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Roderick

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Everything posted by Roderick

  1. Roderick
    I hope they don't vote to permanently ruin NL baseball based on a marginal advantage in a couple of rebuilding seasons. No, I would vote for the DH for the NL because it gives the AL an advantage. I would rather both leagues have pitchers hitting, but that is not happening, so make them both DH. It may cost more to field a team than what the NL is used to, but at least the NL teams will be bringing a good hitter up to the plate instead of someone who is usually a pinch hitter. I would think that outweighs the fact that NL pitchers can I assume bunt (if not hit) much better than their AL counterparts.
  2. Roderick
    Note - the only minor leaguer I feel confident enough on where to place is Arcia, so asterick my results as not giving Phillips, et al enough credit. 1. Lucroy 2. Arcia 3. Nelson 4. Braun 5. Davis 6. Smith 7. Peralta 8. Davies 9. Jungmann 10. Santana
  3. Roderick
    Yeah, stick to the original idea. Take salary off another team's hands in exchange for a prospect. And we already know the Diamondbacks are a team willing to do that. Adding Garza into the equation will just negate getting a prospect, if not the deal.
  4. Roderick
    You wouldn't be trading Braun for salary relief. You would be trading him to free up a spot for Santana and to get prospects back. In fact, sounds like the Brewers would chip in money (not salary relief) on Braun's contract to get that much better a prospect(s) for him.
  5. Roderick
    Baseball inflation has been silly, but I agree it won't go that fast. If it ends up a $50M per year average it will be because a ton of the contract is deferred money coming a decade after he is done playing.
  6. Roderick
    Wasting money is wasting money, it doesn't matter if the payroll is $45M or $105M team salary. You can take that $2M and plow it into scouting or foreign signings or free agent signings or use it in trades or use it to keep ticket prices low or use it for debt service or just put more money into the owners pockets now, so that when we are going for it again they will be more willing to spend and lose money to have the best roster possible.
  7. Roderick
    I'm not saying he is the worst starting SS in the league, but he isn't close from the bottom. Personally, I have no problem with Segura playing at $600K, but at $2.6M, he isn't going to produce that much more than Rivera (at min.wage), during a season we aren't winning anyways and the position is a placeholder for Arcia in 2017 (late 2016). Maybe somehow he will take some pitches at the start of the year and have some good numbers, enough to get that trade. All we need is one GM with a need at SS that likes Segura like you that is willing to give us something for him. But I don't know how you assume the last two full seasons are a fluke and he is going to dramatically improve on his .285 obp and .615 ops.
  8. Roderick
    In my opinion, he doesn't have to regain his old value. He did that in July , August, and September where he OPS'd over .800. I don't think you can hold a broken toe and a concussion against him. And he is staying in shape this winter - http://m.brewers.mlb.com/news/article/161935828/lucroy-brothers-pushing-each-other-in-workouts
  9. Roderick
    I can live with overpaying Smith, but they better not overpay Segura. If a team agrees to go to arbitration and loses and just wants to cut the player at that price, how much are they on the hook for?
  10. Roderick
    So how long can KRod suck for Detroit before he gets released and the Brewers pick him up and he pitches fine? (only half blue)
  11. Roderick
    As a GM, I would hate to have brothers on the team. One brother has any type of problem (negotiations, playing time, discipline, etc), then instead of one discontent player, you have two players that are not happy.
  12. Roderick
    Did something happen other than the year and a half old article on deadspin that you bumped a buried thread?.... Did the Cardinals ever get any type of punishment? Edit: Nevermind, I see the new article was off to the side. Here is a better link to the news. http://deadspin.com/report-ex-cardinals-executive-to-plead-guilty-to-hacki-1751842009
  13. Roderick
    For who? Per the article it sounds like a substantial amount is backloaded and/or deferred. So it would seem to me in line with baseball inflation as it is. As long as he can stay away from those groin injuries.
  14. Roderick
    If you want to apples to apples - Basically, you could assume you are signing Davis to a four year, non-guaranteed $15M free agent contract (just spitballing arby amounts). Ignoring performance valuations for now, if Parra costs a four year, $30M guaranteed contract - how much is $15M savings worth in prospects? To some teams it is worth quite a bit (luxury tax/low spending), to others maybe not so much.
  15. Roderick
    I think that Stearns has shown that he is willing to go to the lower levels of the minors for our side of the deal, and if you are willing to do that, I think you can find the pieces to match up in a deal. Going lower also means less chance of running into overcrowding a position at the minors or pushing the 40 man roster.
