hollman also a nice find in the 6th, but still topping as a poor nickel/dime CB. Misses were Sternberger, Keke, and increasingly looking like Savage...
2020: The infamous "Love" draft saga... Still hard to know what Love will be, but the draft effect on Rodgers was obvious. He needed a kick in the pants and got it. However, hard to tell if Love is going to be a player or not. Certainly improved this past year. I'll call him TBD for now.
Dillon and Runyan are the only clear "hits" here. They rank as average NFL players are their positions, but not stars. Hanson is a good find for a backup C, but his play isn't NFL average. In the 6th round, he is a depth find. Deguara is a bust at this point. Another 3rd round TE that doesn't contribute much. Kamal Martin was interesting... Looked decent (young, raw, athletic), but was a mysterious cut in his second year. So a bust for us.
This draft also burnt a lot of draft capitol to move up to get Love and Deguara - neither of whom is actively contributing to our offense. Deguara is out there, but not doing much when on the field.
2021: Stokes and Myers look like the big contributors here. Both have some upside and are currently contributing to "average" level starters. Slaton and SJC are contributing more this year. Hill has shown well in small samples. Rodgers and Newman are trending downwards. Hard to say total busts as they performed well enough to get on the field, but certainly have been going backwards.
So I look at this this way:
At or near Pro Bowler: Gary, Jenkins, Alexander
Starter Level: Myers, Stokes, Dillon, Runyan, Savage(trending down though), MVS (a starting WR is a little nebulous at #3 level)
Four drafts that average a little more than 2 starters per draft (being kind to Savage and MVS as starters). That doesn't seem very good to me.
Frankly, I think Gute has done much better in "small name" Free Agency (Lewis, Douglas, Campbell, Reed, Davis, Ford, Nixon, O'Donnell) than drafting.
Gute's drafting rep is certainly boom or bust. He has some big hits, but a lot of misses also.