  16. Roderick
    I wouldn't dump Garza until he has shown for a couple of months that he doesn't have it any more. He is already spent money, so Garza is my "I hope he improves enough that we can actually trade him for something" bounce back project. And the Brewers really shouldn't be trading off the other starters to make room as they would be selling low on Peralta and the others are young enough and cheap enough they need to stay. I wouldn't put Jungmann back in AAA, it is time to figure out whether he has it or not. I guess Davies could start in AAA as young as he is, I just find the issue of sending any type of MLB pitching prospect to Colorado as not being a helpful thing, so I would rather him start with the big league team if he earns it in the spring. Being a bad team also puts us in a position to also start Cravy, Wagner, even Pena to see if any of them stick. That would also be a very valuable thing to do in a down season, find out who you can build around - who will be here and productive in 2018.
  17. Roderick
    More than would be worth it. We have no reason to go after a mid rotation starter right now with Nelson, Peralta, Davies, Jungmann, Lopez, Pena, Houser, Hader and Garza either in MLB or close to MLB ready. Odorizzi's a proven starter who's controllable through 2019. At some point this team is going to have to compete. I'd be fine trading for Odorizzi and dealing Peralta. I know you are gaining one more year of control, but it just seems like a churning of the roster just to churn the roster. And I wouldn't deal Peralta now, as I would hope he has a good first half and then deal him. His value is not as high as it can be. Reardless, I don't see going after any starting pitcher right now. We have to alot of our own guys that are not proven, but can be a middle of the rotation type of pitcher.
  18. Roderick
    I agree, but my hesitation is that if he doesn't do well in the field and he lets that get him down or takes that to the plate with him. You kind of have to know what kind of personality you are dealing with, can he just brush it off or will he dwell on it or try to do too much at the plate to make up for it.
  19. Roderick
    I'm not strongly pro or con on trading Braun. But I wouldn't automatically say it is a salary dump if we send $20M along with Braun in a trade. As you just said the Brewers have money in the budget, so they could be willing to pay a chunk of his contract, because that will mean we will get back that much better a package of prospects and also allow the low revenue and high spending (tax) teams to be part of the bidding.
  20. Roderick
    Welcome. In my opinion, Lucroy should go for an even higher return than what we got for Gomez. More time on contract, even more underpaid, both premium positions. Probably about the same health issue concerns when you figure Gomez was starting to miss a little bit of time, plus I think Lucroys injuries were more fluky, and I figured Gomez is going to throw out a ribcage muscle pretty soon with his at bat attempts.
  21. Roderick
    Food for thought If the Brewers tv revenue(worst in baseball I believe) is 20million and 2.5 times makes 50mil.... The Pirates likely the next worst revenue at 25mil X 2.5=62.5mil or 12.5mil more than Milw now and not 5mil. That's the imbalance. It's worse not the same. You get to say NY and a former tv deal of 150mil X 2.5 becomes 375million or 325million more than Milwaukee's jump to 50mil. Vs the 130million advantage it was previously. Revenue sharing isn't making up the Brewers 50mil to the Yankees 375million. In this fake sample. Maybe Milwaukee receives 50million to get to 100million but New York isn't being reduced 275million... 75 million maybe but top team in this example has gone from 120million base difference to 200million even after having more revenue taken away to prop Milw's up. I agree the league is getting more unbalanced. I thought for sure that it would end up okay when Selig got the internet is totally allocated evenly over all teams years ago. But the revenue hasn't moved to the internet, and I don't know if the Yankees Dodgers will ever let it be moved to that outlet, at least in a form that allows the Brewers to get an equal share.
  22. Roderick
    It seems to me that small market teams have less room for error, so if one of their starters is suspended for ped, that is going to effect them more than a big market team that will just buy another player to replace that one.
  23. Roderick
    I agree that looking at the roster he may not be inclined to take a minor league deal with the Brewers. My question is, I assume there can be a "bidding war" to sign him to the minor league deal? Obviously he would take a major league deal, but if he doesn't get one - I assume the Brewers could offer him $25K more then the next team (if they wanted) to get him to take the minor league deal, right?
  24. Roderick
    Well a deep pocket team might just consider it a one year contract with an option for a second year at $15.8M, with no buyout! If he is injury free and has a good year and the team doesn't have an answer to replace him in 2017, they could buy themselves one more year of good production by putting the qualifying offer on him - knowing it is a little overpay. If Lind declines for whatever reason (doubtful), that team could end up with a 1st rounder, which will be more than they gave the Brewers for him in the first place.
  25. Roderick
    You are not keeping Smith/Jeffress from pitching in games, or even pitching too many innings even. You just aren't saving them to pitch in the last inning of every game that we are ahead in, as that would cost the team millions of dollars every arbitration season after. Just like not bringing Braun up until later in the season, it is just smart money management.
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